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NOK: Strong but vulnerable to softer CPI – ING
ING’s Francesco Pesole highlights that the Norwegian Krone has rallied on a sharp CPI surprise and markets pricing out Norges Bank cuts for 2026. He views this as premature, expecting a return of inflation towards 3.0% and renewed rate-cut expectations by summer.
USD/NOK
Fxstreet
Fri, Feb 13
US CPI: Core strength and curve implications – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Global Strategy Team expects US core CPI to rise 0.42% month-on-month in January, above the 0.3% consensus, with headline CPI at 0.30%.
Fxstreet
Fri, Feb 13
US tariffs, Chinese competition weigh on EU trade, data show
Trade surplus shrinks, despite lower energy importsUS tariffs taking their tollGrowth holding up as domestic economy resilientGerman spending to hold up overall growthBy Balazs Koranyi FRANKFURT, Feb 13 (Reuters) - The EU's trade surplus kept shrinking, data showed on Friday, as tariffs weigh...
Reuters
Fri, Feb 13
Norsk Hydro flags downstream weakness, shares fall
By Jesus Calero Feb 13 (Reuters) - Aluminium producer Norsk Hydro NHY.OL highlighted continued weakness in downstream markets as it reported fourth-quarter core-earnings which beat market forecasts, sending its shares down 6% on Friday. Hydro faces a shifting outlook as the EU prepares to ...
Reuters
Fri, Feb 13
CHF: Inflation outlook supports steady SNB stance – Nomura
Nomura analysts note that Swiss inflation stayed slightly positive in January, with foreign products still exerting downward pressure as a strong Swiss Franc makes imports cheaper.
EUR/CHF
USD/CHF
Fxstreet
Fri, Feb 13
China January new loans jump but miss forecasts as weak demand persists
New loans below expectations, credit demand remains weakOutstanding yuan loan growth at record lowGovernment-driven funding increasingly drives credit growthPolicymakers ready for further stimulus, central bank hints at rate cutsBy Shi Bu and Kevin Yao BEIJING, Feb 13 (Reuters) - China’s new bank...
Reuters
Fri, Feb 13
EU trade keeps taking hits from US tariffs and Chinese competition, data show
FRANKFURT, Feb 13 (Reuters) - The EU's trade surplus kept shrinking, data showed on Friday, as tariffs weighed on exports to the U.S. and rising Chinese imports crowded out domestic production, highlighting existential threats to the bloc's economic model.Shifting trade and political relatio...
Reuters
Fri, Feb 13
Eurozone GDP rises 0.3% QoQ in Q4 2025, second estimate confirms
The Eurozone economy expanded by 0.3% in the final quarter (Q4) of 2025, the second estimate released by Eurostat showed on Friday, confirming the preliminary reading,
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Fri, Feb 13
USD: Risk-off flows and CPI in focus – Danske Bank
Danske Research Team notes that the US Dollar is outperforming alongside the Japanese Yen and Swiss Franc in a classic risk-off session. Falling US yields accompany Dollar consolidation ahead of the US CPI release.
USD/JPY
Fxstreet
Fri, Feb 13
Eurozone Gross Domestic Product s.a. (QoQ) meets forecasts (0.3%) in 4Q
Eurozone Gross Domestic Product s.a. (QoQ) meets forecasts (0.3%) in 4Q
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Fri, Feb 13
Eurozone Gross Domestic Product s.a. (YoY) above expectations (1.3%) in 4Q: Actual (1.4%)
Eurozone Gross Domestic Product s.a. (YoY) above expectations (1.3%) in 4Q: Actual (1.4%)
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Fri, Feb 13
China January new loans jump but miss forecasts as weak demand persists
BEIJING, Feb 13 (Reuters) - China’s new bank lending jumped in January from the previous month but came in below expectations and far short of the record level a year earlier, as subdued credit demand continued to weigh on borrowing in the world's second-largest economy.Banks extended 4.71 trill...
Reuters
Fri, Feb 13
China M2 Money Supply (YoY) above expectations (8.4%) in January: Actual (9%)
China M2 Money Supply (YoY) above expectations (8.4%) in January: Actual (9%)
USD/CNH
Fxstreet
Fri, Feb 13
China New Loans registered at 4710B, below expectations (5000B) in January
China New Loans registered at 4710B, below expectations (5000B) in January
Fxstreet
Fri, Feb 13
Taiwan hikes 2026 economic growth forecast to 7.7% on AI demand
Hikes 2026 GDP forecast to +7.71% vs previous +3.54%Sees export momentum to sustain on AI boomRaises 2026 export forecast to +22.22% vs previous +6.32%Sees uncertainty in cloud service providers capital expenditureBy Faith Hung and Jeanny KaoTAIPEI, Feb 13 (Reuters) - Taiwan's tech-reliant econo...
Reuters
Fri, Feb 13
Bund yields at two-month lows before US data, Munich Conference in focus
By Stefano Rebaudo Feb 13 (Reuters) - Euro area benchmark Bund yields held at their lowest levels in over two months on Friday and were set for their biggest weekly drop since March ahead of U.S. economic data due later in the session.Markets have been tracking U.S. Treasuries, but the European C...
Reuters
Fri, Feb 13
Fed: No cuts view strengthened on data – Nordea
Nordea’s Ole Håkon Eek-Nielsen and Jan von Gerich, reiterates their call for no interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. Strong US growth, a tight labour market, a weaker Dollar and higher commodity prices are seen limiting disinflation.
Fxstreet
Fri, Feb 13
Euro area: Cooling labour market with modest job gains – Danske Bank
Danske Research Team expects the second estimate of Euro area Q4 2025 GDP to confirm modest employment growth. National data show strong job gains in Spain but slight declines in France and Germany, leading the bank to project Euro area employment up 0.1% quarter-on-quarter.
Fxstreet
Fri, Feb 13
Taiwan revises 2026 economic growth forecast higher
TAIPEI, Feb 13 (Reuters) - Taiwan's economy is expected to expand 7.71% in 2026, the Directorate General of Budget, Accounting and Statistics said on Friday, upgrading its outlook from a previous estimate of 3.54%.Gross domestic product expanded by a revised 12.65% in the fourth quarter of 2025 ...
Reuters
Fri, Feb 13
Fed: Trading a prolonged hold – TD Securities
TD Securities’ US Rates Strategist Molly Brooks (McGown) argues that with the Federal Reserve likely to keep policy on hold for longer, market uncertainty shifts to the timing and number of future rate cuts.
Fxstreet
Fri, Feb 13
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