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Singapore Dollar: Sideways range holds against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann expect USD/SGD to remain directionless in the near term, with intraday trading confined to a tight 1.2900–1.2925 band. Over the coming weeks, the pair is seen oscillating in a broader 1.2875–1.2955 range as earlier downside momentum has faded.
USD/SGD
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 23
Indonesian Rupiah: BI uses incentives over hikes – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Charlie Lay reports Bank Indonesia kept the BI Rate at 5.75%, choosing targeted capital-flow incentives over further tightening to support the Indonesian Rupiah. BI cut hedging costs and improved macroprudential liquidity tools, echoing RBI’s playbook.
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 23
United States: PCE Methodology tweaks seen as marginal – TD Securities
TD Securities economists Eli Nir and Oscar Munoz analyze upcoming BEA methodology changes to United States (US) Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index inflation for portfolio management, legal services, and computer software & accessories.
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 23
European Central Bank: Hiking cycle continues at slower pace – Nordea
Nordea strategists Jan von Gerich, Tuuli Koivu and Anders Svendsen note that the European Central Bank (ECB) kept its deposit rate at 2.25% but signalled further tightening. They still forecast three additional 25bp hikes, now at a quarterly pace, taking the deposit rate to 3% by March 2027.
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 23
Federal Reserve: Hike pricing questioned – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Gennadiy Goldberg and Molly Brooks note that market pricing for Fed hikes has risen alongside higher Oil prices and US-Iran tensions, but they judge a July move as unlikely.
Brent
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 23
Lagarde speech: Some asked whether we should consider a hike
Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank (ECB), explains the ECB's decision to leave key rates unchanged at the July policy meeting and responds to questions from the press.
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 23
Lagarde speech: Energy shock could intensify further
Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank (ECB), explains the ECB's decision to leave key rates unchanged at the July policy meeting and responds to questions from the press.
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 23
United Kingdom: Risks for Sterling – ING
ING’s economists describe United Kingdom (UK) public finances as strained by rising spending pressures and high debt interest, despite ongoing fiscal consolidation via frozen tax thresholds and falling gilt issuance.
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 23
Lagarde speech: Indicators suggest economic activity will remain modest
Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank (ECB), explains the ECB's decision to leave key rates unchanged at the July policy meeting and responds to questions from the press.
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 23
United States weekly Initial Jobless Claims decline to 187K vs. 212K expected
There were 187,000 Initial Jobless Claims in the week ending July 18, the US Department of Labor (DOL) reported on Thursday. This print followed the previous week's reading of 209,000 and came in much better than the market expectation of 212,000.
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 23
Japanese Yen: Gradual appreciation path after extended weakness – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur notes that the Japanese Yen remains historically weak, with USD/JPY above 162 and EUR/JPY near 186, but still forecasts gradual appreciation over the coming quarters.
USD/JPY
EUR/JPY
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 23
Mexico 1st half-month Inflation came in at 0.07%, below expectations (0.1%) in July
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 23
Mexico 1st half-month Core Inflation meets forecasts (0.16%) in July
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 23
India M3 Money Supply: 12.5% (July 6) vs previous 13%
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 23
European Central Bank: Hawkish ECB pricing supports Euro – MUFG
Lee Hardman at MUFG notes that Euro-zone yields have climbed to fresh year-to-date highs ahead of the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting, with markets pricing 2–3 further rate hikes and almost fully discounting another move in September.
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 23
South African Rand: SARB resolve key for rand – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur sees it as almost certain that South African Reserve Bank (SARB) will hike 25 bps to 7.25%, reversing a third of its 2024–25 easing after inflation re-accelerated on fuel and core components above target.
USD/ZAR
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 23
Canadian Dollar: Retail sales set to beat consensus – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists look for Canadian Retail Sales to rise 1.1% month-on-month in May, slightly above the 1.0% consensus, driven by higher gasoline prices and a rebound in core spending.
USD/CAD
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 23
European Central Bank: Oil-driven risks to policy path – Societe Generale
Societe Generale strategists note that Oil and Natural Gas prices have surged since the June European Central Bank (ECB) meeting, reversing optimism that followed the US–Iran Memorandum of Understanding (MoU).
Brent
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 23
Euro: ECB seen hiking in September – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Antje Praefcke argues the European Central Bank (ECB) can delay action today but will keep a hawkish tone as inflation stays near 3% and core pressures may even rise.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 23
Norwegian Krone: Limited upside from Norges Bank flows – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu argues that while Norwegian Krone (NOK) should find demand from improved Oil and gas terms of trade and a relatively hawkish Norges Bank, elevated holdings and modest FX purchases limit upside.
USD/NOK
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 23
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