アラーム・ドット・コム (ALRM) 2026年第3四半期決算説明会:2026年ガイダンスを引き上げ
Alarm.comの2026年第3四半期は、SaaSおよびライセンス売上高が前年同期比9%増の1億9,120万ドル、総売上高が2億7,940万ドルとなり、調整後EBITDAは関税関連コストの一時的な回収効果を反映し19.3%増の6,620万ドルを記録した。堅調な収益維持率と成長イニシアチブの進展を背景に、経営陣は通期業績予想を上方修正した。また、CellGateの買収により商業向けゲートアクセス市場へ参入し、2027年の暫定総売上高は約11億7,500万〜11億9,000万ドルと見込む。一方、今後はメモリコストの上昇や一時的利益の剥落が利益率の圧迫要因となる。
主なポイント
- Alarm.com(NASDAQ: ALRM)が発表した2026年第3四半期のSaaSおよびライセンス売上高は、前年同期比9%増の1億9,120万ドルとなった。総売上高は9%増の2億7,940万ドルに達した。
- 調整後EBITDAは19.3%増の6,620万ドル、マージンは23.7%となった。経営陣によると、利益率の拡大は主に関税関連のハードウェアコスト回収による一時的な利益380万ドルを反映したものだという。
- 売上高維持率は95%台を維持した。成長イニシアチブは売上高の約3分の1を占め、全体で25%〜30%のペースで成長を続けた。
- 経営陣は、SaaSおよびライセンス売上高、総売上高、調整後EBITDA、非GAAP基準のEPSについて、2026年通期の業績予想を引き上げた。
- Alarm.comはCellGateを買収し、商用向け製品ラインナップをセルラー通信対応のゲートアクセスおよびビデオインターホンシステムへと拡大した。CellGateは2027年に1,500万〜2,000万ドルのSaaSおよびライセンス売上高をもたらすと見込まれている。
- 2027年の暫定業績予想では、総売上高を約11億7,500万〜11億9,000万ドル、調整後EBITDAを2億4,000万〜2億4,500万ドルと見込んでいる。
主要財務業績
| 指標 | 2026年第3四半期 | 前年同期比 | 解説 |
|---|---|---|---|
| SaaSおよびライセンス売上高 | 1億9,120万ドル | +9% | 幅広い事業からの貢献と95%台の維持率に支えられた |
| ハードウェアおよびその他の売上高 | 8,830万ドル | +8.9% | ビデオドアベルが出荷数量増加の最大の要因となった |
| 総売上高 | 2億7,940万ドル | +9% | — |
| 売上総利益 | 1億8,680万ドル | +10.6% | ハードウェアマージンは関税関連の一時的なコスト回収の恩恵を受けた |
| ハードウェア売上総利益率 | 28.4% | +650ベーシスポイント | 一時的なコスト回収による約380万ドルの利益を含む |
| 普通株主に帰属するGAAP基準の純利益 | 3,440万ドル | 前年同期の3,530万ドルから減少 | 希薄化後EPSは前年同期の0.65ドルに対し0.66ドル |
| 非GAAP調整後純利益 | 4,830万ドル | +22.3% | 非GAAP希薄化後EPSは26.8%増の0.90ドル |
| 調整後EBITDA | 6,620万ドル | +19.3% | マージンは約200ベーシスポイント上昇して23.7%となった |
| フリーキャッシュフロー | 6,950万ドル | — | 調整後EBITDAの約105%に相当 |
| 現金残高 | 5億3,470万ドル | — | 四半期末残高 |
2026年第1〜第3四半期累計のフリーキャッシュフローは約1億5,630万ドルとなり、調整後EBITDAからの累積キャッシュ創出率は90%に達した。Alarm.comは第3四半期中に約24万1,000株を1,350万ドルで自社株買いし、年初来の自社株買い実績は約120万株、5,850万ドルに達した。
事業および営業実績
Alarm.comの中核である北米住宅向け事業は経営陣の予想通りに推移した。堅調な維持率、新規アカウントの獲得、およびビデオ関連のユーザー平均単価(ARPU)の上昇がリカーリング収益の成長を支えた。
同社はバッテリー駆動のビデオドアベルとアップグレードされた室内カメラにより、ビデオ製品ポートフォリオを拡充した。このドアベルは顔認識に対応しており、AIによる不審者抑止機能のサポートも予定されている。プレミアム室内カメラは400万画素の画質、内蔵照明、物理的なプライバシーシャッターを備えている。
また、Alarm.comはAI抑止ソリューションに段階的な音声応答機能を追加した。検知された人物が警戒エリア内にとどまり続ける場合、システムは中立的なメッセージからより強い警告へと段階的にエスカレートさせることができる。
CellGateの買収により、商業施設、中小企業、集合住宅、牧場、私有地向けのゲートアクセスおよびビデオインターホン製品が加わる。経営陣は、米国の最大6,000社のフェンス・ゲート施工業者が日常的に自動ゲートを設置していると推計している。Alarm.comが自社プラットフォームとの統合を進める間、CellGateは独立した事業として運営される。
海外事業の加入者数は100万人を突破し、連結全体を上回るペースで成長を続けた。しかし経営陣は、欧州の一般消費者への逆風や一段の成長加速の必要性を挙げ、成長イニシアチブの中では海外事業が出遅れていると説明した。同社は商用アカウント、ビデオ機能の追加付帯、ならびに海外通信事業者やMSO(複数システム事業者)との協業機会を重視している。
商用火災報知分野では、600社以上のサービスプロバイダーが少なくとも1台の有料ユニットを導入した。経営陣によると、市場全体の機会を取り込むには追加のUL認証が必要であるものの、初期のパートナー企業の関与度やARPUは想定通りに推移しているという。
経営陣による業績予想
| 対象期間 | 指標 | 見通し |
|---|---|---|
| 2026年第4四半期 | SaaSおよびライセンス売上高 | 1億9,460万〜1億9,480万ドル |
| 2026年第4四半期 | SaaSおよびライセンス売上高成長率(中央値) | 約8% |
| 2026年第4四半期 | ハードウェア売上総利益率 | 約20.5% |
| 2026年度通期 | SaaSおよびライセンス売上高 | 7億5,610万〜7億5,630万ドル |
| 2026年度通期 | SaaSおよびライセンス売上高成長率 | 約9.7% |
| 2026年度通期 | 総売上高 | 11億110万〜11億1,130万ドル |
| 2026年度通期 | ハードウェアおよびその他の売上高 | 3億4,500万〜3億5,500万ドル |
| 2026年度通期 | 調整後EBITDA | 2億2,700万〜2億2,900万ドル |
| 2026年度通期 | 調整後EBITDAマージン | 約20.6% |
| 2026年度通期 | 非GAAP調整後純利益 | 1億6,120万〜1億6,260万ドル |
| 2026年度通期 | 非GAAP希薄化後EPS | 3.02〜3.04ドル |
| 2027年度通期(暫定) | SaaSおよびライセンス売上高 | 8億1,500万〜8億2,000万ドル |
| 2027年度通期(暫定) | ハードウェアおよびその他の売上高 | 3億6,000万〜3億7,000万ドル |
| 2027年度通期(暫定) | 総売上高 | 約11億7,500万〜11億9,000万ドル |
| 2027年度通期(暫定) | 調整後EBITDA | 2億4,000万〜2億4,500万ドル |
| 2027年度通期(暫定) | 調整後EBITDAマージン(中央値) | 約20.5% |
改定された2026年のSaaSおよびライセンス売上高見通しは中央値で200万ドル引き上げられ、調整後EBITDA予想は600万ドル引き上げられた。また、経営陣は非GAAP基準のEPS見通しも8月時点の予想から約0.10ドル上方修正した。
2027年の暫定見通しには、CellGateによる1,500万〜2,000万ドルのSaaSおよびライセンス売上高が含まれている。経営陣は、この買収が今後数年間にわたりSaaS売上総利益率および調整後EBITDAマージンを小幅に希薄化させる一方、ハードウェア売上総利益率の押し上げ要因になると見込んでいる。
リスクおよび注視すべき点
第3四半期のハードウェアマージンと調整後EBITDAは関税関連の一時的なコスト回収の恩恵を受けたが、経営陣はこれが継続するとは見込んでいない。この効果の剥落に加え、価格改定前のメモリコスト上昇が重なることで、第4四半期には前四半期比で約660万ドルのEBITDA下押し要因が生じる見込みである。
経営陣は、2027年末時点で21%近傍の調整後EBITDAマージンを達成できるかどうかは、部品コスト、関税の価格転嫁、ならびにCellGateへの投資を含むオーガニックな投資判断に大きく依存すると述べた。
2027年のハードウェア売上高が同社の予想を上回った場合、経営陣は調整後EBITDAの金額は横ばいにとどまる一方、マージンには一段の下押し圧力がかかると予想している。Alarm.comは追加のマージンを上乗せすることなく、異例の外部コスト増加分を価格転嫁する方針である。
アナリスト質疑応答の要点
- 2027年のSaaS成長要因:経営陣は、過去の水準を上回る維持率、成長イニシアチブの着実な実行、住宅向け新規アカウントの獲得、およびビデオ関連ARPUの上昇を挙げた。
- 成長イニシアチブ:これらの事業は2026年売上高の約3分の1を占め、25%〜30%の成長が見込まれている。2027年について、経営陣の暫定見通しでは全体の成長率が20%〜25%のレンジに戻ると想定している。
- 住宅向けARPU:新規アカウントのARPUは年率約5%で増加している。ビデオARPUは2年間で約30%成長し、新規アカウントARPUの累積約10%の増加と約5.50ドルへの上昇に寄与した。
- ADTとの関係:経営陣は、Thriveの取引後もADTとの継続的な関与および協業の潜在的機会を期待しているが、現時点ではADTによるAlarm.comへの貢献に根本的な変化が生じることは想定していない。
- アップルのホームプラットフォーム:Alarm.comは、家庭内インターフェースの新たなサポートに前向きな姿勢を示し、こうしたデバイスがユーザーエンゲージメントを高める可能性があると述べた。経営陣は、言及されたDIYカメラ製品が自社のターゲット顧客層と直接競合するとは見ていない。
決算説明会トランスクリプト全文
決算説明会の完全なトランスクリプト
経営陣による説明
Operator
Please be advised, today's conference is being recorded. I would like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Matthew Zartman. Please go ahead.
Matthew Zartman
Thank you. Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to Alarm.com's third quarter 2026 earnings conference call. Please note that this call is being recorded. Joining us today are Steve Trundle, our CEO, and Kevin Bradley, our CFO.
During today's call, we will be making forward-looking statements, which are predictions, projections, estimates, and other statements about future events. These statements are based on current expectations and assumptions that are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from our current expectations. We refer you to the risk factors discussed in our most recent quarterly report on Form 10-Q, our other SEC filings, and today's earnings release. The call is subject to these risk factors, and we encourage you to review them. Alarm.com assumes no obligation to update forward-looking statements or other information that speak as of their respective dates.
In addition, several non-GAAP financial measures will be discussed on the call. The reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP measures can be found in today's release on our Investor Relations website. I'll now turn the call over to Steve Trundle. Steve?
Stephen Trundle
Thank you, Matt. Good afternoon, and welcome to everyone. We're pleased to report third quarter results that exceeded our expectations. SaaS and license revenue was $191.2 million, and adjusted EBITDA was $66.2 million. I want to thank our service provider partners and our employees for their contributions to these results.
Today, I'll discuss our operating performance, recent additions to our video platform, and our acquisition of CellGate, which we announced today. I'll also provide some thoughts on recent industry developments before turning things over to Kevin to review financials, including our initial look at 2027. During the quarter, we continued to see solid results across our increasingly diverse business.
Third quarter SaaS revenue grew 9% year over year. We expect to finish the year strong and have raised our full-year SaaS revenue guidance. Our core North American residential business performed in line with our expectations, supported by continued strength in revenue retention. During the quarter, our growth initiatives continued to contribute at a size and pace in line with expectations, as indicated by our increased outlook for SaaS revenue in 2026.
Our strong adjusted EBITDA performance benefited from certain one-time hardware cost recoveries and timing effects within hardware gross margin. We do not expect these Q3 timing benefits to persist, and our outlook assumes hardware gross margins return to more typical levels going forward. Kevin will discuss this in more detail.
Shifting to product development, we recently released several new video cameras that give our service providers more installation options and a broader range of price points, allowing them to bring our video services to more customers. Our new battery-powered video doorbell simplifies installation and expands the locations where partners can offer video coverage, including side entrances and detached garages without doorbell wiring. It supports our advanced video analytics capabilities, including familiar face recognition, with AI deterrent support coming soon, and its customer-installable design gives service provider partners another way to offer video upgrades to existing accounts without a service visit.
We also launched an upgraded indoor camera on the premium side of our residential lineup. It combines sharp 4-megapixel image quality, integrated illumination for deterrence, and a privacy shutter that physically blocks the camera's view. This premium model complements the lower-cost indoor camera that we launched earlier this year, giving partners more options to match customers' needs and budgets.
We also enhanced our AI deterrent solution with progressive voice responses. When our video software detects a person in a protected area, it can now initially engage them with a neutral-sounding voice message and then progress to stronger-worded warnings if the person continues to linger. The progression makes the response sound natural and credible, reinforcing the deterrent when a stronger warning is needed.
In our commercial business, we recently acquired CellGate, a provider of gate access and video intercom solutions for commercial properties, small businesses, multifamily communities, ranches, and estate properties. Its cellular-connected products serve vehicle and pedestrian gates with an access control capability without requiring a network line or access to the property's Wi-Fi.
CellGate brings together several characteristics we look for in an acquisition: a specialized product offering, an established relationship with the trade channel, and an opportunity to build recurring services around connected devices. The acquisition extends our reach into the fence and gate contractor market, a channel we have not traditionally served. We estimate that as many as 6,000 fence and gate servicing companies regularly install automated gates in the United States.
CellGate will operate as a standalone business similar to OpenEye, Checked, and others. We plan to support its growth over time by driving integrations with parts of the Alarm.com platform. I want to welcome the CellGate team to Alarm.com.
Lastly, I want to comment on the recent announcement that ADT will receive a major investment from State Farm. In the last 12 months, we have seen substantial capital flow into the residential side of our industry. First, SimpliSafe was acquired by GTCR, and now ADT is being acquired at a substantial premium to its unaffected public market value. I want to congratulate the ADT management team on achieving a great outcome for its shareholders.
We believe that investors continue to find the residential sector attractive for the same reasons that we do. They have a service that many consumers view as essential and a history of steady performance with strong cash flow production in both good times and bad. The work that Alarm.com has done over the years to reimagine security system capabilities and convenience has made these systems even more valued by consumers today.
When substantial investment flows into our industry, it tends to benefit the overall market, including our service providers, our manufacturing partners, banks, and other investors, as confirmation that the industry is deserving of capital. So this is a positive trend for us and other players in the industry.
As it relates to Alarm.com specifically, we will continue to work with and support ADT as a large customer on both the residential side and the SMB side, just as we have been doing for the last decade. And while we are optimistic that the Thrive deal will create opportunities to unlock growth for ADT, we are currently modeling the business contribution to Alarm.com the same way we had been prior to the announcement of the acquisition.
In summary, I'm pleased with our third quarter results and the continued growth we see across the business. Alarm.com has developed durable positions addressing diverse opportunities in residential and commercial security and in virtual power production. With CellGate, we are adding another business line that fits our strong track record of building IoT-integrated SaaS businesses. I want to thank our service provider partners and our team for their hard work, and our investors for their continued trust in our business.
With that, I'll turn things over to Kevin Bradley to review our financials for the quarter, our updated guidance for 2026, and our initial view of 2027. Kevin?
Kevin Bradley
Thanks, Steve. I'll begin by reviewing our third quarter financial results, then turn to our updated guidance for the fourth quarter and full year 2026 before providing our preliminary view of 2027. We are pleased to report another quarter of financial results that exceeded our expectations with continued growth in recurring revenue, earnings, and cash generation.
SaaS and license revenue grew 9% year-over-year to $191.2 million, exceeding the midpoint of our guidance by approximately $1.3 million. This performance reflects contributions from across the business and continued strength in our revenue retention rate, which remained in the 95% range. Hardware and other revenue totaled $88.3 million, up 8.9% year over year. Total revenue grew 9% to $279.4 million, and gross profit increased 10.6% to $186.8 million.
In the core business, higher unit volumes contributed about half of the sequential increase in hardware revenue, with video doorbells making the largest contribution to that volume-driven increase. Hardware gross margin was 28.4%, approximately 650 basis points higher than a year ago.
Results included approximately $3.8 million of temporary benefit associated with tariff-related cost recoveries, which accounts for the majority of the year-over-year gross margin expansion. Separately, higher memory costs are expected to pressure hardware margins going forward, which I will address with our outlook.
During the third quarter, total operating expenses, including depreciation and amortization, were $142.9 million. Total operating expenses excluding depreciation and amortization, stock-based compensation, and other items we adjust from G&A for non-GAAP purposes were $120.2 million, a 6.3% increase year-over-year.
R&D expense, inclusive of stock-based compensation, was $69.7 million, up 4.6% year over year. We ended the quarter with 1,153 R&D employees, essentially unchanged from a year ago. Total Alarm.com headcount was 2,055, which is flat to September 30, 2024, even as we made several acquisitions.
GAAP net income attributable to common stockholders was $34.4 million, or $0.66 per diluted share, compared with $35.3 million, or $0.65 per diluted share, a year ago. Non-GAAP adjusted net income grew 22.3% year-over-year to $48.3 million, and non-GAAP EPS increased 26.8% to $0.90 per diluted share. Adjusted EBITDA grew 19.3% year-over-year to $66.2 million. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 23.7%, approximately 200 basis points higher than in the year-ago quarter. These comparisons use revised non-GAAP definitions we adopted earlier this year applied to both periods.
Much like with hardware gross margins, the year-over-year expansion in adjusted EBITDA margins can largely be attributed to the temporary benefit associated with tariff cost recoveries that I mentioned earlier. Q3 was a bit of an anomaly in that regard.
We produced $69.5 million of free cash flow in the quarter, representing approximately 105% conversion of adjusted EBITDA to free cash flow. Through the first nine months, free cash flow totaled approximately $156.3 million, with cumulative conversion from adjusted EBITDA of 90%. We ended the quarter with $534.7 million of cash on the balance sheet.
We repurchased approximately 241,000 shares for $13.5 million during the quarter, bringing our year-to-date repurchases to approximately 1.2 million shares for $58.5 million. We continue to operate under the $150 million buyback authorization our Board approved earlier this year.
I'll turn now to our financial outlook. For the fourth quarter of 2026, we expect SaaS and license revenue of between $194.6 million and $194.8 million, representing approximately 8% growth at the midpoint.
For the full year 2026, we are raising our SaaS and license revenue outlook to between $756.1 million and $756.3 million, an increase of $2 million at the midpoint from our previous guidance. This represents approximately 9.7% growth for the year. We are raising our total revenue guidance to be between $1.1011 billion and $1.1113 billion, including hardware and other revenue of between $345 million and $355 million. And we're raising our non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA outlook to between $227 million and $229 million, an increase of $6 million at the midpoint from our previous guidance. This implies an adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 20.6% for the year.
Our fourth quarter outlook reflects the absence of the temporary tariff-related cost recovery benefit recognized in Q3, together with near-term pressure from higher memory costs ahead of the full effect of our pricing changes. We anticipate hardware gross margins of approximately 20.5% in Q4. Together, these hardware effects represent approximately $6.6 million of sequential EBITDA headwind.
Fourth quarter marketing spend also includes our large annual partner event, consistent with our normal expense seasonality. Non-GAAP adjusted net income for 2026 is projected to be between $161.2 million and $162.6 million, or $3.02 to $3.04 per diluted share. This increases our EPS outlook by approximately $0.10 from our August guidance. EPS is based on approximately 56.3 million weighted average diluted shares outstanding for the year.
We currently project our non-GAAP tax rate to remain at approximately 21%. We expect full-year stock-based compensation expense of between $32 million and $33 million.
Before turning to our preliminary view of 2027, I want to comment on our annual planning process, which is well underway. We continue to prioritize organic reinvestment based on the returns we can earn across the business. Each year, we review our existing initiatives and assess their progress to determine where to continue investing and where to reallocate capital.
As Steve discussed, CellGate adds another recurring revenue business built around connected devices. We expect it to contribute between $15 million and $20 million of SaaS and license revenue in 2027, with modestly dilutive SaaS gross margins, accretive hardware gross margins, and dilutive adjusted EBITDA margins for the next couple of years. We believe it provides us with another solid growth vector in our commercial and SMB business, and we see longer-term opportunities to expand profitability as its recurring revenue base scales.
Our preliminary outlook for 2027 includes SaaS and license revenue of between $815 million and $820 million. We anticipate approximately $360 million to $370 million of hardware and other revenue, implying total revenue of approximately $1.175 billion to $1.19 billion. We currently project non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA of between $240 million and $245 million, implying an adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 20.5% for the full year at the midpoint.
As Steve discussed on our earnings call a year ago at this time, we have been operating with a target of exiting 2027 with adjusted EBITDA margins in the 21% range, assuming broadly consistent revenue mix and gross margin profiles. Our preliminary look at 2027 places us near that target with full-year performance at around the 20.5% level.
Our ability to squeeze out another half a percent by end of year will likely be heavily dependent on how hardware margins trend in the face of substantial component cost increases and tariff pass-throughs, as well as the choices we make in 2027 regarding organic reinvestment into the business, including newly acquired CellGate.
Generally, investors should anticipate that if hardware revenues in 2027 exceed our forecast, then adjusted EBITDA dollars will be flat and margins will be pressured some. We believe passing through these external and somewhat extraordinary cost increases without an additional markup from Alarm.com is the right approach for our service provider partners and their customers, reinforcing the long-term alignment that underpins our business model.
We will continue to firm up our estimates and will provide formal annual guidance for 2027 when we report our fourth quarter 2026 financial results early next year.
In closing, we're pleased with our results through the first nine months of the year. We remain focused on expanding our recurring revenue base, sustaining earnings and cash generation, and deploying capital toward opportunities that create long-term value for our shareholders.
With that, operator, please open the call for Q&A.
Operator
[Operator Instructions]
Our first question comes from Adam Tindle with Raymond James.
質疑応答
Adam Tindle
I just wanted to start, Kevin, and maybe Steve, you can jump in here. I was doing the math on the initial guidance for the SaaS revenue in 2027. And if I've got it right on an organic basis, ex-CellGate, I think it's just north of 5.5% and maybe even close to 6% growth organic, which going back through my notes is a tick above where you initially started out 2026 despite a higher revenue dollar base.
So I'm just wondering, it seems like this business or this line item is maybe poised to accelerate a little bit. Just what are the drivers that lead you to a robust initial forecast and the momentum that you're seeing in the business on the SaaS side?
Kevin Bradley
Yes, hey, Adam. Thanks for the question. You know, I think we've seen a myriad of things that are leading us to maybe appear a little bit more bullish than we were around this time last year. We continue to see the growth initiatives sort of execute at a level slightly above what our expectations were.
I think as you've seen over the past three quarters, we've continuously operated above the high end of what our historical range was in terms of revenue retention, which has been a nice tailwind that will lead some RMR roll-forward this year. And the residential business, outside of that, in terms of account creation and ARPU specifically related to video, has been a bit of a positive for us as well.
Stephen Trundle
Yes, Adam, good question. I think Kevin probably hit it all. I just would generally say some of the areas that are growing are reaching a bit more scale, so we're getting a little uplift there.
Adam Tindle
Got it. Okay. And maybe just as a follow-up, Steve, you mentioned sort of the industry developments in your prepared remarks. I wanted to double-click on that. Obviously, with ADT, good acknowledgment of value. I wonder, you know, how that could potentially change your relationship with ADT. Is this maybe an opportunity to re-engage? I know it's probably very preliminary, but just some thoughts there.
And the other one that you didn't mention was Apple and their announcement to kind of, you know, re-enter or whatever we want to call it in the home. I wonder if you might just opine a little bit on that announcement as well. Thanks.
Stephen Trundle
Sure. Sure. Yes, with regard to Apple, so I guess the way we look at their entry is we welcome any type of Alexa-like interface coming from Apple that may sit in the home and compete with both Alexa and the Google Home device. Those tend to be devices that we like to support and that drive a lot of user engagement.
And of course, over the years, we've always been pretty solid in our support for all of the Apple interfaces, whether it be CarPlay or Siri or anything, all iPhone devices. I think we were the first to build a security app on the iPhone. So general excitement that we now have a device coming in from Apple.
Not that worried about some of the DIY products, I guess I would say, on the LG cameras and things of that nature that don't really intersect with our type of customer, but I think our premium customer may well have a desire to have a device in the kitchen that provides us another interface. So general, I'd say, enthusiasm for supporting the device.
With regard to the Thrive deal that I mentioned, yes, I think we'll have some opportunities to re-engage through time. I mean, we probably need to give them a month or so to let the dust settle and to figure out sort of the strategy. It's not as if we've ever really, by the way, sort of disengaged, if you will. We talk to the existing ADT management team regularly and have a good relationship there.
I think my expectation at the moment is that that will be the team going forward. And so I would expect to maintain the engagement, look for some opportunities that are maybe win-win, that we can collaborate on and kind of keep going. I don't know that I'm expecting a fundamental change of any sort at this moment, just sort of a public-to-private shift.
Operator
[Operator Instructions]
Our next question comes from Steven Sheldon with William Blair.
Matthew Filek
Hey, everyone. You have Matt Filek on for Steven Sheldon. Can you provide some more color on the growth segments? What was their percentage of SaaS revenue and rough growth rates for the quarter? And then what did you embed in your early look 2027 guidance for these growth segments?
Kevin Bradley
Yes, Matt, thanks for the question. I think the way we're referring to the growth initiatives this quarter is that cumulatively through Q3 and for the full year based on our new outlook, we're still expecting them to be about a third of revenue and growing in that 25% to 30% range. There's really no real change to that. They performed slightly better than we thought in Q3, so that's kind of basis points better than we thought, but generally in line.
As we get into next year a little bit, you know, the expectation has always been that it's sort of reverting back to the 20% to 25% sort of aggregate growth range that we've been referring to for the past several years. So that's what our current expectation is in that first look we gave.
Matthew Bullock
Great, thank you for that color, Kevin. And then in your core residential business, I think you have historically talked about blended residential ARPU roughly $5 per subscriber per month, but with increased camera adoption and upselling opportunities, how should we think about where that blended ARPU stands today and the potential for further upside to that over time?
Kevin Bradley
Yes, I would say that that's, on new account creation, that's been moving steadily up to the tune of 5% or so per year. So if you rewind the clock a couple of years, for example, we would have said probably around $5. What we've seen over the past couple years with video specifically, as we've spent a great deal of R&D dollars on building out that solution, is that the ARPU, when you're taking video, has actually grown by about 30%.
So when you combine that with our video attach rate, you wind up getting probably a 10% or so cumulative increase in new account ARPU over that two-year period. So I think about that more as like the $5.50 range at this point.
Matthew Bullock
Great. Very helpful. Thank you.
Operator
[Operator Instructions]
Our next question comes from Jack Vander Aarde with Maxim Group.
Jack Vander Aarde
Steve, maybe keep it short. You provided an update last quarter on the commercial fire opportunity and offering that you announced. It sounded like that was a pretty meaningful long-term driver. How's that progressing? Any material updates to note there?
Stephen Trundle
Yes. Good reminder, Jack. That's—it's progressing. We've now gotten to the point that I think we have over 600 service providers that have installed at least one service—not a test unit, but one commercial paying unit. ARPU is about where we expect it. We're building momentum there.
We've got a couple of UL listings to continue to sort of grab, UL being just the ratings that you put on the communication device. So still have a little work to do there to get to the full TAM, but early engagement with our partners is solid and looks like things are going well there so far.
Jack Vander Aarde
Okay, great. And then maybe just separately, on the international business specifically, I appreciate, Kevin, your comments on the kind of the combined aggregate growth businesses. As far as international goes, it's not a routine metric that you provide, but it did hit that milestone of over a million subscribers, which is great to see.
Just any general comments there, how international's been, how new account creation is trending, anything you can provide there? Thanks.
Stephen Trundle
Sure, Jack. Yes, that was an exciting milestone. International is still growing at a rate faster than the overall consolidated business, but relative to our goals, has been a little bit slower—not a little slower than we had hoped.
I think that on the residential side, the international consumer, particularly in Europe, is probably feeling more pressure now even than what we sense here in the U.S., particularly around fuel prices. So we've been focused a bit more on commercial, getting some traction there, getting decent video attachment on the commercial accounts.
And then we've got, I think, a decent pipeline at the moment of opportunities. We're having some success with MSOs or carriers outside of the U.S. So we've got a couple of pipeline opportunities there we're excited about.
So it's continuing to move. I'd like to see it accelerate and really be kind of an accretive driver to the overall set of growth initiatives. At the moment, it's probably, of the ones we talk about, the laggard, but still growing faster than the consolidated business.
Jack Vander Aarde
Okay, great. I appreciate the time, guys. Thank you.
Operator
I'm not showing any further questions at this time. This does conclude today's conference. We thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect and have a wonderful day.
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