TradingKey

TradingKey - On June 15, the three major US stock indexes diverged once again. The Nasdaq Composite and the S&P 500 turned from gains to losses, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose for a fourth consecutive day to hit another historic high. Technology stocks led the declines, while consumer and financial shares bucked the trend to gain strength. As of press time, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.98% at 52,176.71 points; the Nasdaq Composite was down 0.42% at 26,572.11 points; and the S&P 500 was down 0.12% at 7,545.24 points.

TradingKey - On June 16, following consecutive signals of geopolitical de-escalation from US President Donald Trump, the two major crude oil benchmarks extended their recent losses, nearing the price levels seen prior to the US-Iran conflict. Regarding statements from both sides, Trump stated that the Strait of Hormuz will fully reopen this Friday. He noted that US-Iran relations have "normalized," the US will further drive down oil prices, and threatened to increase sanctions on Russia, citing improved oil supply. He emphasized that the US and Iran have successfully signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) online, and negotiations for the US-Iran agreement have now entered the second phase, adding that "this should be easier than the first phase."

TradingKey - Coinbase COIN at $170.49, reclaiming 0.5 Fib in rising channel. Q1 2026 revenue $2.1B, EBITDA positive. CLARITY Act nearing full Senate vote after Banking Committee markup. RSI 58.97. Target $191.90.

Robinhood's announcement of layoffs drove its share price past the $100 mark, hitting a more than four-month high and opening up further upside potential.

TradingKey - During Tuesday's US pre-market trading session, Western Digital (WDC) shares surged 9.3% to $714, while Seagate Technology (STX) followed closely behind, rising 7.2% to $1,092. If this momentum continues into the regular trading session, both companies' stock prices will hit all-time highs.

TradingKey - On Tuesday EST, the three major U.S. stock index futures edged higher in pre-market trading as the market entered a wait-and-see stance following a sharp rally in the previous session. An interim agreement between the U.S. and Iran continued to weigh on oil prices, easing market concerns over energy inflation, but investor attention has clearly shifted to this week's Federal Reserve interest rate meeting. This marks the first interest rate decision since Kevin Warsh took office as Federal Reserve Chair, and the market will focus closely on his remarks regarding inflation, employment, and the subsequent path of interest rates.

SpaceX SPCX at $199.21, RSI 79.5, overbought after clearing the 1.618 Fib extension. Market cap surpassed $2 trillion on June 15, closing at $192.50. Insider lockup expires after Q3 earnings. Target $211.60, watch $191.80 support.

TradingKey - According to audited financial documents disclosed by the Financial Times, the San Francisco-based AI giant's expenditures reached as high as $34 billion last year, with its net loss hitting $38.5 billion, widening nearly eightfold year-on-year from $5.1 billion in 2024.

Bitcoin surged past $67,000 today and could break through $70,000 as early as this week.

TradingKey - According to the latest reports, SpaceX is set to acquire Anysphere, the developer of the AI programming tool Cursor, for $60 billion, with the merger scheduled to close in the third quarter of 2026. Forbes reported that the latest annual recurring revenue (ARR) of Cursor, the AI startup targeted by Elon Musk's SpaceX, has surpassed the $4 billion mark. Will this acquisition drive up SpaceX's share price? What sets Cursor apart from its competitors? Will this bring SpaceX one step closer to its goal of building space data centers?

TradingKey - Since 2026, gold has erased nearly all of its gains, falling more than 20% from its record high of $5,595 set at the end of January. Has gold bottomed out? Is now the time to increase gold holdings? On June 15, both Barclays and Citi expressed bullish outlooks. Citi raised its 3-month gold target price to $4,500, after lowering it to $4,000 in early June, while maintaining its 6-to-12-month bullish forecast of $5,000 per ounce. Barclays, meanwhile, believes this decline is a price reset rather than the end of the bull market.

TradingKey - On June 16, Tokyo time, the Bank of Japan concluded its two-day monetary policy meeting, announcing a 25-basis-point rate hike to raise its policy interest rate from 0.75% to 1.00%. This is the first time since 1995 that Japan's interest rate has touched the 1% level, and it also marks the central bank's first rate hike since December 2025, aligning with widespread market expectations.

SpaceX surges over 40% across three consecutive trading days; can it breach $300 in the coming month?

TradingKey - As of the European session today (June 16), the crude oil market continued to weaken amid expectations of an impending preliminary US-Iran agreement. The market may have begun trading the supply recovery logic, increasing downward pressure on oil prices. As of press time, WTI crude (USOIL) fell 1.63% to $79.85, while Brent crude dropped 1.32% to $82.25.

TradingKey - The Federal Reserve will announce its policy decision this Wednesday, marking the first rate-setting meeting chaired by the new Chairman, Warsh. Global investors are currently paying close attention to the new Chairman's policy stance, especially against the backdrop of the imminent reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and signs of cooling core inflation.

On June 9, 2026, a client-only report from SemiAnalysis claiming that the large-scale commercialization of CPO (Co-Packaged Optics) would be delayed triggered a sharp, single-day collective sell-off in US optical communication stocks. This article deconstructs three timelines, the 19% yield rate formula, upstream laser orders, and other counter-evidence layer by layer. Applying the theory of reflexivity, it uncovers the truth behind the plunge and offers a two-tier interpretive framework for analyzing authoritative research reports.

TradingKey - During the Asian trading session on June 16, the Nikkei 225 Index breached the 70,000-point mark intraday; South Korean stocks extended yesterday's strong momentum, with the KOSPI Index closing 2.11% higher.

TradingKey - During Asian trading hours on June 16, the Nikkei 225 Index breached the 70,000-point psychological level for the first time in history, marking a new record high since the burst of Japan’s bubble economy in 1989.

TradingKey - TSMC (TSM) recently disclosed for the first time that it is collaborating with major ABF substrate supplier Ibiden and panel manufacturer Innolux to jointly validate the application of glass substrates in its next-generation advanced packaging technology, CoPoS. This move indicates that competition in advanced packaging is extending from wafer-level processes to panel-level processes.

TradingKey - Despite Trump’s statement on the 14th that a U.S.-Iran agreement will be signed this Friday (June 19) followed by the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, the market remains highly skeptical. Data from the prediction market Polymarket indicates only a 23% probability that operations in th