TradingKey

TradingKey - On June 17, Eastern Time, the Federal Reserve's latest interest rate decision statement indicated that it chose to hold rates steady at this policy meeting, maintaining the federal funds rate in the 3.50%–3.75% range, while keeping the monetary policy framework of ample reserves in the banking system unchanged. The interest rate dot plot released alongside this Fed rate decision sent a clear hawkish signal. The median rate in the dot plot was recorded at 3.8%, a significant upward revision from the March projection of 3.4%.

TradingKey - The two major crude oil benchmarks spiked in short-term trading after US President Trump stated that military strikes against Iran could resume. According to media reports, Trump said on Wednesday that the current memorandum of understanding reached with Iran is not a final agreement, and the US may resume military strikes against Iran if he is dissatisfied with the progress of the agreement.

TradingKey - On June 16, during early US trading, SpaceX (SPCX) reversed its earlier gains. As of press time, it was down 3.85% at $194.03, bringing its latest market capitalization to $2.57 trillion, temporarily ranking as the sixth-largest company in the US. During yesterday's session, SpaceX's ma

TradingKey - SpaceX, the space exploration technology company under US tech giant Elon Musk, announced that it will acquire Anysphere, the parent company of AI code editor Cursor, for $60 billion. This transaction marks another major move by SpaceX in the artificial intelligence sector and will further consolidate the leading position of Musk's companies in the tech industry.

TradingKey - SpaceX SPCX hit an intraday high of $225.64 on June 16 before pulling back to $205.96. Former Nasdaq CEO Robert Greifeld says SPCX trades on aspiration, not fundamentals. RKLB joins Nasdaq-100 in 5 days. Fib target $222.80.

Tradingkey - On Wednesday Eastern Time, data released by the U.S. Census Bureau showed that U.S. retail sales rose 0.9% month-on-month in May, significantly higher than the market expectation of 0.5%. Retail and food services sales in May reached $763.7 billion, up 6.9% year-on-year. Meanwhile, the retail sales growth from March to April was revised down to 0.4% from the previously reported 0.5%.

TradingKey - On Wednesday Eastern Time, US stock index futures were mixed in pre-market trading, as the broader market maintained a cautious yet firm tone. Investors are awaiting the Federal Reserve's June interest rate decision, as well as the inaugural press conference of the new Fed Chair, Kevin Warsh. While a temporary US-Iran agreement recently triggered a sharp decline in oil prices, easing market anxieties over energy inflation, investors continue to assess the implementation details of the deal and whether the Federal Reserve will deliver more hawkish interest rate signals.

TradingKey - During Wednesday's US premarket trading, Intel (INTC) shares recorded a significant rebound, driving a collective rally among core semiconductor stocks, including Marvell (MRVL), Lam Research (LRCX), and Micron (MU).

TradingKey - As of June 16, Eastern Time, the Tema Space Innovators ETF (NASA) has delivered a cumulative return of approximately 32.7% since its listing on March 31. Leveraging its unique positioning as "the first pure-play space ETF to offer indirect exposure to pre-IPO SpaceX equity," the fund attracted over $3 billion in capital in just over two months, surpassing established peers to become the world's largest space-themed ETF. However, following SpaceX's (SPCX) IPO on June 12 and its subsequent surge of around 50% in the first three trading days, NASA's scarcity premium is rapidly eroding. Its share price has pulled back to $31.98 from an all-time high of $42.68 in late May, dropping over 9% on the first trading day post-IPO. The fund's future trajectory has now become a key focus for the market.

TradingKey - Apple AAPL at $298.99, consolidating at EMA50 in ascending channel ahead of the Warsh FOMC decision. Q2 FY2026: $111.2B revenue, Services $31B ATH. RSI 53.54 neutral. Fib target $317.45.

SpaceX's $60 billion acquisition of Cursor means FTX has once again missed out on a massive return, but it also validates SBF's unique investment vision.

TradingKey - Last weekend, in response to US government export control directives, AI startup Anthropic abruptly cut off all user access to its top-tier AI models, Fable and Mythos 5. Investors have begun turning their attention to open-source AI models that enterprises can deploy themselves, free from the impact of external regulations—when models run on an enterprise's own servers, no political disputes can disrupt the service.

TradingKey - SpaceX (SPCX) options officially began trading this Tuesday (June 17). Approximately 1.8 million contracts were traded on the first day, with about $2.8 billion in premium changing hands, breaking the record for the first-day trading volume of a single-stock option. Notably, market sentiment was clearly characterized by momentum-chasing, with call volume outstripping put volume. The overall call/put ratio was approximately 1.3:1, indicating that capital continues to bet on a further rise in SpaceX's share price.

TradingKey - During the Asian trading session on June 17, Japanese and South Korean stock markets both opened lower but rebounded to close higher. The Nikkei 225 Index extended its strong performance to hit another record closing high, while South Korea's KOSPI Index rebounded strongly after opening sharply lower, posting significant gains at the close.

TradingKey - According to a report by The Information on June 16, OpenAI disclosed several financial metrics in a document to shareholders. OpenAI's revenue in the first quarter of 2026 reached $5.7 billion, while its cash burn during the same period was as high as $3.7 billion, with both figures increasing approximately threefold year-on-year. What other financial black holes do OpenAI's recently disclosed data reveal? Will this impact its potential listing?

TradingKey - During the Asian trading session on June 17, Japanese media reported that as TSMC's (TSM) advanced process capacity continues to tighten, companies such as Google (GOOGL), AMD (AMD), BYD, and Tesla (TSLA) have recently increased their engagement with Samsung Electronics regarding foundry collaboration, leading to a significant increase in orders for Samsung's foundry business.

If Warsh rejects dot plot expectations, it could suppress institutional capital in the short term and weaken market risk appetite, but remains a long-term positive for Bitcoin.

TradingKey - How a 113-page filing became a roadmap for America's AI strategy

TradingKey - On Tuesday, August Brent crude futures settled down over 5% at $78.96 per barrel, falling below the $80 mark for the first time in three months. Brent has now fallen for four consecutive trading sessions, marking its longest losing streak of the year and almost entirely erasing all gain

TradingKey - As the signing ceremony for the US-Iran ceasefire agreement on June 19 approaches, Bloomberg News and Iran's Mehr News Agency have successively disclosed the full text of the draft 14-point memorandum of understanding (MoU) between the US and Iran. This framework agreement, known as the "Islamabad Memorandum," aims to permanently end the conflict between the two sides that erupted in February 2026 and pave the way for negotiations on a final agreement lasting up to 60 days.