TradingKey

As US inflation, employment, and consumption data continue to cool, market expectations for a Fed rate hike in September are rapidly receding. Currently, the probability of a September rate hike has dropped to around 30%. Jeremy Siegel, senior economist at WisdomTree and finance professor at the Wharton School, stated that as long as oil prices remain stable near $80 per barrel, the Fed will most likely not raise rates in September. Meanwhile, US stocks have begun pricing in "soft landing" expectations. The S&P 500 Index surpassed 7,800 points for the first time, with cooling inflation, corporate earnings growth, and AI-driven efficiency gains jointly driving a rebound in risk appetite.

SPCX at $141.20 rallying from $105.75 but facing $146.86-$154.36 major resistance zone. 92% Q2 growth, Starlink 12M, AI $2.56B. August 20 lockup expiration risk.

US stock 13F filings have been released recently, disclosing the second-quarter holdings of Wall Street investment banks such as Morgan Stanley and UBS. Notably, the reports show that Micron (MU) was among the top five increased positions for both banks.

NVDA at $225.34 breaking above $221 with $229.51 target. Q1 revenue $81.6B (+85%), Data Center +92%. Rubin production ramping, SpaceX exclusive NVIDIA builder.

SanDisk's share price continued its surge today, rising nearly 7% to break through the $1,600 mark. While it may face short-term selling pressure from profit-taking and investors unwinding trapped positions, Wall Street remains broadly optimistic about the stock hitting new record highs.

AMAT at $547.25 rejected at $554.94 heading into Q3 earnings (Aug 13 US close). Guides 30%+ equipment growth, 50%+ packaging. Critical breakout at $555.

TradingKey - The latest U.S. retail sales data for July came in significantly weaker than market expectations. U.S. retail sales fell 0.6% month-on-month in July, compared to a 0.2% increase in June, whereas the market had previously expected modest growth to continue. The data indicates that after robust consumer spending in the second quarter, U.S. consumers turned noticeably more cautious at the start of the third quarter.

Memory chip stocks rallied collectively, while cryptocurrencies fell broadly, facing further downside pressure.

TradingKey - On Friday, August 14, Eastern Time, U.S. stock index futures were mixed in pre-market trading as the market shifted into a wait-and-see stance after the S&P 500 set another record closing high. U.S. PPI unexpectedly came in flat for July, further easing rate hike concerns; however, investors remain focused on today's release of July retail sales and the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index to gauge whether U.S. consumer resilience is sufficient to support elevated stock valuations.

CSCO beat Q4 earnings with $17.25B revenue (+18%), $9.3B AI orders, but stock plunged 9% to $112.81 on gross margin decline to 66.3% from 68.4%.

SpaceX's stock price pulled back after an initial surge and may test $135 or even lower in the short term.

TradingKey - On August 13, Eastern Time, Bloomberg reported that OpenAI's annualized revenue surpassed $40 billion, doubling from the end of 2025. However, according to an earlier report by The New York Times, OpenAI's IPO timeline has been delayed from the initially expected autumn of this year to 2027. Despite surging revenue growth, management leans toward postponing the public listing—a disconnect that warrants a closer look.

TradingKey - As of the European session on August 14, international spot copper prices (COPPER) hovered near historic highs, trading around $14,070, down a modest 0.3% on the day. Despite short-term profit-taking, global copper prices have maintained overall strength year-to-date, once again reclaiming the $14,000 mark.

TradingKey - The U.S. government's further tightening of drone import policies drove U.S. drone stocks generally higher in Friday's pre-market trading. Among them, Unusual Machines (UMAC) surged over 14%, Red Cat Holdings (RCAT) gained over 8%, Ondas Holdings (ONDS) rose over 3%, and AgEagle Aerial Systems (UAVS) climbed over 5%.

Positive news from SanDisk ignited the memory sector, sending Micron surging toward the key $1,000 mark.

TradingKey - On August 13, Eastern Time, Reuters reported, citing three people familiar with the matter, that Apple (AAPL) has trained a large language model specifically for the Chinese market, shifting from its previous strategy of primarily relying on third-party models to power AI features in China. The model was co-developed by Apple and Alibaba Group (BABA) and trained with technical support from Alibaba.

TradingKey - On August 14, Japanese and South Korean stock markets continued to close higher, with the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) rising 2.41% to close at 6,977.34, and the Nikkei 225 Index closing up 0.59% at 68,713.80.

TradingKey - Amazon's second profit reconstruction behind e-commerce, AWS, advertising, in-house chips, and satellite networks.

XRP falling below a key level has triggered strong bearish alarms and sell-off concerns in the market. Where is the next support level?

TradingKey - LG announced on Friday that it has signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) with Nvidia to further expand cooperation in fields such as robotics, AI factories, and smart mobility. Following the announcement, LG's shares rose by more than 6% during intraday trading on Friday.