TradingKey

Over the past five years, XRP has navigated two bull-bear cycles, with its price rebounding from $0.16 to a 2025 high of $3.6 before pulling back to consolidate near $1. Influenced by Federal Reserve policy, geopolitical tensions, and slowing spot ETF inflows, a short-term drop below $1 could test the $0.5 support zone. Over the medium to long term, if it can expand its market share in cross-border payments and attract steady institutional capital, XRP still has the potential to break above $10 over the next five years.

SK Hynix reports record revenue, a 76% operating margin and initial HBM4 shipments. Can sustained AI-memory demand lift the stock beyond $168.56 toward $194?

TradingKey - On August 12, Eastern Time, Broadcom (AVGO) shares closed at $416.05, remaining about 16% below its 52-week high of $495.

TradingKey - In the coming week (August 17 to August 21), the US market's focus will be on the minutes of the July monetary policy meeting. The US will also release key data, including housing starts, building permits, industrial production, initial jobless claims, the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, the Conference Board Leading Economic Index, and preliminary August PMI values.

PLTR Q2: Revenue +93% to $1.94B, U.S. Commercial +149% to $764M, RDV $6.24B, Rule of 40 score 155. CEO calls it 'otherworldly.' Weekly chart breaks above $159.58, targets $205. Jackson Hole (Aug 21-22) will test if AI capex momentum holds.

TradingKey - The S&P 500 Index has recently continued to trade in a range near record highs. Following a rapid rally in the first half of the year, US equities have entered a repricing phase between high valuations and strong earnings. On one hand, AI capital expenditures, earnings growth among tech giants, and corporate earnings consistently beating expectations provide support for the index; on the other hand, Federal Reserve interest rates, market valuations, and geopolitical risks limit further upside.

On August 13, Eastern Time, Oracle (ORCL) shares closed at $156.22, after touching an intraday high of $159.26. Since hitting a recent low of $114.50 on July 28, the company's stock has rebounded rapidly. Based on the August 13 closing price, the cumulative gain during this period reached approximately 36.4%, reclaiming the $150 mark. Even using $150 as a periodic benchmark, the rebound exceeds 30%, indicating that market pessimism surrounding its AI infrastructure business is beginning to ease.

TradingKey - In the current memory supercycle, between Micron Technology and SK Hynix, which one is more worthy of attention?

Western Digital's stock price has plummeted nearly 50% from its peak, driven primarily by sector deleveraging stemming from concerns over AI CapEx crowding, rather than a deterioration in fundamentals. Wall Street's consensus target price stands at $500–$1,050, backed by optimism regarding inelastic demand for AI storage. Although current valuations have largely deflated, technicals remain dominated by bears. Investors are advised to build positions in tranches, establishing a base position at $400 and adding to it if the price retests $300.

AAPL Q3 missed China estimates ($18.8B vs. $19.5B), services softened. New CEO Ternus takes over Sept 1, iPhone 18 Pro launches Sept 9. Can the new flagship reverse momentum before Jackson Hole, or will macro uncertainty cap the stock?

TradingKey - On July 21, Eastern Time, boosted by rumors that Western Digital has restarted merger talks with Kioxia, Western Digital (WDC) shares surged 12.51% for the day. The two companies had previously initiated merger talks, with contacts in 2021 ending without result and in-depth negotiations in October 2023 collapsing due to opposition from SK Hynix (SKHY).

CBRS Q2: Cloud revenue +287% to $127.7M, core revenue beat $209.9M, but GAAP missed $194M target. Stock crashed 17%. Next week's Jackson Hole speech will test if Fed policy rescues AI infrastructure confidence.

TradingKey - As of August 13 Eastern Time, Nvidia (NVDA) was priced at $225.30. In early August, NVDA rapidly rebounded from below $200 to above $224, extending its upward momentum this week. Technical indicators suggest that the stock maintains an overall uptrend, with the potential to reach a new record high. From a fundamental perspective, the most critical factor driving the stock price recently is Nvidia's partnership with six Wall Street financial giants.

SpaceX (SPCX) shares approached the $150 mark during intraday trading on August 12, Eastern Time. Just recently, the stock had dipped to a period low of $104.83 in early August; as of the close on August 12, it has rebounded by approximately 35%.

The S&P 500 Index pulled back slightly after hitting a record high yesterday, with all three major stock indexes edging lower. Memory stocks bucked the trend to gain, while select optical communication stocks moved higher. At the close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.20% to 53,732.41; the Nasdaq Composite Index dropped 0.28% to 26,729.16; and the S&P 500 Index dipped 0.17% to 7,785.76.

TradingKey - Micron Technology (MU) is one of the strongest-performing semiconductor stocks in the current AI investment boom. However, compared with its rapidly growing revenue and profits, Micron's forward P/E ratio is only in the single digits.

Financing risks behind Broadcom's AI expansion are drawing market concern. On August 14, Eastern Time, Broadcom's (AVGO) stock price fell below the $400 mark. Bank of America analyst Tom Curcuruto reportedly downgraded Broadcom's issuer and bond ratings, with the primary concern stemming from the AI XPV financing platform it co-established with Apollo and Blackstone.

Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said he is encouraged by the recent cooling in inflation, but noted that similar improvements must continue over the coming months to confirm that inflation is moving back toward the Federal Reserve's 2% target.

As US inflation, employment, and consumption data continue to cool, market expectations for a Fed rate hike in September are rapidly receding. Currently, the probability of a September rate hike has dropped to around 30%. Jeremy Siegel, senior economist at WisdomTree and finance professor at the Wharton School, stated that as long as oil prices remain stable near $80 per barrel, the Fed will most likely not raise rates in September. Meanwhile, US stocks have begun pricing in "soft landing" expectations. The S&P 500 Index surpassed 7,800 points for the first time, with cooling inflation, corporate earnings growth, and AI-driven efficiency gains jointly driving a rebound in risk appetite.

SPCX at $141.20 rallying from $105.75 but facing $146.86-$154.36 major resistance zone. 92% Q2 growth, Starlink 12M, AI $2.56B. August 20 lockup expiration risk.