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TradingKey is a comprehensive financial education and news analysis website, providing real-time market data, financial news coverage across forex, commodities, cryptocurrencies and more, as well as professional trading courses.
US-Iran Agreement Brought Forward: Pakistani Prime Minister Confirms US-Iran Agreement Has Taken Effect Immediately, Strait of Hormuz Will Reopen Immediately
TradingKey - On Wednesday Eastern Time, US media outlet Axios, citing two US officials, reported that the United States and Iran have remotely signed a memorandum of understanding aimed at ending the war and opening the Strait of Hormuz, with the agreement now in effect.
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Today’s Market Recap: Fed's Hawkish Dot Plot Pressures U.S. Stocks; SpaceX Slides 5% , Allbirds Soars 39%
TradingKey - On June 17, Eastern Time, the Federal Reserve’s dot plot sent a strongly hawkish signal. Renewed expectations of interest rate hikes weighed on the market, causing all three major indices to decline, with the Nasdaq falling for the second consecutive day.
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Japan, South Korea Stocks Open Slightly Higher; SoftBank Rises Nearly 5%, SK Hynix Up Over 3%
TradingKey - During the Asian trading session on June 18, both Japanese and South Korean stock markets edged higher in early trading. The Nikkei 225 Index opened at 70,163.71 points, up 0.37%, while the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) opened 0.2% higher at 8,884.92 points.
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US Stocks Close: FOMC Sparks Rate Hike Expectations to Pressure Markets, Three Major Indexes Fall Across the Board, Nasdaq Drops for Second Day, SpaceX Reverses Gains to Fall 5%
TradingKey - On June 17, Eastern Time, the Federal Reserve's dot plot sent a clear hawkish signal. Reignited rate hike expectations put the market under pressure, causing all three major indices to close lower. By the close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.98% to 51,492.55 points; the Nasdaq Composite Index fell 1.34% to 26,021.66 points; and the S&P 500 Index fell 1.21% to 74,201.10 points.
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New Fed Chair Warsh: Scrap Forward Guidance, Establish Special Task Force to Overhaul Fed Operations
TradingKey - The monetary policy meeting chaired by newly appointed Fed Chair Kevin Warsh has concluded, with the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) keeping the interest rate range unchanged at 3.5%-3.75%, as widely expected. The key focus of this meeting was not the interest rate decision itself, but rather Warsh's first round of systemic adjustments to the Fed's policy framework and communication style. The first FOMC policy statement underwent a radical overhaul, totaling only about 130 words—slashed by more than half from the previous conventional length of over 300 words—marking the first clear signal of a shift in the Fed's communication mechanism under Warsh's leadership.
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June Fed Decision Delivered: Rates Held Unchanged but Dot Plot Significantly Raised, 9 Back Continued Rate Hikes in 2026.
TradingKey - On June 17, Eastern Time, the Federal Reserve's latest interest rate decision statement indicated that it chose to hold rates steady at this policy meeting, maintaining the federal funds rate in the 3.50%–3.75% range, while keeping the monetary policy framework of ample reserves in the banking system unchanged. The interest rate dot plot released alongside this Fed rate decision sent a clear hawkish signal. The median rate in the dot plot was recorded at 3.8%, a significant upward revision from the March projection of 3.4%.
7 hours ago

Reversal in US-Iran Peace Agreement? WTI Crude Futures Once Surge Over 4%, Trump May Resume Military Strikes Against Iran
TradingKey - The two major crude oil benchmarks spiked in short-term trading after US President Trump stated that military strikes against Iran could resume. According to media reports, Trump said on Wednesday that the current memorandum of understanding reached with Iran is not a final agreement, and the US may resume military strikes against Iran if he is dissatisfied with the progress of the agreement.
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SpaceX Falls for the First Time Since Listing. Annual Loss of 4.9 Billion Yet Market Cap Surpasses Amazon, Market Fears Systemic Risk Caused by Valuation Bubble
TradingKey - On June 16, during early US trading, SpaceX (SPCX) reversed its earlier gains. As of press time, it was down 3.85% at $194.03, bringing its latest market capitalization to $2.57 trillion, temporarily ranking as the sixth-largest company in the US. During yesterday's session, SpaceX's ma
11 hours ago

Musk’s SpaceX Splurges $60 Billion to Acquire Cursor, Completing the xAI Ecosystem; Can It Break Through the Duopoly Era of Anthropic and OpenAI?
TradingKey - SpaceX, the space exploration technology company under US tech giant Elon Musk, announced that it will acquire Anysphere, the parent company of AI code editor Cursor, for $60 billion. This transaction marks another major move by SpaceX in the artificial intelligence sector and will further consolidate the leading position of Musk's companies in the tech industry.
12 hours ago

SpaceX Stock Forecast: SPCX Falls From $225 to $206 as Former Nasdaq Chief Warns It’s Not Trading on Fundamentals
TradingKey - SpaceX SPCX hit an intraday high of $225.64 on June 16 before pulling back to $205.96. Former Nasdaq CEO Robert Greifeld says SPCX trades on aspiration, not fundamentals. RKLB joins Nasdaq-100 in 5 days. Fib target $222.80.
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US May Retail Sales Rise 0.9% MoM, Consumer Resilience Stronger Than Expected
Tradingkey - On Wednesday Eastern Time, data released by the U.S. Census Bureau showed that U.S. retail sales rose 0.9% month-on-month in May, significantly higher than the market expectation of 0.5%. Retail and food services sales in May reached $763.7 billion, up 6.9% year-on-year. Meanwhile, the retail sales growth from March to April was revised down to 0.4% from the previously reported 0.5%.
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US Pre-Market: Fed Decision Looms; Nasdaq Futures Lead, AI Chip Stocks Rebound, SpaceX Rises Over 4%
TradingKey - On Wednesday Eastern Time, US stock index futures were mixed in pre-market trading, as the broader market maintained a cautious yet firm tone. Investors are awaiting the Federal Reserve's June interest rate decision, as well as the inaugural press conference of the new Fed Chair, Kevin Warsh. While a temporary US-Iran agreement recently triggered a sharp decline in oil prices, easing market anxieties over energy inflation, investors continue to assess the implementation details of the deal and whether the Federal Reserve will deliver more hawkish interest rate signals.
13 hours ago

Intel Announces 18A-P Process Enters Risk Production Stage, Pre-Market Share Rise Boosts Semiconductor Sector
TradingKey - During Wednesday's US premarket trading, Intel (INTC) shares recorded a significant rebound, driving a collective rally among core semiconductor stocks, including Marvell (MRVL), Lam Research (LRCX), and Micron (MU).
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SpaceX Soared 50% After Listing, Why Did This Space ETF Holding It Fall Instead of Rise?
TradingKey - As of June 16, Eastern Time, the Tema Space Innovators ETF (NASA) has delivered a cumulative return of approximately 32.7% since its listing on March 31. Leveraging its unique positioning as "the first pure-play space ETF to offer indirect exposure to pre-IPO SpaceX equity," the fund attracted over $3 billion in capital in just over two months, surpassing established peers to become the world's largest space-themed ETF.
However, following SpaceX's (SPCX) IPO on June 12 and its subsequent surge of around 50% in the first three trading days, NASA's scarcity premium is rapidly eroding. Its share price has pulled back to $31.98 from an all-time high of $42.68 in late May, dropping over 9% on the first trading day post-IPO. The fund's future trajectory has now become a key focus for the market.
13 hours ago

Apple (AAPL) Holds $299 Ahead of FOMC — Can Warsh’s Decision Trigger a Rally to $317?
TradingKey - Apple AAPL at $298.99, consolidating at EMA50 in ascending channel ahead of the Warsh FOMC decision. Q2 FY2026: $111.2B revenue, Services $31B ATH. RSI 53.54 neutral. Fib target $317.45.
13 hours ago

FTX Misses Out on Tens of Billions in Returns from Anthropic and Cursor. SBF Says He Will Issue Tokens Again After Prison, Do You Still Dare to Buy?
SpaceX's $60 billion acquisition of Cursor means FTX has once again missed out on a massive return, but it also validates SBF's unique investment vision.
16 hours ago

Anthropic Fable Closes: Amid US AI Regulatory Storm, Perhaps the Golden Age of Open-Source AI Is Coming
TradingKey - Last weekend, in response to US government export control directives, AI startup Anthropic abruptly cut off all user access to its top-tier AI models, Fable and Mythos 5. Investors have begun turning their attention to open-source AI models that enterprises can deploy themselves, free from the impact of external regulations—when models run on an enterprise's own servers, no political disputes can disrupt the service.
17 hours ago

SpaceX Options Debut: Breaks First-Day Trading Record for Single-Stock Options, How Should Investors Find Investment Opportunities in It?
TradingKey - SpaceX (SPCX) options officially began trading this Tuesday (June 17). Approximately 1.8 million contracts were traded on the first day, with about $2.8 billion in premium changing hands, breaking the record for the first-day trading volume of a single-stock option. Notably, market sentiment was clearly characterized by momentum-chasing, with call volume outstripping put volume. The overall call/put ratio was approximately 1.3:1, indicating that capital continues to bet on a further rise in SpaceX's share price.
17 hours ago

Japan, South Korea Stocks Open Lower and Rise, Nikkei Continues to Hit New Highs, Kospi Rises Over 1.5%, SK Hynix Gains Nearly 6%
TradingKey - During the Asian trading session on June 17, Japanese and South Korean stock markets both opened lower but rebounded to close higher. The Nikkei 225 Index extended its strong performance to hit another record closing high, while South Korea's KOSPI Index rebounded strongly after opening sharply lower, posting significant gains at the close.
18 hours ago

OpenAI Exposes Financial Black Hole on Eve of IPO: Q1 Net Loss Exceeds $21.3 Billion, 665 Billion Yuan Computing Power Purchase Commitments Weigh Heavily
TradingKey - According to a report by The Information on June 16, OpenAI disclosed several financial metrics in a document to shareholders. OpenAI's revenue in the first quarter of 2026 reached $5.7 billion, while its cash burn during the same period was as high as $3.7 billion, with both figures increasing approximately threefold year-on-year. What other financial black holes do OpenAI's recently disclosed data reveal? Will this impact its potential listing?
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