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Alarm.com (ALRM) 2026年第三季法說會:調升2026年財測指引

2026年11月5日 23:43
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Alarm.com公布2026年第三季SaaS及授權營收為1.912億美元,年增9%。總營收達2.794億美元,年增9%。調整後EBITDA成長19.3%至6,620萬美元,利潤率23.7%,主要受暫時性關稅硬體成本回收收益帶動。管理層上調2026全年SaaS營收、總營收及調整後EBITDA等財測,並預估2027年總營收約11.75億至11.9億美元。公司已完成收購CellGate以擴展商用門禁產品線,預期未來將貢獻額外營收。

該摘要由AI生成

重點摘要

  • Alarm.com (NASDAQ: ALRM) 公布 2026 年第三季 SaaS 及授權營收為 1.912 億美元,年增 9%。總營收成長 9% 至 2.794 億美元。
  • 調整後 EBITDA 成長 19.3% 至 6,620 萬美元,利潤率為 23.7%。管理層表示,利潤率的擴張主要反映了關稅相關硬體成本回收所帶來的 380 萬美元暫時性收益。
  • 營收留存率維持在 95% 左右的區間。成長型業務約占總營收的三分之一,並持續以 25% 至 30% 的綜合成長率成長。
  • 管理層調升了 2026 全年 SaaS 及授權營收、總營收、調整後 EBITDA 與 non-GAAP EPS 財測。
  • Alarm.com 收購了 CellGate,將其商業產品陣容拓展至蜂巢式網路連接的大門門禁與視訊對講系統。CellGate 預計將在 2027 年貢獻 1,500 萬至 2,000 萬美元的 SaaS 及授權營收。
  • 2027 年初步財測預估總營收約為 11.75 億至 11.9 億美元,調整後 EBITDA 為 2.4 億至 2.45 億美元。

關鍵財務業績

指標2026 年第三季較去年同期變動備註說明
SaaS 及授權營收1.912 億美元+9%受廣泛業務貢獻及維持在 95% 左右區間的留存率所支撐
硬體及其他營收8,830 萬美元+8.9%視訊門鈴是出貨量增加的最大貢獻來源
總營收2.794 億美元+9%—
毛利1.868 億美元+10.6%硬體利潤率受惠於暫時性的關稅相關成本回收
硬體毛利率28.4%+650 個基點包含約 380 萬美元的暫時性成本回收收益
歸屬於普通股股東的 GAAP 淨利3,440 萬美元低於去年同期的 3,530 萬美元稀釋後 EPS 為 0.66 美元,高於去年同期的 0.65 美元
Non-GAAP 調整後淨利4,830 萬美元+22.3%Non-GAAP 稀釋後 EPS 成長 26.8% 至 0.90 美元
調整後 EBITDA6,620 萬美元+19.3%利潤率增加約 200 個基點至 23.7%
自由現金流6,950 萬美元—相當於調整後 EBITDA 的約 105%
現金餘額5.347 億美元—季末餘額

2026 年前九個月的自由現金流總計約 1.563 億美元,相當於調整後 EBITDA 的累計轉換率達 90%。Alarm.com 在第三季斥資 1,350 萬美元買回約 24.1 萬股股票,使今年以來的買回總額達到約 120 萬股,總計 5,850 萬美元。

業務與營運表現

Alarm.com 的核心北美住宅業務表現符合管理層預期。強勁的留存率、新開戶數增加,以及更高的視訊相關每用戶平均收入 (ARPU),支撐了經常性營收的成長。

該公司擴充了視訊產品組合,推出電池供電的視訊門鈴以及升級版室內攝影機。該門鈴支援熟人臉部辨識,並計劃支援 AI 威嚇功能。高階室內攝影機則提供 400 萬畫素畫質、整合照明以及實體隱私遮罩。

Alarm.com 還為其 AI 威嚇解決方案加入了漸進式語音回應功能。當偵測到的人員持續停留在受保護區域時,系統可從中性語音提示逐步升級為更嚴厲的警告。

收購 CellGate 為商業地產、小型企業、多戶住宅社區、牧場與莊園增添了大門門禁及視訊對講產品。管理層估計,多達 6,000 家美國圍欄與大門服務公司定期安裝自動大門。在 Alarm.com 開發與自身平台的整合之際,CellGate 將作為獨立業務營運。

國際業務訂閱用戶數突破 100 萬,並持續以高於合併業務整體的速度成長。然而,管理層表示國際業務在各項成長型業務中表現相對落後,主要歸因於歐洲住宅消費者面臨壓力,以及需要加快擴張步調。該公司目前正著重於商業客戶、視訊加購綁定,以及與國際電信業者和多系統營運商 (MSO) 的合作機會。

在商業火警領域,已有超過 600 家服務提供商至少安裝了一套付費設備。管理層表示,早期的合作夥伴參與度與 ARPU 表現均符合預期,但仍需取得更多 UL 認證才能全面把握市場機會。

管理層財務指引

財測期間指標展望
2026 年第四季SaaS 及授權營收1.946 億至 1.948 億美元
2026 年第四季SaaS 及授權營收成長率(中位數)約 8%
2026 年第四季硬體毛利率約 20.5%
2026 全年SaaS 及授權營收7.561 億至 7.563 億美元
2026 全年SaaS 及授權營收成長率約 9.7%
2026 全年總營收11.011 億至 11.113 億美元
2026 全年硬體及其他營收3.45 億至 3.55 億美元
2026 全年調整後 EBITDA2.27 億至 2.29 億美元
2026 全年調整後 EBITDA 利潤率約 20.6%
2026 全年Non-GAAP 調整後淨利1.612 億至 1.626 億美元
2026 全年Non-GAAP 稀釋後 EPS3.02 至 3.04 美元
2027 全年初步財測SaaS 及授權營收8.15 億至 8.2 億美元
2027 全年初步財測硬體及其他營收3.6 億至 3.7 億美元
2027 全年初步財測總營收約 11.75 億至 11.9 億美元
2027 全年初步財測調整後 EBITDA2.4 億至 2.45 億美元
2027 全年初步財測調整後 EBITDA 利潤率(中位數)約 20.5%

更新後的 2026 年 SaaS 及授權營收展望中位數上調了 200 萬美元,調整後 EBITDA 財測則調升 600 萬美元。管理層亦將 non-GAAP EPS 展望較 8 月發布的財測上調了約 0.10 美元。

2027 年初步展望包含來自 CellGate 的 1,500 萬至 2,000 萬美元 SaaS 及授權營收。管理層預期此收購案在未來幾年對 SaaS 毛利率及調整後 EBITDA 利潤率將略有稀釋,但對硬體毛利率則具有增值作用。

風險與關注領域

第三季硬體利潤率與調整後 EBITDA 受益於暫時性的關稅相關成本回收,管理層預期這不會持續。缺少這項收益,加上產品調價前記憶體成本上升,預計將對第四季 EBITDA 造成約 660 萬美元的季減逆風。

管理層表示,在 2027 年底前實現近 21% 的退出調整後 EBITDA 利潤率,將在很大程度上取決於零組件成本、關稅轉嫁情況以及內部投資決策(包括對 CellGate 的投資)。

若 2027 年硬體營收超出公司預期,管理層預估調整後 EBITDA 金額將維持持平,而利潤率則面臨額外壓力。Alarm.com 打算將異常的外部成本增長直接轉嫁,不額外加價。

分析師問答重點

  • 2027 年 SaaS 成長動能:管理層指出,高於歷史水準的留存率、成長型業務的穩健執行、住宅新用戶增長,以及更高的視訊相關 ARPU 均為主要驅動力。
  • 成長型業務:這些業務預計將占 2026 年營收約三分之一,並成長 25% 至 30%。對於 2027 年,管理層的初步展望預估整體成長率將回到 20% 至 25% 的區間。
  • 住宅 ARPU:新用戶 ARPU 每年成長約 5%。視訊 ARPU 在兩年內成長約 30%,帶動新用戶 ARPU 累計成長約 10% 至 5.50 美元左右。
  • 與 ADT 的合作關係:管理層預期在 Thrive 交易完成後,將持續與 ADT 接洽並尋求潛在的合作機會,但目前並未預估 ADT 對 Alarm.com 的貢獻會發生根本性改變。
  • 蘋果家庭平台:Alarm.com 對支援另一種家庭操作介面表示樂觀其成,並指出此類裝置有助於提升用戶參與度。管理層認為相關的 DIY 攝影機產品與其目標客戶群並無直接重疊。

電話會議逐字稿全文


完整財報電話會議逐字稿

管理層陳述

Operator

Please be advised, today's conference is being recorded. I would like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Matthew Zartman. Please go ahead.

Matthew Zartman

Thank you. Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to Alarm.com's third quarter 2026 earnings conference call. Please note that this call is being recorded. Joining us today are Steve Trundle, our CEO, and Kevin Bradley, our CFO.

During today's call, we will be making forward-looking statements, which are predictions, projections, estimates, and other statements about future events. These statements are based on current expectations and assumptions that are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from our current expectations. We refer you to the risk factors discussed in our most recent quarterly report on Form 10-Q, our other SEC filings, and today's earnings release. The call is subject to these risk factors, and we encourage you to review them. Alarm.com assumes no obligation to update forward-looking statements or other information that speak as of their respective dates.

In addition, several non-GAAP financial measures will be discussed on the call. The reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP measures can be found in today's release on our Investor Relations website. I'll now turn the call over to Steve Trundle. Steve?

Stephen Trundle

Thank you, Matt. Good afternoon, and welcome to everyone. We're pleased to report third quarter results that exceeded our expectations. SaaS and license revenue was $191.2 million, and adjusted EBITDA was $66.2 million. I want to thank our service provider partners and our employees for their contributions to these results.

Today, I'll discuss our operating performance, recent additions to our video platform, and our acquisition of CellGate, which we announced today. I'll also provide some thoughts on recent industry developments before turning things over to Kevin to review financials, including our initial look at 2027. During the quarter, we continued to see solid results across our increasingly diverse business.

Third quarter SaaS revenue grew 9% year over year. We expect to finish the year strong and have raised our full-year SaaS revenue guidance. Our core North American residential business performed in line with our expectations, supported by continued strength in revenue retention. During the quarter, our growth initiatives continued to contribute at a size and pace in line with expectations, as indicated by our increased outlook for SaaS revenue in 2026.

Our strong adjusted EBITDA performance benefited from certain one-time hardware cost recoveries and timing effects within hardware gross margin. We do not expect these Q3 timing benefits to persist, and our outlook assumes hardware gross margins return to more typical levels going forward. Kevin will discuss this in more detail.

Shifting to product development, we recently released several new video cameras that give our service providers more installation options and a broader range of price points, allowing them to bring our video services to more customers. Our new battery-powered video doorbell simplifies installation and expands the locations where partners can offer video coverage, including side entrances and detached garages without doorbell wiring. It supports our advanced video analytics capabilities, including familiar face recognition, with AI deterrent support coming soon, and its customer-installable design gives service provider partners another way to offer video upgrades to existing accounts without a service visit.

We also launched an upgraded indoor camera on the premium side of our residential lineup. It combines sharp 4-megapixel image quality, integrated illumination for deterrence, and a privacy shutter that physically blocks the camera's view. This premium model complements the lower-cost indoor camera that we launched earlier this year, giving partners more options to match customers' needs and budgets.

We also enhanced our AI deterrent solution with progressive voice responses. When our video software detects a person in a protected area, it can now initially engage them with a neutral-sounding voice message and then progress to stronger-worded warnings if the person continues to linger. The progression makes the response sound natural and credible, reinforcing the deterrent when a stronger warning is needed.

In our commercial business, we recently acquired CellGate, a provider of gate access and video intercom solutions for commercial properties, small businesses, multifamily communities, ranches, and estate properties. Its cellular-connected products serve vehicle and pedestrian gates with an access control capability without requiring a network line or access to the property's Wi-Fi.

CellGate brings together several characteristics we look for in an acquisition: a specialized product offering, an established relationship with the trade channel, and an opportunity to build recurring services around connected devices. The acquisition extends our reach into the fence and gate contractor market, a channel we have not traditionally served. We estimate that as many as 6,000 fence and gate servicing companies regularly install automated gates in the United States.

CellGate will operate as a standalone business similar to OpenEye, Checked, and others. We plan to support its growth over time by driving integrations with parts of the Alarm.com platform. I want to welcome the CellGate team to Alarm.com.

Lastly, I want to comment on the recent announcement that ADT will receive a major investment from State Farm. In the last 12 months, we have seen substantial capital flow into the residential side of our industry. First, SimpliSafe was acquired by GTCR, and now ADT is being acquired at a substantial premium to its unaffected public market value. I want to congratulate the ADT management team on achieving a great outcome for its shareholders.

We believe that investors continue to find the residential sector attractive for the same reasons that we do. They have a service that many consumers view as essential and a history of steady performance with strong cash flow production in both good times and bad. The work that Alarm.com has done over the years to reimagine security system capabilities and convenience has made these systems even more valued by consumers today.

When substantial investment flows into our industry, it tends to benefit the overall market, including our service providers, our manufacturing partners, banks, and other investors, as confirmation that the industry is deserving of capital. So this is a positive trend for us and other players in the industry.

As it relates to Alarm.com specifically, we will continue to work with and support ADT as a large customer on both the residential side and the SMB side, just as we have been doing for the last decade. And while we are optimistic that the Thrive deal will create opportunities to unlock growth for ADT, we are currently modeling the business contribution to Alarm.com the same way we had been prior to the announcement of the acquisition.

In summary, I'm pleased with our third quarter results and the continued growth we see across the business. Alarm.com has developed durable positions addressing diverse opportunities in residential and commercial security and in virtual power production. With CellGate, we are adding another business line that fits our strong track record of building IoT-integrated SaaS businesses. I want to thank our service provider partners and our team for their hard work, and our investors for their continued trust in our business.

With that, I'll turn things over to Kevin Bradley to review our financials for the quarter, our updated guidance for 2026, and our initial view of 2027. Kevin?

Kevin Bradley

Thanks, Steve. I'll begin by reviewing our third quarter financial results, then turn to our updated guidance for the fourth quarter and full year 2026 before providing our preliminary view of 2027. We are pleased to report another quarter of financial results that exceeded our expectations with continued growth in recurring revenue, earnings, and cash generation.

SaaS and license revenue grew 9% year-over-year to $191.2 million, exceeding the midpoint of our guidance by approximately $1.3 million. This performance reflects contributions from across the business and continued strength in our revenue retention rate, which remained in the 95% range. Hardware and other revenue totaled $88.3 million, up 8.9% year over year. Total revenue grew 9% to $279.4 million, and gross profit increased 10.6% to $186.8 million.

In the core business, higher unit volumes contributed about half of the sequential increase in hardware revenue, with video doorbells making the largest contribution to that volume-driven increase. Hardware gross margin was 28.4%, approximately 650 basis points higher than a year ago.

Results included approximately $3.8 million of temporary benefit associated with tariff-related cost recoveries, which accounts for the majority of the year-over-year gross margin expansion. Separately, higher memory costs are expected to pressure hardware margins going forward, which I will address with our outlook.

During the third quarter, total operating expenses, including depreciation and amortization, were $142.9 million. Total operating expenses excluding depreciation and amortization, stock-based compensation, and other items we adjust from G&A for non-GAAP purposes were $120.2 million, a 6.3% increase year-over-year.

R&D expense, inclusive of stock-based compensation, was $69.7 million, up 4.6% year over year. We ended the quarter with 1,153 R&D employees, essentially unchanged from a year ago. Total Alarm.com headcount was 2,055, which is flat to September 30, 2024, even as we made several acquisitions.

GAAP net income attributable to common stockholders was $34.4 million, or $0.66 per diluted share, compared with $35.3 million, or $0.65 per diluted share, a year ago. Non-GAAP adjusted net income grew 22.3% year-over-year to $48.3 million, and non-GAAP EPS increased 26.8% to $0.90 per diluted share. Adjusted EBITDA grew 19.3% year-over-year to $66.2 million. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 23.7%, approximately 200 basis points higher than in the year-ago quarter. These comparisons use revised non-GAAP definitions we adopted earlier this year applied to both periods.

Much like with hardware gross margins, the year-over-year expansion in adjusted EBITDA margins can largely be attributed to the temporary benefit associated with tariff cost recoveries that I mentioned earlier. Q3 was a bit of an anomaly in that regard.

We produced $69.5 million of free cash flow in the quarter, representing approximately 105% conversion of adjusted EBITDA to free cash flow. Through the first nine months, free cash flow totaled approximately $156.3 million, with cumulative conversion from adjusted EBITDA of 90%. We ended the quarter with $534.7 million of cash on the balance sheet.

We repurchased approximately 241,000 shares for $13.5 million during the quarter, bringing our year-to-date repurchases to approximately 1.2 million shares for $58.5 million. We continue to operate under the $150 million buyback authorization our Board approved earlier this year.

I'll turn now to our financial outlook. For the fourth quarter of 2026, we expect SaaS and license revenue of between $194.6 million and $194.8 million, representing approximately 8% growth at the midpoint.

For the full year 2026, we are raising our SaaS and license revenue outlook to between $756.1 million and $756.3 million, an increase of $2 million at the midpoint from our previous guidance. This represents approximately 9.7% growth for the year. We are raising our total revenue guidance to be between $1.1011 billion and $1.1113 billion, including hardware and other revenue of between $345 million and $355 million. And we're raising our non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA outlook to between $227 million and $229 million, an increase of $6 million at the midpoint from our previous guidance. This implies an adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 20.6% for the year.

Our fourth quarter outlook reflects the absence of the temporary tariff-related cost recovery benefit recognized in Q3, together with near-term pressure from higher memory costs ahead of the full effect of our pricing changes. We anticipate hardware gross margins of approximately 20.5% in Q4. Together, these hardware effects represent approximately $6.6 million of sequential EBITDA headwind.

Fourth quarter marketing spend also includes our large annual partner event, consistent with our normal expense seasonality. Non-GAAP adjusted net income for 2026 is projected to be between $161.2 million and $162.6 million, or $3.02 to $3.04 per diluted share. This increases our EPS outlook by approximately $0.10 from our August guidance. EPS is based on approximately 56.3 million weighted average diluted shares outstanding for the year.

We currently project our non-GAAP tax rate to remain at approximately 21%. We expect full-year stock-based compensation expense of between $32 million and $33 million.

Before turning to our preliminary view of 2027, I want to comment on our annual planning process, which is well underway. We continue to prioritize organic reinvestment based on the returns we can earn across the business. Each year, we review our existing initiatives and assess their progress to determine where to continue investing and where to reallocate capital.

As Steve discussed, CellGate adds another recurring revenue business built around connected devices. We expect it to contribute between $15 million and $20 million of SaaS and license revenue in 2027, with modestly dilutive SaaS gross margins, accretive hardware gross margins, and dilutive adjusted EBITDA margins for the next couple of years. We believe it provides us with another solid growth vector in our commercial and SMB business, and we see longer-term opportunities to expand profitability as its recurring revenue base scales.

Our preliminary outlook for 2027 includes SaaS and license revenue of between $815 million and $820 million. We anticipate approximately $360 million to $370 million of hardware and other revenue, implying total revenue of approximately $1.175 billion to $1.19 billion. We currently project non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA of between $240 million and $245 million, implying an adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 20.5% for the full year at the midpoint.

As Steve discussed on our earnings call a year ago at this time, we have been operating with a target of exiting 2027 with adjusted EBITDA margins in the 21% range, assuming broadly consistent revenue mix and gross margin profiles. Our preliminary look at 2027 places us near that target with full-year performance at around the 20.5% level.

Our ability to squeeze out another half a percent by end of year will likely be heavily dependent on how hardware margins trend in the face of substantial component cost increases and tariff pass-throughs, as well as the choices we make in 2027 regarding organic reinvestment into the business, including newly acquired CellGate.

Generally, investors should anticipate that if hardware revenues in 2027 exceed our forecast, then adjusted EBITDA dollars will be flat and margins will be pressured some. We believe passing through these external and somewhat extraordinary cost increases without an additional markup from Alarm.com is the right approach for our service provider partners and their customers, reinforcing the long-term alignment that underpins our business model.

We will continue to firm up our estimates and will provide formal annual guidance for 2027 when we report our fourth quarter 2026 financial results early next year.

In closing, we're pleased with our results through the first nine months of the year. We remain focused on expanding our recurring revenue base, sustaining earnings and cash generation, and deploying capital toward opportunities that create long-term value for our shareholders.

With that, operator, please open the call for Q&A.

Operator

[Operator Instructions]

Our first question comes from Adam Tindle with Raymond James.

分析師問答

Adam Tindle

I just wanted to start, Kevin, and maybe Steve, you can jump in here. I was doing the math on the initial guidance for the SaaS revenue in 2027. And if I've got it right on an organic basis, ex-CellGate, I think it's just north of 5.5% and maybe even close to 6% growth organic, which going back through my notes is a tick above where you initially started out 2026 despite a higher revenue dollar base.

So I'm just wondering, it seems like this business or this line item is maybe poised to accelerate a little bit. Just what are the drivers that lead you to a robust initial forecast and the momentum that you're seeing in the business on the SaaS side?

Kevin Bradley

Yes, hey, Adam. Thanks for the question. You know, I think we've seen a myriad of things that are leading us to maybe appear a little bit more bullish than we were around this time last year. We continue to see the growth initiatives sort of execute at a level slightly above what our expectations were.

I think as you've seen over the past three quarters, we've continuously operated above the high end of what our historical range was in terms of revenue retention, which has been a nice tailwind that will lead some RMR roll-forward this year. And the residential business, outside of that, in terms of account creation and ARPU specifically related to video, has been a bit of a positive for us as well.

Stephen Trundle

Yes, Adam, good question. I think Kevin probably hit it all. I just would generally say some of the areas that are growing are reaching a bit more scale, so we're getting a little uplift there.

Adam Tindle

Got it. Okay. And maybe just as a follow-up, Steve, you mentioned sort of the industry developments in your prepared remarks. I wanted to double-click on that. Obviously, with ADT, good acknowledgment of value. I wonder, you know, how that could potentially change your relationship with ADT. Is this maybe an opportunity to re-engage? I know it's probably very preliminary, but just some thoughts there.

And the other one that you didn't mention was Apple and their announcement to kind of, you know, re-enter or whatever we want to call it in the home. I wonder if you might just opine a little bit on that announcement as well. Thanks.

Stephen Trundle

Sure. Sure. Yes, with regard to Apple, so I guess the way we look at their entry is we welcome any type of Alexa-like interface coming from Apple that may sit in the home and compete with both Alexa and the Google Home device. Those tend to be devices that we like to support and that drive a lot of user engagement.

And of course, over the years, we've always been pretty solid in our support for all of the Apple interfaces, whether it be CarPlay or Siri or anything, all iPhone devices. I think we were the first to build a security app on the iPhone. So general excitement that we now have a device coming in from Apple.

Not that worried about some of the DIY products, I guess I would say, on the LG cameras and things of that nature that don't really intersect with our type of customer, but I think our premium customer may well have a desire to have a device in the kitchen that provides us another interface. So general, I'd say, enthusiasm for supporting the device.

With regard to the Thrive deal that I mentioned, yes, I think we'll have some opportunities to re-engage through time. I mean, we probably need to give them a month or so to let the dust settle and to figure out sort of the strategy. It's not as if we've ever really, by the way, sort of disengaged, if you will. We talk to the existing ADT management team regularly and have a good relationship there.

I think my expectation at the moment is that that will be the team going forward. And so I would expect to maintain the engagement, look for some opportunities that are maybe win-win, that we can collaborate on and kind of keep going. I don't know that I'm expecting a fundamental change of any sort at this moment, just sort of a public-to-private shift.

Operator

[Operator Instructions]

Our next question comes from Steven Sheldon with William Blair.

Matthew Filek

Hey, everyone. You have Matt Filek on for Steven Sheldon. Can you provide some more color on the growth segments? What was their percentage of SaaS revenue and rough growth rates for the quarter? And then what did you embed in your early look 2027 guidance for these growth segments?

Kevin Bradley

Yes, Matt, thanks for the question. I think the way we're referring to the growth initiatives this quarter is that cumulatively through Q3 and for the full year based on our new outlook, we're still expecting them to be about a third of revenue and growing in that 25% to 30% range. There's really no real change to that. They performed slightly better than we thought in Q3, so that's kind of basis points better than we thought, but generally in line.

As we get into next year a little bit, you know, the expectation has always been that it's sort of reverting back to the 20% to 25% sort of aggregate growth range that we've been referring to for the past several years. So that's what our current expectation is in that first look we gave.

Matthew Bullock

Great, thank you for that color, Kevin. And then in your core residential business, I think you have historically talked about blended residential ARPU roughly $5 per subscriber per month, but with increased camera adoption and upselling opportunities, how should we think about where that blended ARPU stands today and the potential for further upside to that over time?

Kevin Bradley

Yes, I would say that that's, on new account creation, that's been moving steadily up to the tune of 5% or so per year. So if you rewind the clock a couple of years, for example, we would have said probably around $5. What we've seen over the past couple years with video specifically, as we've spent a great deal of R&D dollars on building out that solution, is that the ARPU, when you're taking video, has actually grown by about 30%.

So when you combine that with our video attach rate, you wind up getting probably a 10% or so cumulative increase in new account ARPU over that two-year period. So I think about that more as like the $5.50 range at this point.

Matthew Bullock

Great. Very helpful. Thank you.

Operator

[Operator Instructions]

Our next question comes from Jack Vander Aarde with Maxim Group.

Jack Vander Aarde

Steve, maybe keep it short. You provided an update last quarter on the commercial fire opportunity and offering that you announced. It sounded like that was a pretty meaningful long-term driver. How's that progressing? Any material updates to note there?

Stephen Trundle

Yes. Good reminder, Jack. That's—it's progressing. We've now gotten to the point that I think we have over 600 service providers that have installed at least one service—not a test unit, but one commercial paying unit. ARPU is about where we expect it. We're building momentum there.

We've got a couple of UL listings to continue to sort of grab, UL being just the ratings that you put on the communication device. So still have a little work to do there to get to the full TAM, but early engagement with our partners is solid and looks like things are going well there so far.

Jack Vander Aarde

Okay, great. And then maybe just separately, on the international business specifically, I appreciate, Kevin, your comments on the kind of the combined aggregate growth businesses. As far as international goes, it's not a routine metric that you provide, but it did hit that milestone of over a million subscribers, which is great to see.

Just any general comments there, how international's been, how new account creation is trending, anything you can provide there? Thanks.

Stephen Trundle

Sure, Jack. Yes, that was an exciting milestone. International is still growing at a rate faster than the overall consolidated business, but relative to our goals, has been a little bit slower—not a little slower than we had hoped.

I think that on the residential side, the international consumer, particularly in Europe, is probably feeling more pressure now even than what we sense here in the U.S., particularly around fuel prices. So we've been focused a bit more on commercial, getting some traction there, getting decent video attachment on the commercial accounts.

And then we've got, I think, a decent pipeline at the moment of opportunities. We're having some success with MSOs or carriers outside of the U.S. So we've got a couple of pipeline opportunities there we're excited about.

So it's continuing to move. I'd like to see it accelerate and really be kind of an accretive driver to the overall set of growth initiatives. At the moment, it's probably, of the ones we talk about, the laggard, but still growing faster than the consolidated business.

Jack Vander Aarde

Okay, great. I appreciate the time, guys. Thank you.

Operator

I'm not showing any further questions at this time. This does conclude today's conference. We thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect and have a wonderful day.

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