Teleconferência de Resultados do 3T26 da California Water Service Group (CWT): Receita Sobe 6,7%, CapEx Atinge US$ 425 Mi

O California Water Service Group (NYSE: CWT) reportou alta nas receitas e no lucro do terceiro trimestre e do acumulado de nove meses, impulsionado pelo reajuste de tarifas, pela adição de novos clientes e por receitas de contas regulatórias. A administração também destacou a continuidade na alocação de capital, o avanço em aquisições e a cobertura de financiamento estendendo-se até 2027.

Principais Destaques

• A receita no 3T26 aumentou 6,7% na comparação anual, atingindo US$ 332,2 milhões, enquanto o lucro líquido subiu para US$ 65,4 milhões e o LPA diluído alcançou US$ 1,05.
• A receita no acumulado de nove meses aumentou 9,6%, para US$ 855,3 milhões. O lucro líquido no ano até o momento foi de US$ 125,9 milhões, ou US$ 2,07 por ação diluída.
• Os investimentos em capital (capex) totalizaram US$ 148 milhões no 3T e US$ 425 milhões no acumulado do ano. A administração projeta um crescimento anual composto (CAGR) da base de ativos tarifários de quase 12%, para aproximadamente US$ 3,5 bilhões até o final de 2028, sujeito à conclusão dos investimentos planejados dentro do cronograma.
• A CWT planeja solicitar um aumento tarifário escalonado (step-rate) na Califórnia para 2027 por volta de 15 de novembro. Há aproximadamente US$ 49 milhões potencialmente disponíveis, sujeitos a um teste de rentabilidade vinculado à alocação de capital aprovada.
• Aprovações regulatórias no Oregon e em Nevada posicionam a empresa para concluir suas aquisições da Nexus Water antes do fim do ano. Custos não recorrentes de integração são estimados entre US$ 7 milhões e US$ 9 milhões.
• O conselho de administração declarou seu 327º dividendo trimestral consecutivo no valor de US$ 0,34 por ação, elevando o dividendo projetado para 2026 a US$ 1,34 por ação, um aumento de 8,1% em relação a 2025.

Principais Resultados Financeiros

A receita no acumulado do ano também incluiu US$ 15,7 milhões de uma conta memorando de tarifas provisórias, US$ 9,9 milhões do reconhecimento de receita diferida remanescente do Mecanismo de Ajuste de Receita de Água (WRAM) e US$ 3,9 milhões em receitas da RBOMA.

Desempenho Negocial e Operacional

O California Water Service Group investiu US$ 425 milhões nos primeiros nove meses de 2026. A administração afirmou que o programa de capital gerou uma taxa de crescimento anual composta (CAGR) de aproximadamente 11% nos investimentos brutos em capital ao longo de 10 anos.

A empresa espera que sua base de ativos tarifários atinja aproximadamente US$ 3,5 bilhões até o final de 2028, representando um crescimento anual composto projetado de quase 12%, assumindo que os projetos planejados sejam concluídos dentro do cronograma.

O programa de PFAS previsto pela CWT soma aproximadamente US$ 228 milhões em investimentos brutos de capital na Califórnia, no Novo México e em Washington. A empresa investiu US$ 47,5 milhões em projetos de tratamento e substituição de poços durante o 3T e possui 65 projetos planejados, incluindo 18 unidades na Califórnia em construção. As indenizações líquidas de litígios totalizaram US$ 59,4 milhões e serão utilizadas para abater os custos do programa.

Os desenvolvimentos regulatórios recentes incluíram:

• Um aumento de receita de US$ 4,1 milhões em Washington, em vigor a partir de 1º de outubro.
• Um aumento de receita de US$ 1,9 milhão para os sistemas da empresa no Havaí.
• Autorização na Califórnia para um processo de carta de notificação (advice-letter) cobrindo aproximadamente US$ 130 milhões em custos de capital relacionados a PFAS.
• Manutenção da autorização de retorno sobre o patrimônio líquido (ROE) da Cal Water em 10,27% para 2027, dado que o mecanismo de ajuste do Moody's Utility Bond Index não foi acionado. O retorno autorizado sobre a base de ativos tarifários permanece em 7,46%, com uma estrutura de capital de 53,4% de capital próprio e 46,6% de dívida.

A Comissão de Serviços Públicos do Oregon aprovou a mudança de controle para a transação da Nexus Water, após a aprovação de Nevada em agosto. A administração espera concluir as aquisições no Oregon e em Nevada antes do final de 2026. No Texas, a empresa informou que a decisão sobre o processo tarifário da BVRT foi incluída na pauta da comissão para 5 de novembro. O número de clientes da BVRT subiu 12% no acumulado do ano até o 3T.

Perspectivas da Administração

A administração prevê dar entrada no pedido de aumento tarifário escalonado da Califórnia por volta de 15 de novembro. O valor estimado disponível é de aproximadamente US$ 49 milhões, mas a recuperação depende de um teste de rentabilidade vinculado à execução pela empresa de projetos de capital previamente aprovados.

A CWT espera concluir as aquisições da Nexus Water antes do fim do ano. Custos não recorrentes de integração são estimados entre US$ 7 milhões e US$ 9 milhões e serão incorridos ao longo de 2026 e 2027.

A empresa afirmou que seu financiamento concluído e contratado deve cobrir o pagamento de dívidas de curto prazo, os investimentos em andamento e as aquisições no Oregon e em Nevada até pelo menos o primeiro semestre de 2027. Na sessão de perguntas e respostas, a administração indicou que a capacidade de financiamento pode se estender até o 3T27.

Quanto aos dividendos, a administração descreveu uma diretriz de planejamento de crescimento anual de aproximadamente 7% e um payout ratio de 50% a 60%, observando que o payout pode oscilar ao longo do ciclo tarifário de três anos da Califórnia.

Riscos e Pontos de Atenção

A inflação continua sendo uma pressão de custos. A administração informou que os custos de combustível ficaram cerca de 20% a 30% mais altos na comparação anual, impactando uma frota de quase 1.000 veículos. Os custos de materiais também subiram, embora a empresa tenha afirmado que essas pressões se mantiveram gerenciáveis dentro dos orçamentos operacionais.

Os gastos de capital podem oscilar entre os anos devido a fatores meteorológicos, licenciamentos e atrasos em análises ambientais. A administração alertou que chuvas intensas associadas à previsão de um super El Niño podem desacelerar a construção, motivando esforços para acelerar projetos no 4T.

Custos mais altos no fornecimento de água no atacado aumentaram as despesas de produção no acumulado do ano, enquanto a redução no consumo dos clientes reduziu a receita do 3T em US$ 4,4 milhões. Reduções programadas nos benefícios da lei Tax Cuts and Jobs Act também elevaram as despesas tributárias.

Outras pressões de curto prazo sobre os resultados incluem custos de aquisição e integração, menores ganhos em investimentos de planos de benefícios não qualificados e a diluição decorrente da emissão de ações. A administração afirmou que os custos de integração de aquisições não podem ser repassados aos clientes.

Destaques da Sessão de Perguntas e Respostas com Analistas

Inflação e cadeia de suprimentos: A administração informou que a principal questão são os custos mais elevados de insumos, e não a disponibilidade de produtos. A CWT fortaleceu sua cadeia de suprimentos e antecipou compras de estoques selecionados durante a pandemia, ficando mais bem posicionada no suprimento de materiais.

Financiamento para 2027: A empresa captou US$ 49,8 milhões por meio de seu programa de emissão de ações ATM durante o 3T e celebrou acordos de venda a termo que devem gerar outros US$ 77,8 milhões em recursos líquidos. Também estruturou US$ 125 milhões em dívida não garantida na holding e US$ 150 milhões em títulos com garantia imobiliária (mortgage bonds) da Cal Water com vencimentos de 2031 a 2050.

Execução de capital: A administração aconselhou os investidores a avaliar a alocação de capital ao longo do ciclo tarifário de três anos da Califórnia, em vez de um único ano. Licenciamentos, análises ambientais e o clima podem alterar o cronograma dos projetos, embora a empresa busque um crescimento anual de capital de aproximadamente 10% a 11%.

Estrutura de dividendos: A administração disse que planeja um piso para o crescimento dos dividendos em torno de 7% e um payout ratio de 50% a 60%, sujeito à aprovação do conselho e às variações normais ao longo do ciclo de processo tarifário.

Transcrição Completa da Teleconferência de Resultados

Transcrição completa da teleconferência de resultados

Comentários da administração

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to California Water Service Group Q3 2026 earnings call. [Operator Instructions] I will now turn the call over to James P. Lynch. You may begin.

James Lynch

Thank you, Colby. Welcome, everyone, to the third quarter 2026 results call for the California Water Service Group. With me today is Martin A. Kropelnicki, our Chairman and CEO. A replay of this call and webcast can be found in our quarterly results earnings release, which was issued earlier today. The call replay will be available until December 28th. A reminder, before we begin, a copy of the slide deck to accompany today's earnings call, the slide deck (with an 's') and is also available on the company's website at www.calwatergroup.com. Before looking at our third quarter 2026 results, I'd like to cover forward-looking statements. During our call, we may make certain forward-looking statements. Because these statements deal with future events, they are subject to various risks and uncertainties, and actual results could differ materially from the company's current expectations. As a result, we strongly advise all our shareholders and interested parties to carefully read the company's disclosures on risks and uncertainties found in our 10-K or 10-Qs, press releases, and other reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. And now, I'll turn it over to Marty.

Martin Kropelnicki

Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. We're very pleased with the continued execution of our 2026 business plan. As we are only three quarters in the year with one to go, there are five major areas that we would like to provide an update on. First, a general update on the financials for the quarter, which include the results of our rate on for general rate case, which rates took effect in the third quarter. Second, we want to talk about our record infrastructure investment that brings it up to just under $425 million to date. We continue to balance system needs with affordability. Third, we want to talk about our progress on closing our announced acquisition of the Oregon and Nevada assets that we are acquiring from Nexus Water Service Company. Yesterday, the Board of Directors declared our 327th consecutive quarterly dividend, which puts our anticipated dividend for the year at $1.34 for the year, which is up 8.1% year-over-year. And finally, I'd like to spend a few moments to talk about emergency preparedness and emergency response. I think, as we know, this super El Niño has gotten a lot of press recently, and we'll talk about how we prepare for the winter that's ahead. So, prior to going through some of the other topic items that Jim outlined, I'm going to turn it over to Jim to talk about the financials for the quarter.

James Lynch

Thanks, Marty. Our third quarter net income was $65.4 million, or $1.05 per diluted share. That compares to $61.2 million, or $1.03 per diluted share in the third quarter of 2025. Revenue increased $21 million, or 6.7%, to $332.2 million, compared to $311.2 million last year. The primary revenue drivers included $22.1 million from new customers and $3.9 million from changes in our Rate Base Offset Memorandum Account (RBOMA). These increases were partially offset by a $4.4 million reduction related to lower customer water usage. Operating expenses increased $8.9 million, or 3.7%, to $249.5 million. Water production costs for the third quarter were largely unchanged, as wholesale water costs were partially offset by lower customer usage. Other operations expenses increased $4.1 million, primarily driven by a $2.8 million increase in water conservation program expenditures. Income taxes on operating income increased $7.1 million, and that reflects higher pretax income and scheduled reduction in the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) reform. We also experienced a $3.9 million decline in gains on our non-qualified benefit plan investment assets. Finally, you can see the impact of this activity on our change in Q3 diluted earnings per share. Now at the diluted earnings per share, impacting through the issuance of new shares during the quarter, it's through our ATM program to partially fund our ongoing capital investment, our planned acquisition activities, and to pay down balances on our bank line of credit. I'll discuss this financing in more detail later in the call. Turning to year-to-date net income, from the end of the third quarter, it was $125.9 million, or $2.07 per diluted share, comparing to net income of $116.7 million, or $1.96 per diluted share for the same period in 2025. Revenue was $855.3 million, which is an increase of $75.1 million, or 9.6%, compared to $780.2 million year-to-date in 2025. The primary revenue drivers included rate increases and new customers, which added $51.9 million. Interim rates memorandum account revenue, which is associated with the California OII GRCE, added $15.7 million. Recognition of the remaining deferred water revenue adjustment mechanism (WRAM) revenue added $9.9 million, and RBOMA revenue contributed $3.9 million. Operating expenses increased $48.2 million, or 7.63%, to $683.6 million, compared to $635 million in 2025. The contributors to the change included water production costs that increased 14.1% due to higher wholesale water costs, which were partially offset by a lower customer usage. Other operations expenses increased $19.9 million, and that increase is primarily due to the recognition of $8.1 million in deferred RAMs and higher water conservation program expenses. A $5.5 million in additional income taxes increased $13.1 million, due to higher pretax operating income and the scheduled reduction of the TCJA reform. We also experienced a $3 million decline in gains on our non-qualified benefit plan investment assets year-over-year, and an increase in business acquisition expenses related to the two acquisitions Marty just referred to, of $4.1 million. On slide 8 of the slide deck, you can see the impact of this activity on our change in Q3 year-to-date diluted earnings per share. Looking at our infrastructure investments on slide 9, the reported capital expenditures was $148 million, and year-to-date we have invested $425 million, or a 10-year compounded annual growth rate of gross capital is right around 11%. Yet, it's probably noteworthy to add that in California regulation, we have the ability to on what's called a step increase. In the outbound years of the rate case, so year one of the rate case for new rates next year, 2027, and 2028, we have the ability for what's called that step increase. But it's subject to an earnings test. This earnings test is based on our ability to get the capital that was pre-approved in our rate case in the ground. Given the size and aggressive pace of our capital program, at the end, we're very well positioned to capture a big chunk of the $49 million step increase available. We'll be closing the order now, and around November 15th, we will be filing for that step increase, but anticipate that we're going to do very, very well on that step increase for 2027 rates.

Martin Kropelnicki

Thanks, Jim. And then you can see, in addition to the effective rate increase on slide 10 of the slide deck, the growth in our capital program has been on our rate base. Our projected compounded annual rate base growth is nearly 12%, to approximately $3.5 billion by the end of 2028, assuming we complete our planned capital investments on schedule. Overall, we're really pleased with the progress we're making in our capital program and our future rate-based growth opportunity. Moving to slide 11, at the end of the quarter, we had $45.1 million in cash and cash equivalents and $45.8 million restricted cash. We also had $200 million of available short-term borrowing capacity at Group and $225 million at Cal Water, and those borrowing capacities are subject to credit line borrowing conditions. Regarding our financing activities, during the quarter, we raised $49.8 million from our at-the-market (ATM) equity program. We also entered into forward sales agreements that we can settle up to 12 months from the agreement date and will generate an additional $77.8 million in net proceeds. The quarter also signed agreements for $125 million in unsecured debt at Group and $150 million in mortgage bonds to Cal Water, with maturities that range from 2031 to 2050. With the long-term debt agreements and equity forward agreements in place, our retained earnings and the equity issued in Q3, we believe we have the resources necessary now to pay down our existing short-term debt balances and to finance our ongoing initiatives into the first half of 2027, including the acquisitions of the Oregon and Nevada systems. Lastly, recall that Cal Water's cost of capital decision includes an adjustment mechanism for movement in the Moody's Utility Bond Index. This adjustment mechanism was not triggered during the most recent measurement period, and as a result, our current authorized 10.27% return on equity in Cal Water will remain in effect for 2027. In addition, the authorized return on rate base will remain at 7.46%, and the authorized capital structure at 53.4% equity and 46.6% debt. With that, I'll turn the call back over to Marty.

James Lynch

Thanks, Jim. On slide 12, I want to provide everyone an update on recent regulatory approvals that support our continued investment in safe, reliable, and affordable water service. There are three things that happened that are noteworthy. First, the Washington UTC approved a $4.1 million revenue increase effective October 1st for our service company in Washington. In addition, the Hawaii Public Service Commission approved a $1.9 million revenue increase for our Populous systems in Hawaii. Additionally, during the quarter, the State of California Public Utilities Commission authorized an advice letter process to seek approximately $130 million in capital costs associated with our PFAS program. That was driven by the application with out of the Foster City reach an additional $2.5 million in expenses for certain PFAS projects going on. On slide 13, we continue to advance our PFAS plans program with approximately $228 million in capital investment. That's a gross amount. That's been brought back. Just a minute. The investment will be made in California, New Mexico, and Washington. This includes anticipated and new wipe your water construction as well. In the third quarter, we invested $47.5 million in treatment and well replacement, with a total program investment to date of $47.5 million. We currently have 65 projects planned, including 18 California sites, all under construction. In addition, I think, as many of you know, we've been a very active participant representing the water industry on recovery of a pass-through from the polluters that contributed PFAS to the water systems. To date, we have recovered a net $59.4 million in litigation costs. That amount will be used to offset the $228 million. As of right now, projected $228 million minus the $59.4 million, you get about $159 million net rate base addition for the PFAS projects. Moving on to slide 14, and I think this is a very important slide, as it's always had a keen focus on affordability. We've been able to maintain 100% growth rate on our capital investment, while keeping rates affordable and affordability.

Martin Kropelnicki

Inflation and what's happening in the U.S. today, as well as it's a pretty hot political topic. We like to show this slide because it shows the company has actually done a really good job at balancing affordability with our maintained 10% company growth rate on our capital investment line. What this slide really shows is that the median Cal Water bill represents about 0.88% of the median household income. So the EPA, Environmental Protection Agency, publishes some guidelines on rate affordability. And water rates that are generally below 2% of an average household income is considered affordable. The slide we show from 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, and 2025, how we've been able to keep that rate right around 1% while we continue to grow our asset rate base. And we think that's a very important point and a key part of our strategy as we balance affordability with the needs of the system. A number of ways we do the balance of affordability. Obviously, the litigation with the PFAS project is a good example of that. We actively pursue grants. We do invest heavily in conservation programs. And then we try to do a number of things for our customers, including we have a rate support fund. We have a great online tool. If a customer can't afford to pay the bill, they can spread it out over multiple months and do it through the portal itself. And so all these things kind of work together in terms of helping us balance affordability with the needs of maintaining safe and reliable water service. Moving on to slide 15, many of you have seen this slide before. I think it best represents our commitment to our shareholders as it reflects our 59 years of consecutive dividend increases. Obviously, 2027 will be a new year, and as we move into the new year, Jim and I will start our dialogue with our Board of Directors and looking at what should our dividend be for 2027. Yesterday, our Board of Directors declared our 327th quarterly dividend at $0.34 a share, and that sets up our indicated dividend for 2026 at $1.34 a share, which is an increase of 8.1% over 2025. Moving on to slide 16, I want to give everyone an update on our strategic initiatives. We continue to advance the Oregon and Nevada acquisitions from Nexus Water. The integration planning remains on schedule and within budget. Yesterday, we received approval for our change of control applications from the Oregon Public Utility Commission. And this is on top of the approval we received from the Nevada Commission in August. So this sets us up to close these acquisitions before the end of the year. Integration planning and cooperation among the two companies has gone very, very well. In fact, I don't think we could ask for a better partner to work on an acquisition than what we have with Nexus Water. And we estimate our total integration costs. These will be one-time costs that we incur as we move the assets over and bring them onto our platform, to be between $7 million and $9 million. Part of that will be incurred this year as we're doing all the integration planning and setup work now, and part of it will be incurred next year as we actually bring them onto our platform and bring them live onto our systems. So, it's looking very good as Jim indicated. You know, we got the financing lined up and we will be working hard to close this out before the end of the year. At BVRT, the consolidated rate case has been returned to the Commission for approval with interim rates that still remain in effect. One of the nice things about Texas is you get interim rates where you're waiting for regular approval. In addition, the change in control application has been reviewed and is deemed complete, quote unquote, complete and sent back to the Commission for final approval that we are expected to get sometime soon. It's not on the docket yet. Texas is a little different than the other states. It can take a little longer to get through the approval process. But the application itself was deemed complete and now we're just waiting for a final approval. In addition, BVRT continues to grow at a very healthy rate. This year, year-to-date, we've increased 12% new customers during the third quarter. So we are continuing to see the growth that we're seeing in that Texas corridor, and we expect that will continue well into the new year. Looking at some other highlights during the third quarter, we continue to celebrate and recognize the century of service. On October 14th was our actual 100-year anniversary. October 14th, 2026, our founders acquired the water system in Chico, followed by acquiring the water systems in Visalia and Bakersfield, all on October 15th. All three of these systems are still owned and operated by California Water Service Group and still growing, which I think is fantastic. So we had a number of customer and community outreach events to help celebrate our 100-year anniversary. It's been very well received and it's been a fun year reflecting on our 100 years of service. During the quarter, we also started providing water service to approximately 400 students at Indianola Elementary School, which is outside our service territory in Selma. They were having a lot of water quality problems, so we built the connection from our system to their school. And I think this is a good example of projects we've done. We do in the community where we can help a disadvantaged community that does not have access to clean, reliable water by connecting them to our existing system. So it helps lower the marginal costs for all the participants, but it helps expand the service territory to places where they may not have good quality drinking water. And then lastly, I want to take a moment to talk about emergency preparedness and response in light of it being forecasted a super El Niño year. For many of you that know us, Cal Water does spend a lot of time on emergency preparedness and emergency planning. Over the years, we have developed a set of standing operating procedures that we use in order to work off of as we prepare for and respond to certain disasters. Whether it's a wildfire, whether it's a hurricane, whether it's a flood, whether it's red flag conditions that you'll get down in Southern California with the Santa Ana winds, which you've probably read about the last couple of weeks. There's a whole set of policies and procedures that we follow as we deal with these events. It's really about the preparation behind the event. Then it's about the methodology responding to the event. For example, we have had three hurricanes in Hawaii, one of which was a direct hit on the island of Hawaii in the area of Waipu, which we serve, and I'm very happy to report that yes, it was a direct hit. Yes, we had probably $2 million worth of damage. We had no service outages because the team did a good job preparing and responding to the event. And so obviously going into the new year, we've spent a lot of time with our field operations, which is led by Mike Mares, and he's done a great job making sure everyone's ready, all of our systems are in place, all of our backup generators are working, and we have the extra equipment and tools needed to respond to things that may happen as we go into what is anticipated to be a pretty strong winter for the West Coast. Looking ahead at what to watch for in the fourth quarter, obviously the step increase that I mentioned, you know, there's kind of $49 million, an estimated $49 million in the bucket that's available, depending on how well we did our capital program. I'm feeling very comfortable about that, and we will file for that around November 15th. We anticipate the planning of the transaction with Nexus Water before the end of the year. And as Jim said, financially, things are lined up, the teams are working very well together, and I anticipate that closing before the end of the year. And of course, we have a lot of capital to get in the ground during the fourth quarter. And with the anticipated rains that might come with El Niño, we want to try to accelerate as much capital as we can in the fourth quarter, because in the event of heavy rains, it'll certainly slow down the capital program as we move into. And, of course, all the emergency preparedness and emergency response things that we are doing. So with that, Colby, that ends the formal part of our presentation. And let's go ahead and open up for Q&A, please.

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. [Operator Instructions] I will pause just for a moment to compile the Q&A roster.

Martin Kropelnicki

Hey, Colby, while we're waiting for that roster to come in, we just got some news that just came in from the Texas Commission that our rate case decision is on the agenda for approval on November 5th. So that literally just came in across the wire. So we want to share that information as well.

Operator

Okay, thank you. And our first question is going to come from Davis Sunderland from Baird. Your line is open.

Perguntas e respostas

Davis Sunderland

Good morning, guys. That's got to be the most real-time update. I think I've ever heard on a conference call. Congrats on that. That's great news. Maybe two questions for me today and appreciate the time. Obviously, the pushback against utility rate cases and just kind of this general environment we're in of inflation and heightened focus on affordability has been well covered. I guess on the flip side of that, I wanted to focus a bit more on inflation, just impacting expenses for you guys. And specifically, if you could just talk about what you're seeing on the OpEx and CapEx fronts, if there's been any material changes in supply chain or other expense items. I guess I'll leave it there for our first question.

Martin Kropelnicki

Yeah, so on the supply chain side, obviously, you know, we're not immune to inflationary increases. And one of the things I pointed out to our board yesterday when Jim and I were updating them on the financials, you know, we're paying, you know, essentially 20% to 30% more for fuel year over year, and we have, you know, almost 1,000 vehicles that we roll on a daily basis. So we've been able to absorb the inflationary increases into our operating budgets. And so it's there. It's real. That step increase that we have in California is really important. One of the nice things about California is they do approve the capital in advance, which means it's in the tariff rates. And that's why it's subject to an earnings test. And with California being our largest subsidiary, that's why that pot of money is so big, that $49 million. And so, you know, obviously getting that step increase and getting a big piece of that money, that $49 million, will go a long way to offset a lot of the inflation that we're seeing in California. So I would say we haven't seen anything that's a line item buster when you look at the operating budgets and the line items. But certainly, you know, fuel costs are up, material costs are up. I don't think, you know, from an economist perspective, you've seen the full oil shock effect or the diesel shock effect of what's going to happen to inflation here in the rest of the fourth quarter. If you saw the Producer Price Index, you know, it had its largest increase that it's had since 2022, which that increase in 2022 was driven by, really the COVID and the excess government spending on the COVID response. So I don't think we're through the worst of it yet, but I will say from a company perspective, we've been able to manage it and work through the budget lines. And generally speaking, the management team at Cal Water does a very good job at hitting their budget targets. We're just pivoting and turning and saving where we can, realizing we've got to spend more in other areas like fuel.

James Lynch

Yes, I think the other part of your question, Davis, with regards to supplies, we did a really good job during COVID to kind of strengthen our supply chain and to advance purchase certain supplies, inventory that was hard to get. And, you know, we've kept a pretty keen eye on that since. So I think we're pretty well positioned relative to our supply chain. It's really a cost issue that Marty was talking about.

Davis Sunderland

That's great perspective. Thank you, guys, very much. And then maybe I guess I'll direct the second one to you, Jim, but also, of course, Marty, if you have any thoughts, just wondering how you guys are thinking about equity and debt needs for 2027 or starting to do the planning process for next year. Obviously, inflation is one thing, but we've also got a higher interest rate environment and inflation. I guess, links to one another there, but just wondering how you guys are thinking about the outlook for next year or any other financing considerations. And thank you very much.

James Lynch

Yes, I think I think we're pretty well set going into the first half of next year. We did, you know, the debt offering that we did, we've not yet taken possession of the proceeds, if you will, and it's not reflected yet in our results, and so it's not included in Q3, but it was a really successful offering. We were oversubscribed six, seven times, eight times, depending upon where in the structure you're looking at. We got really good spreads on it with the understanding that T-Bills, which the debt is tied to, is higher now than it was this time last year. But we, I think, did a good job in terms of raising the amount that we're going to need into the first half of 2027, maybe into the first three quarters of 2027. And then from an equity perspective, you know, we have 12 months to draw down on the equity that we raised through the forward. And we were already reflecting the equity that was raised during Q3 through our results, and that'll continue. So I think we're looking pretty good into Q3 of next year. And then we'll, as we go into 2027 and start to put together our capital budgets, we'll assess when we think we might need to be back in the market. But I'm pretty confident that going into the first half of the year, we're pretty well situated and we're not going to be looking to raise much going forward.

Davis Sunderland

during that period. Great stuff. Appreciate it, guys. Thank you very much.

Martin Kropelnicki

All right, David. Thank you.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Matt V. Gay with Frieden Broker. Your line is open.

Unknown Speaker

Yes. Hey, Marty. How are you? Good morning. Yes, very good. Thank you. Thank you for the call. Yes. Strong operating results, yeah, congratulations. So, the question is just about the CapEx line. So I see that with the forecast of $627 million and your actual nine-month result, pretty much left for Q4, which is a bit higher. Share of nine months. So do you think your plan is still intact, or we can expect some slip into 2027 from what's expected, and how is it overall going on with the CapEx? So if everything is smooth enough. Thank you so much.

Martin Kropelnicki

Yeah, you know, I think that the easiest way to think about our CapEx, especially in California, which is, you know, 90% of our company is California. The best way to think about it is really looking at the three-year rate cycle. And I say that because capital will get push and pulled year to year, given a number of issues, one of which I talked about, which is El Niño. Sometimes permits take longer, you know, the permitting process and the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) process, which is the environmental review in California, can be very cumbersome. So we planned for, you know, as Jim said, that kind of nice 10% to 11% growth year over year. But we also say, you know, capital can be lumpy based on factors that the company can't control like weather and permitting and so forth. So, you know, we have a pretty long-planned out capital plan. And when something slows down, we try to accelerate something else on it. But generally speaking, we do plan for that 10% to 11% growth year over year in trying to anticipate where some of the capital projects may get hung up. Now there's a very important proposition in California that's on the ballot called Prop 45, which is the Affordable California Act. Cal Water has been a leading company involved in that with the State Chamber of Commerce. If that bill passes, it will essentially expedite the permitting process, which is one of the biggest bottlenecks that we face. And believe it or not, we, you know, Southern California, which is a very water-constrained area, we've had cases where it's taken us up to almost 10 years just to get permits. And so if Prop 45, it essentially starts a shot clock when you file for your application and the government agency, whether it's a city or local county or state, have to issue their permit within a certain timeline. And so watch Prop 45 because that will be a nice benefit for any utility that does construction in the state of California.

Unknown Speaker

Okay, great. Thank you so much. Thank you. Thank you. Have a good day.

Operator

And again, if you'd like to ask a question, please press star, then the number one on your telephone keypad to raise your hand and enter the queue. Our next question comes from Angie Stroh-Zsai from Seaport. Your line is open.

Unknown Speaker

Thank you. Okay. So a couple of questions. So one is, you know, that you guys had pretty high unregulated costs. Like, I mean, I'm not sure if you had year-to-date results. Is it just some sort of an aberration and it's going to get, you know, recognized in the amortization on regulated revenues in the fourth quarter.

James Lynch

So, Angie, thanks for the question. The real things driving the unregulated cost are the fact that that's where we're housing our business acquisition expenses. And we also have the lower gains than normal that we have recently experienced anyway from our non-qualified investments for our non-qualified benefit plan. So those are kind of the two key drivers in non-operating income that are kind of bringing that number down a bit in terms of net non-regulated income. So I think that, you know, we're going to have to wait and see if the market rebounds a little bit. Remember, we took a pretty good rate shock in Q3, you know, the bond financing market and what have you. So our fixed income investments didn't perform as well as what they were. And then from an integration standpoint, we'll continue to experience costs related to the Nautica acquisition into Q1. To date, we have recorded almost $4 million there. So, you know, those are temporary, and we do recognize that once we get the integration activities behind us, that the acquisition will be accretive for us going forward.

Unknown Speaker

Okay. Okay. The other question about your dividend growth, and granted that the board hasn't set the growth rate for next year, but I'm just wondering if there is some sort of a targeted payout ratio, at least a cap on it, like a... like, I'm just looking at the estimates. I mean, you would be approaching 60% in the payout and I'm over the next couple of years, and I'm just wondering what's the comfort zone?

Martin Kropelnicki

Yes, good question, Angie. Jim and I have started saying this publicly, and this is something really we started doing, I think, over the last 12 months. We've kind of set the floor for the dividend growth at 7%. And so if you set that as kind of a target that we kind of drive for, and then look at, we try to have between a 50% and 60% kind of payout ratio, you know, recognizing, again over a rate case cycle like in California, it's three years, you know, that'll that'll shift around a little bit depending on where you are on the rate case cycle. But, you know, a 50% to 60% payout ratio with a 7% kind of growth target is what we plan off of.

Unknown Speaker

Awesome. Thank you. Thank you.

Martin Kropelnicki

Hey, Jim, it's probably noteworthy too because Angie asked a very good question about where those integration costs are going. It's kind of going below the, yes, it's in the non-regulated line below the utility line. We were very happy with both approvals we got from Nevada and Oregon with not a whole lot of issues.

James Lynch

Other than the integration costs, you know, we have to bear those by the company. You can't pass those on to customers. So there's no stay out provisions in Oregon and Washington are some of the things that you've seen in other states. They're very clean kind of rules that were approvals that were passed. So we're really happy with how those came out with to build Oregon and Washington. Absolutely.

Operator

And there are no further questions in queue, so at this time I'd like to turn the conference back over to Marty.

Martin Kropelnicki

Great. Thanks, Colby. Thanks, everyone, for joining us today. Jim and I are around today. If you have any further questions, feel free to reach out to us. And thank you for your continued interest in the company. And we'll look forward to finishing the year strong and being back in touch about the earnings test, as well as when we close the Nexus deal here before the end of the year.

Operator

So thank you. Everyone have a great day. This concludes today's earnings call. You may now disconnect.

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