Overview
Canada oil and gas producer's Q4 petroleum and natural gas revenue fell 12% yr/yr on weaker oil prices
Q4 adjusted funds flow dropped 29% yr/yr as commodity prices declined
Quarterly production rose 7% yr/yr as Reford SAGD project began production phase
Outlook
Cardinal Energy maintains 2026 budget with C$160 mln in capital spending
Company expects 2026 average annual production of 25,000-25,500 boe/d
Result Drivers
REFORD SAGD RAMP-UP - Record Q4 production driven by Reford SAGD project moving into production phase, with volumes arriving earlier than expected
WEAKER OIL PRICES - Revenue and adjusted funds flow declined as lower WTI benchmark prices and wider differentials reduced realized pricing
Company press release: ID:nNFC3gvsPN
Key Details
Metric | Beat/Miss | Actual | Consensus Estimate |
Q4 Petroleum and Natural Gas Revenue |
| C$129.5 mln |
|
Q4 Cash Flow from Operating Activities |
| C$43.49 mln |
|
Analyst Coverage
The current average analyst rating on the shares is "hold" and the breakdown of recommendations is 2 "strong buy" or "buy", 4 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"
The average consensus recommendation for the oil & gas exploration and production peer group is "buy."
Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Cardinal Energy Ltd (Alberta) is C$9.50, about 9% below its March 12 closing price of C$10.44
The stock recently traded at 39 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 20 three months ago
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