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Forecasting the upcoming week: US Dollar weakens ahead of key US CPI data and Fed speeches
The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell toward the 97.90 region on Friday, pressured by improving risk sentiment and easing safe-haven demand after reports suggested the United States (US) and Iran are still attempting to preserve a fragile ceasefire framework despite renewed military incidents in the Middle
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
Dow Jones Industrial Average edges higher on NFP beat as Iran reply awaited
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) futures clawed back ground on Friday, May 8, after Thursday's late-session selloff dragged the cash index toward 49,500. Overnight dealing through Asia and Europe held a tight range just above 49,600, with traders reluctant to commit ahead of the US jobs report.
US30
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
USD: Fed focus shifts to inflation path – TD Securities
TD Securities’ FX strategists Jayati Bharadwaj and Howard Du note that stronger United States (US) payrolls produced only a modest reaction in the US Dollar (USD), as markets focus more on inflation than labor data.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
United States Nonfarm Payrolls beat expectations: Why is the US Dollar weakening?
The United States (US) created 115K new jobs in April, much better than the 62K anticipated by markets. The unemployment rate in the same month was confirmed at 4.3%, as expected. The Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report came in better than anticipated, yet the US Dollar (USD) eased with the news.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
USD: Structural drag contrasts with data support – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that efforts by the Trump administration to narrow the US trade deficit are structurally negative for the Dollar via balance of payments dynamics.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
USD: Escalation risk supports recovery – ING
ING’s Francesco Pesole notes that the US Dollar (USD) has rebounded as hopes for a swift US‑Iran deal fade, with fresh military incidents in the Strait of Hormuz and a restart of US escorts weighing on risk sentiment.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
USD: US data and sentiment under war cloud – UBS
UBS' Chief Economist Paul Donovan comments that United States (US) April employment data are unlikely to show war effects yet, with moderate job gains and stable earnings anticipated.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
DXY: Hawkish Fed repricing supports yields – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank analysts point out that stronger US data and hawkish Federal Reserve commentary have pushed Treasury yields higher and supported the Dollar Index.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
Dow Jones futures rise as renewed Middle East tensions de-escalate
Dow Jones futures gain 0.18%, trading near 49,790 during the early European hours on Friday, ahead of the United States (US) regular opening. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 rise 0.30% to near 7,390, and the Nasdaq 100 futures advance 0.48% above 28,820.
US30
NAS100
SPX500
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
DXY: NFP-driven upside likely measured – MUFG
MUFG’s Lloyd Chan expects today’s US nonfarm payrolls to pose upside risks for the US Dollar (USD), with labour indicators hinting at a stronger April print.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
US Dollar Index (DXY) steadies above 98.00 as Iran’s ceasefire wobbles
The US Dollar (USD) pares losses against its main peers on Friday, as hopes for a swift end to the war in Iran fade again, following an exchange of fire in the Strait of Hormuz.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
Forex Today: US Dollar holds firm amid fragile US-Iran peace talks
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading with a softer tone near the 98.10 area as markets continue reacting to rapidly shifting headlines surrounding the potential peace agreement between the United States (US) and Iran.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Thu, May 7
DXY rebounds as Iran hope trade unwinds: is the safe-haven bid back?
The morning belonged to the deal: Asia had ripped overnight, with the Nikkei 225 clearing 62,000 for the first time on a session that gained north of 5%, and US futures came in primed for another leg of the Iran ceasefire trade.
US Dollar Index
Brent
Fxstreet
Thu, May 7
Dow Jones Industrial Average reverses as Iran deal hopes hit hard reality
The DJIA was off around 0.4% in early afternoon trade, sliding back below 50,000 after tagging an intraday high near 50,100.
US30
Fxstreet
Thu, May 7
USD: Dollar support from easing Oil and reserve flows – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that expectations of progress toward peace in Iran are driving a bond rally and shaping flows in the United States (US) Treasury market. As Oil prices fall and real rates reprice, he argues exporter surpluses and reserve management trends could again favor the US Dollar (USD).
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Thu, May 7
DXY: Range-bound outlook after war reversal – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that the Dollar has given back all its war-related gains, with recent weakness seen as overdone.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Thu, May 7
USD: Softer tone as Fed seen delaying cuts – MUFG
MUFG’s Lloyd Chan notes the US Dollar (USD) has softened as US Dollar Index (DXY) retests support and US yields fall, while equities hit new highs. Recent US data show stronger ADP employment but worrying ISM services inflation and weak employment.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Thu, May 7
Dow Jones futures advance on signs of easing US-Iran tensions
Dow Jones futures gain 0.23%, trading near 50,150 during the European hours on Thursday, ahead of the United States (US) regular opening. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 rise 0.18% to near 7,400, and the Nasdaq 100 futures advance 0.21% above 28,780.
US30
NAS100
SPX500
Fxstreet
Thu, May 7
S&P 500: AI momentum drives fresh record highs – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s Early Morning Reid notes that US equities extended gains as stagflation fears eased with lower Oil prices and AI-related optimism.
SPX500
Fxstreet
Thu, May 7
Forex Today: DXY falls after Middle East tensions ease, markets eye US NFP
The US Dollar Index (DXY) slides near the 98.00 area, with limited losses supported by resilient United States (US) data but capped by improving risk sentiment after Axios reported that the US and Iran are moving closer to a deal aimed at ending the conflict.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Wed, May 6
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