EUR/USD has received an additional boost from an unexpected improvement in Germany's Economic Sentiment, which is helping the pair to consolidate above 1.1790, its highest levels since early July. Investors' expectations for a "dovish cut" by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday are boosting risk appetite and keeping the US Dollar on the back foot.
Data released by the German Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung revealed that investors are more optimistic about the economic outlook, although their feelings about the current economic situation deteriorated for the second consecutive month. Likewise, the Eurozone Sentiment Index brightened against expectations in September, following a significant deterioration in August.
Beyond that, the market keeps celebrating lower interest rates in anticipation. The US Dollar Index, which measures the value of the Greenback against six major currencies, has dropped to nearly two-month lows, and Wall Street indexes rose to fresh record highs. In this context, risk appetite has offset concerns about French debt, and the Euro (EUR) has risen higher.
The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.
USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
USD | -0.39% | -0.30% | -0.25% | -0.08% | -0.04% | 0.02% | -0.41% | |
EUR | 0.39% | 0.10% | 0.02% | 0.30% | 0.40% | 0.40% | -0.01% | |
GBP | 0.30% | -0.10% | -0.04% | 0.21% | 0.31% | 0.30% | -0.12% | |
JPY | 0.25% | -0.02% | 0.04% | 0.25% | 0.29% | 0.10% | -0.10% | |
CAD | 0.08% | -0.30% | -0.21% | -0.25% | 0.04% | 0.05% | -0.33% | |
AUD | 0.04% | -0.40% | -0.31% | -0.29% | -0.04% | 0.08% | -0.41% | |
NZD | -0.02% | -0.40% | -0.30% | -0.10% | -0.05% | -0.08% | -0.37% | |
CHF | 0.41% | 0.00% | 0.12% | 0.10% | 0.33% | 0.41% | 0.37% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).
EUR/USD continues to head north, as US Dollar weakness weighs more than the Eurozone's domestic issues, at least for now. Technical indicators show a solid bullish momentum, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 66 on the 4-hour chart.
Bulls have pierced the July 24 high at 1.1790, pushing the common currency to the 1.1800 area at the time of writing. Further up, the July 1 high is at 1.1830. A trend-based Fibonacci tool shows the 161.8% extension of the August 27- September 1 high, at 1.1885.
To the downside, a previous resistance is now acting as support at the 1.1750 area ahead of the September 12 low near 1.1700, and the ascending channel's bottom, now around 1.1690. Below here, the September 11 low near 1.1660 would come into view.
The Economic Sentiment published by the Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung measures the institutional investor sentiment, reflecting the difference between the share of investors that are optimistic and the share of analysts that are pessimistic. Generally speaking, an optimistic view is considered as positive (or bullish) for the EUR, whereas a pessimistic view is considered as negative (or bearish).
Last release: Tue Sep 16, 2025 09:00
Frequency: Monthly
Actual: 37.3
Consensus: 27.3
Previous: 34.7
The Industrial Production index, released by Eurostat on a monthly basis, measures changes in the price-adjusted output of industry. It is a widely-followed indicator to gauge the strength in the Eurozone’s manufacturing sector. Generally, a high reading is seen as bullish for the Euro (EUR), while a low reading is seen as bearish.
Last release: Tue Sep 16, 2025 09:00
Frequency: Monthly
Actual: 0.3%
Consensus: 0.4%
Previous: -1.3%
Source: Eurostat