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Euro: Support seen near 1.15 against US Dollar – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report the Euro (EUR) is weaker, down about 0.5% versus the US Dollar (USD), as risk aversion supports broad USD strength. Yield spreads imply a fair value near 1.1633, while data have been light ahead of Tuesday’s ZEW survey.
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 14
US 10-year yield crosses 5% rubicon as Fed hike looks locked
The US 10-year Treasury yield has breached the 5% threshold for the first time since 2023, rising by over 4 basis points as investors had almost fully priced in a 25-basis-point rate hike by the Fed on September 16. At the time of writing, the US 10-year is at 5.006%Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 14
British Pound: BoE risks in focus – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the British Pound (GBP) is softer against the Dollar but still outperforming most G10 currencies in a risk-off environment. Markets expect a hawkish hold from the Bank of England (BoE) on Thursday, with a possible 25 bp hike in November.
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 14
Federal Reserve: Inflation keeps pressure on – Commerzbank
Commerzbank economists note that August US CPI data were broadly in line with expectations but still too high for the Federal Reserve. They stress excessive underlying price pressure and say the Fed has already signaled readiness to hike.Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 14
Czech Koruna: Dovish CNB may weaken CZK against Euro - ING
ING strategist Frantisek Taborsky outlines a busy Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) data calendar but stresses that the Czech National Bank (CNB) meeting is the key event. He expects rates to stay at 3.75% with dovish guidance, contrasting with still-hawkish market pricing.
Federal Reserve: Rate hike path and data support – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid and team say the Fed’s decision on Wednesday is the main market event, with their economists expecting a 25bp hike to 3.75%-4.00% and now forecasting 75bps of hikes over the next seven months.Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 14
ECB’s Schnabel: Recent energy-price developments have been quite concerning
European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel said recent energy-price developments have been "quite concerning" as officials consider further interest-rate increases after last week’s move, Bloomberg reported.Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 14
Fed to raise interest rates to 3.75%-4.00% on September 16 – Reuters poll
According to a Reuters poll, the survey on September 9 showed that 86 of 101 economists expect the Federal Reserve (Fed) to hike interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) to 3.75%-4.00% on September 16. This is a dramatic shift from 65 of 93 economists expecting a hold in the previous poll.Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 14
Brent: Supply risks keep prices elevated – Danske Bank
Danske Bank’s Danske Research Team highlights a sharp move higher in Brent as escalating Middle East tensions threaten key supply routes. The report notes Brent’s jump above USD 107/bbl and warns that closure of Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline could endanger up to 4% of global Oil supply.Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 14
Japanese Yen weakens as rising risk aversion lifts US Dollar
USD/JPY rebounds after posting modest losses the previous day, trading around 154.60 during European hours on Monday. The pair appreciates as the US Dollar (USD) gains amid rising oil prices and growing Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike bets.Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 14
ECB’s Kazimir: Will consider all options for next policy decision
European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member and Governor of the National Bank of Slovakia (NBS), Peter Kazimir, said during the European trading session on Monday that he is “increasingly concerned about gas and power prices”.Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 14
ECB Simkus: Can't exclude action at any meeting
European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member and head of Lithuania's central bank, Gediminas Simkus, said during European trading hours on Monday that the possibility of monetary policy actions in every upcoming meeting cannot be excluded.Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 14
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