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GBP: Yield support and resilience versus energy shock – MUFG
MUFG’s Head of Research Derek Halpenny highlights that the Pound is currently the third best performing G10 currency since the conflict began, supported by a sharp 35 bps jump in UK 2-year yields and reduced BoE rate-cut pricing.
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
ECB: Oil shock and hawkish signals shape hike bets – Nomura
Nomura’s Senior European Economist Andrzej Szczepaniak notes that traders have increased pricing for European Central Bank rate hikes after hawkish comments from ECB members Kazimir, Kazaks.
Brent
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
US: CPI and limited Fed tools – UBS
UBS Chief Economist Paul Donovan notes that US February CPI data predates recent market volatility but remains important for Federal Reserve policy. He expects underlying inflation pressures to be benign and argues central banks should only react to broad price increases.
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
USD: Inflation focus and energy shock scenarios – MUFG
MUFG’s Head of Research Derek Halpenny notes that the proposed IEA-coordinated Oil reserve release could temporarily offset supply disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, but markets are shifting focus to US inflation.
Brent
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
NOK: Oil and conflict overshadow Norges Bank path – Commerzbank
Antje Praefcke at Commerzbank notes that Norwegian inflation fell in February but remains too strong for an imminent policy shift.
Brent
USD/NOK
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
Spain Retail Sales (YoY) climbed from previous 2.9% to 4% in January
Spain Retail Sales (YoY) climbed from previous 2.9% to 4% in January
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
EUR/USD: Pair steady as markets eye US CPI – Danske Bank
Danske Research Team observes that EUR/USD is little changed below 1.1650, with 2‑year Bund and US Treasury yields slightly lower.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
ECB’s Nagel: Central bank will react if Iran war pushes up inflation
European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member and Germany's Bundesbank chief Joachim Nagel told Reuters on Wednesday that the central bank will be ready to act if surging energy costs due to the Iran war feed into durably higher Eurozone inflation.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
USD: War-driven oil shock clouds Fed path – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Antje Praefcke argues that US inflation data are unlikely to move the Dollar near term, as markets focus on Oil and the Iran war.
US Dollar Index
Brent
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
ECB’s Kazimir: A rate hike on Iran war may be closer than thought
European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Peter Kazimir comments on the central bank’s path forward on interest rates in light of the conflict in the Middle East.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
USD: Inflation risks keep Fed easing constrained – DBS
DBS Group Research economist Eugene Leow highlights that consensus expects US CPI at 2.4% year-on-year and 0.3% month-on-month for February, with investors highly sensitive to upside surprises.
US Dollar Index
Brent
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
Equities: Tech leadership returns as Oil swings – Danske Bank
Danske Research Team notes that European equities rebounded strongly, with Stoxx 600 up 2% and OMX Nordic nearly 3%, while US indices ended slightly lower. Tech and growth stocks outperformed value despite a modest rise in US 10‑year yields.
Brent
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
ECB’s Villeroy: Do not expect rate hike at next week's meeting
European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council (GC) member and Bank of France Governor, François Villeroy de Galhau, urged patience on the bank’s interest rate move amid the Middle East conflict.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
BoC: Rates seen on hold through 2026 – RBC
RBC Economics’ Claire Fan and Nathan Janzen argue higher Oil prices from current supply disruptions are unlikely to trigger a major Bank of Canada policy shift. Past rate cuts in 2015 reflected a structural Oil shock, unlike today’s geopolitical spike.
USD/CAD
Brent
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
BoJ to raise rates by end-June with expectations unchanged by Middle East war
A Reuters poll showed on Wednesday that all 64 respondents said the Bank of Japan (BOJ) would keep rates unchanged at 0.75% next week.
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
Indian Rupee steadies amid lower Oil prices
USD/INR remains flat after paring daily losses on Wednesday as the Indian Rupee (INR) received support from lower oil prices after reports that the International Energy Agency (IEA) may release record oil reserves to stabilize markets.
Brent
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
Iran’s Revolutionary Guard announces targeting of enemy tech infrastructure in region
The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) on Wednesday escalated its operations against the United States (US) and Israel. IRGC announced the start of targeting the enemy's technological infrastructure in the region.
Brent
WTI
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
Australian Dollar advances on growing RBA rate hike bets
AUD/USD extends its winning streak for the fourth successive session, trading around 0.7130 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair advances as the Australian Dollar (AUD) gains support from growing expectations of a Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) rate hike next week.
AUD/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
Japan Producer Price Index (YoY) below expectations (2.1%) in February: Actual (2%)
Japan Producer Price Index (YoY) below expectations (2.1%) in February: Actual (2%)
USD/JPY
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 10
Japan Producer Price Index (MoM) below forecasts (0.1%) in February: Actual (-0.1%)
Japan Producer Price Index (MoM) below forecasts (0.1%) in February: Actual (-0.1%)
USD/JPY
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 10
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