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AUD: RBA signals support recovery prospects – OCBC
OCBC strategists Christopher Wong and Sim Moh Siong note the Australian Dollar outperformed as global risk sentiment improved and the Reserve Bank of Australia turned more hawkish. OIS pricing now assigns a higher probability to a March rate hike, though OCBC still expects the next move in May.
AUD/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
US: Inflation risks and rangebound yields – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Oscar Munoz and colleagues note that February US CPI matched expectations, with core inflation easing and supercore moderating after January’s tariff-driven spike.
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
US President Trump: Iran war will end soon
United States (US) President Donald Trump said that the war with Iran will end soon because there is practically nothing left to target in a brief phone call with Axion on Wednesday.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
EUR/USD: Limited downside versus Oil shock – MUFG
MUFG’s Head of Research Derek Halpenny highlighted the US Dollar has strengthened less than regression models implied given the initial 50% surge in crude, with EUR/USD down only 1.7% after Oil retraced.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
Fed: Cautious stance with inflation risks – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Senior Economist Dr. Christoph Balz notes that US CPI data for February show moderate inflation, but stresses that the Federal Reserve is more focused on the PCE deflator and the impact of higher energy prices following the war with Iran.
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
EM: Broad liquidation and safe-haven bid – BNY
BNY’s Head of Markets Macro Strategy Bob Savage reports a synchronized selloff in EM sovereign debt as risk aversion rises with the Iran conflict. EM fixed income is seeing widespread net selling, while U.S. Treasuries, Bunds and other high-quality G10 assets benefit.
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
Netherlands: Resilient growth faces war risks – ING
ING economists Bert Colijn and Marcel Klok note that recent data show the Dutch economy entering 2026 with solid momentum, supported by stronger-than-expected GDP figures and resilient labour markets.
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
United States Consumer Price Index Core s.a up to 333.51 in February from previous 332.79
United States Consumer Price Index Core s.a up to 333.51 in February from previous 332.79
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
United States Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY) in line with forecasts (2.5%) in February
United States Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY) in line with forecasts (2.5%) in February
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
United States Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM) meets expectations (0.2%) in February
United States Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM) meets expectations (0.2%) in February
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
United States Consumer Price Index (YoY) meets forecasts (2.4%) in February
United States Consumer Price Index (YoY) meets forecasts (2.4%) in February
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
United States Consumer Price Index (MoM) in line with forecasts (0.3%) in February
United States Consumer Price Index (MoM) in line with forecasts (0.3%) in February
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
United States Consumer Price Index n.s.a (MoM) in line with forecasts (326.79) in February
United States Consumer Price Index n.s.a (MoM) in line with forecasts (326.79) in February
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
USD: Fed reaction to Iran energy shock – ABN AMRO
ABN AMRO economists assess how Iran-driven energy shocks could alter Federal Reserve policy and thus the US Dollar.
US Dollar Index
Brent
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
Euro area: Iran conflict may force ECB to act – Nomura
Nomura’s Global Markets Research team revises its Euro area HICP projections higher on updated Oil and gas assumptions. The bank now sees HICP at 2.7% in 2026 and 2.2% in 2027, with inflation above target in early 2026.
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
India M3 Money Supply climbed from previous 10.9% to 11.5% in February 16
India M3 Money Supply climbed from previous 10.9% to 11.5% in February 16
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
US: CPI focus and rates reaction – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Global Strategy Team highlights that recent geopolitical tensions and a weaker 3-year auction pushed US rates higher, with attention now turning to February CPI.
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
USD: Mixed oil signals limit downside – ING
ING’s Francesco Pesole notes the Dollar remains closely tied to Oil volatility, with recent Brent swings driven by conflicting headlines on Middle East tensions and a potential record IEA reserve release.
US Dollar Index
Brent
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
US: Markets likely to look through CPI data – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that US February CPI is due, with headline and core expected to remain at 2.4% and 2.5% year-on-year, while super core services stays stuck at 2.7%.
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
United States MBA Mortgage Applications: 3.2% (March 6) vs previous 11%
United States MBA Mortgage Applications: 3.2% (March 6) vs previous 11%
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 11
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