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Taiwan: Mild tightening path revised – DBS
DBS' Senior Economist Ma Tieying revises her Taiwan policy rate outlook after upgrading 2026 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) forecasts. She now expects a 12.5bps hike in 3Q, taking the policy discount rate from 2.00% to 2.125%.
Fxstreet
Tue, May 12
Fed: Neutral stance as inflation stabilizes – TD Securities
TD Securities economists judge that April Consumer Price Index (CPI) strength was driven by shelter and energy, but see core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index running softer than CPI. They argue tariff pass-through is fading and supercore PCE should ease.
Fxstreet
Tue, May 12
Malaysian Ringgit: Appreciation trend against US Dollar intact – MUFG
MUFG’s Lloyd Chan notes that USD/MYR has broken lower and remains constructive on the Ringgit, expecting fundamentals to support Ringgit appreciation over the next 12 months.
Fxstreet
Tue, May 12
ECB's Nagel: We still have quite a bit of inflation ahead of us.
Joachim Nagel, President of the Bundesbank and member of the European Central Bank (ECB), told Handelsblatt on Tuesday that ECB rate hikes are becoming increasingly likely with the high inflation that is ahead of them.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Tue, May 12
India : Narrow demand response weighs on GST – Societe Generale
Kunal Kundu of Societe Generale argues that India’s Goods and Services Tax (GST) data and Index of Industrial Production (IIP) figures point to a soft consumption backbone.
Fxstreet
Tue, May 12
Fed’s Goolsbee: Don't think Fed independence is going away
Austan Goolsbee, President of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Chicago, said that without central bank independence, inflation will come roaring back at the Greater Rockford Chamber of Commerce in Rockford, Illinois on Tuesday.
Fxstreet
Tue, May 12
United States Monthly Budget Statement below forecasts ($220B) in April: Actual ($215B)
United States Monthly Budget Statement below forecasts ($220B) in April: Actual ($215B)
Fxstreet
Tue, May 12
United States 10-Year Note Auction rose from previous 4.282% to 4.468%
United States 10-Year Note Auction rose from previous 4.282% to 4.468%
Fxstreet
Tue, May 12
Warsh for Fed Board squeaks through Senate 51-45, Fed Chair vote on deck for Wednesday
Kevin Warsh squeaked through the Senate 51-45 on Tuesday to claim a seat on the Federal Reserve (Fed) Board of Governors, with the separate vote to confirm him as Fed Chair scheduled for Wednesday and Jerome Powell's term as chair wrapping up on Friday.
Fxstreet
Tue, May 12
United States 52-Week Bill Auction increased to 3.65% from previous 3.56%
United States 52-Week Bill Auction increased to 3.65% from previous 3.56%
Fxstreet
Tue, May 12
Copper: Prices hold near records despite Iran risks – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen notes Copper prices are trading close to January’s intraday record despite renewed Iran–US tensions and higher Oil prices. Markets currently anticipate limited economic fallout as long as a Hormuz reopening deal is reached, but prolonged disruption could hurt growth.
Fxstreet
Tue, May 12
Fed: AI-driven growth complicates rate path – NBC
National Bank of Canada’s (NBC) Senior Economist Jocelyn Paquet, argues that surging AI-related investment is keeping U.S. GDP growth above potential, with forecasts of 2.4% in 2026 and 2.0% in 2027.
Fxstreet
Tue, May 12
Fed’s Goolsbee: We have an inflation problem in this country
Austan Goolsbee, President of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Chicago, said that the April United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) report was worse than they expected in comments reported by Reuters on Tuesday.
Fxstreet
Tue, May 12
British Pound: Political risk premium builds – ING
ING’s Francesco Pesole highlights rising political uncertainty in the UK as calls grow for Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s resignation, with betting markets seeing a high chance he leaves office this year.
EUR/GBP
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Tue, May 12
United States Oil output reaches unprecedented levels: What does this mean for markets?
The Energy Information Administration (EIA) released the Monthly Energy Review on Tuesday. The report showed that the US hit a record energy production in 2025, recording a 3.4% increase from the previous record set in 2024.
Fxstreet
Tue, May 12
Silver: Industrial support and volatility risks – Commerzbank
Commerzbank's Commodity Analyst Barbara Lambrecht notes that Silver has surged to a two-month high near USD 87 per troy ounce, supported by strength in industrial metals and a record high London Metal Exchange index.
Silver
Fxstreet
Tue, May 12
United States Redbook Index (YoY) climbed from previous 7.8% to 9.6% in May 8
United States Redbook Index (YoY) climbed from previous 7.8% to 9.6% in May 8
Fxstreet
Tue, May 12
Modi to India: Don’t buy Gold for a year
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi urged the nation’s citizens to avoid buying Gold for a year, in an effort to cut spending and save foreign exchange as the country grapples with the macroeconomic consequences of the Iran war.
Gold
Fxstreet
Tue, May 12
Euro: Favorable versus Pound and Canadian Dollar – TD Securities
TD Securities’ FX strategists see the Euro (EUR) relatively strong on crosses, particularly versus the Pound (GBP) and Canadian Dollar (CAD).
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Tue, May 12
United States Consumer Price Index Core s.a up to 335.423 in April from previous 334.165
United States Consumer Price Index Core s.a up to 335.423 in April from previous 334.165
Fxstreet
Tue, May 12
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