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China: PMIs point to manufacturing and services improvement – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s Early Morning Reid notes that China’s latest PMI data show a broad-based pickup in activity. The private-sector RatingDog Manufacturing PMI and official manufacturing PMI both strengthened, with the latter returning to expansion. Services and non-manufacturing indices also improved, lifting the composite PMI above 50 and signaling a more supportive backdrop for Chinese equities and growth.
Fxstreet
Wed, Sep 30
Germany annual CPI inflation rises to 3.3% in September
Inflation in Germany, as measured by the change in the Consumer Price Index, climbed to 3.3% (preliminary) in September from 2.9% in August, Germany's Destatis reported on Wednesday.
Fxstreet
Wed, Sep 30
Australian Dollar: Softer CPI keeps RBA pricing in check – BBH
Elias Haddad at Brown Brothers Harriman notes the Australian Dollar is underperforming after a softer August CPI print weighed on RBA cash rate futures. Headline CPI rose less than consensus, while trimmed mean inflation remained steady for a third month.
AUD/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, Sep 30
British Pound: Fiscal tightening risks dovish BOE repricing – BBH
BBH’s Elias Haddad highlights that Pound gains were supported by an upward revision to UK Q2 GDP, with growth beating both prior estimates and Bank of England (BOE) forecasts.
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, Sep 30
United States MBA Mortgage Applications down to -6% in September 25 from previous -1.5%
Fxstreet
Wed, Sep 30
Euro: ECB pushback weighs on currency – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman highlights that European Central Bank (ECB) President Lagarde has pushed back against expectations for another back-to-back ECB rate hike, stressing higher long-term yields and the need for a measured response.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, Sep 30
Pound: Stronger UK growth and reverse-Brexit risk – MUFG
Lee Hardman at MUFG reports the Pound is consolidating near year-to-date lows against the Dollar despite resilient UK growth, with Q1 and Q2 GDP both revised higher and BoE staff upgrading Q3 forecasts.
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, Sep 30
US Treasuries: Curve steepens with long yields at cycle highs – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s Early Morning Reid notes a mixed US Treasury session, with 10-year and 30-year yields holding or extending post-2000s highs while the 2-year falls.
Fxstreet
Wed, Sep 30
Softer Australia CPI but RBA still hawkish – Rabobank
Rabobank’s day-ahead section highlights Australia’s August CPI as slightly softer, with headline inflation at 0.4% m/m and 4.0% y/y, and trimmed mean at 0.2% m/m and 3.6% y/y. Earlier in Q3, the RBA delivered another rate hike and is seen tightening again in the new year. Weak building approvals contrast with booming data centre activity, shaping Australian Dollar prospects.
Fxstreet
Wed, Sep 30
US core PCE inflation set to rise in August, pressuring the Federal Reserve
The United States (US) Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) will publish the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data for August on Wednesday at 12:30 GMT.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, Sep 30
ADP Employment Report expected to confirm a tight labour market in September
The Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Research Institute will release September’s monthly report on private-sector employment creation on Wednesday.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Wed, Sep 30
Euro holds gains against Canadian Dollar despite weak German Retail Sales data
EUR/CAD inches higher after posting modest losses in the previous day, trading around 1.6100 during the European hours on Wednesday. The currency cross gains support as the Euro (EUR) remains resilient following mixed German consumer spending data for August.
EUR/CAD
Fxstreet
Wed, Sep 30
US Inflation: PCE revision seen as data clean-up – BNY
BNY Mellon’s Americas Macro Strategist John Velis argues that the upcoming PCE revision is a technical adjustment that will not alter the broader US inflation narrative. He highlights that portfolio management fees, which scaled with rising assets under management, distorted recent PCE readings versus CPI. The Bureau of Economic Analysis will shift to a labor-based methodology, improving the Fed’s preferred gauge without signaling real disinflation.
Fxstreet
Wed, Sep 30
1.3%: Germany’s Retail Sales rise by less than expected in August
German Retail Sales, a key measure of consumer spending, showed an upside in August. The consumer spending measure rose 1.3% month-on-month (MoM), according to official data released by Destatis, while it was expected to have increased 2.0%. In July, Retail Sales arrived at -3.4%.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, Sep 30
Indonesian Rupiah gains on robust Chinese PMI data, budget assurance
USD/IDR extends its losses for the second consecutive day, trading around 17,860 during Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair depreciates as the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) gains strength, driven by improving market sentiment following stronger economic activity in China, Indonesia’s top trading partner.
Fxstreet
Wed, Sep 30
US-Iran talks deadlocked as Qatar mediation yields little
Efforts this week by Qatari mediators to broker a diplomatic breakthrough between the United States (US) and Iran have made little progress, with neither side willing to budge, Axios reported on Wednesday.
Brent
Fxstreet
Wed, Sep 30
China’s September RatingDog Manufacturing PMI leaps to 52.1, Services PMI rises to 51.6
China's Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) climbed to 52.1 in September from 51.5 in August, the latest data published by RatingDog showed on Wednesday. The market forecast was for a 51.6 print.
AUD/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, Sep 30
Breaking: Australia’s CPI inflation rises to 4.0% YoY in August, as expected
Australia’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 4.0% year-over-year (YoY) in August, compared to a 3.5% growth reported in July, the latest data published by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) showed on Wednesday.
Fxstreet
Wed, Sep 30
China's September NBS Manufacturing PMI rises to 50.1, Non-Manufacturing PMI jumps to 50.2
China’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rose to 50.1 in September from 49.8 in August, China’s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) reported on Wednesday.
AUD/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, Sep 30
WTI remains below $90.00 due to Middle East export recovery
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price edges higher after registering nearly 4.5% losses in the previous day, trading around $88.50 per barrel during Asian hours on Wednesday. Crude oil prices eased as energy flows from the Middle East showed clear signs of improvement.
WTI
Brent
Fxstreet
Wed, Sep 30
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