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US Dollar: FOMC minutes to offer limited fresh clues – TD Securities
TD Securities analysts characterize the upcoming September FOMC minutes as largely outdated given subsequent employment and PCE data. The minutes are expected to show disagreement over how much further tightening is needed, but broad consensus that policy should remain more restrictive.Fxstreet
Fri, Oct 2
US labour market: Softer jobs ease Fed hike risk – ABN Amro
ABN Amro’s Rogier Quaedvlieg notes September US labour market data came in weaker than expected, with payrolls at 29k versus consensus 90k and prior months revised down by 60k. He see the report as mixed but consistent with its base case and reducing pressure for an October Fed hike.Fxstreet
Fri, Oct 2
Euro: October ECB hike odds seen limited – Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered Global Research team discusses Euro area monetary policy, noting that core inflation has only edged up slightly since January and that higher yields pose downside risks to both growth and inflation. The authors judge that these factors reduce the chances of an October rate hike and expect the Governing Council to wait for new macroeconomic projections at the December policy meeting.
Fxstreet
Fri, Oct 2
France: Budget strains weigh on outlook – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad warns France’s budget crisis is deepening and complicating Eurozone fiscal dynamics. A minority government’s deficit-reduction plan faces parliamentary hurdles, while the fiscal watchdog calls assumptions optimistic.Fxstreet
Fri, Oct 2
Swiss Franc: Safe-haven appeal strengthens – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister argues that rising global bond yields and mounting government debt concerns are increasingly supporting the Swiss Franc over the Euro. He notes Switzerland’s debt brake and relatively sound public finances as key advantages.
Fxstreet
Fri, Oct 2
ECB’s Rehn: Higher energy prices bring us closer to ECB’s adverse scenario for inflation
European Central Bank (ECB) official and Finnish Central Bank Governor Olli Rehn said during the European trading session on Friday that elevated energy prices bring us closer to the central bank’s adverse scenario for inflation.Fxstreet
Fri, Oct 2
Global Treasury yields ease amid rising France’s fiscal, political concerns
US 10-year Treasury note yield holds around 5.25% on Friday, pulling back from multi-decade highs as mounting concerns over France’s fiscal and political stability spurred demand for safe-haven assets. Despite this slight retreat, US yields remained near levels not seen since 2002.Fxstreet
Fri, Oct 2
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