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ECB: Rates seen unchanged through 2026 – Nordea

Nordea’s Ole Håkon Eek-Nielsen and Jan von Gerich note that the ECB remains relaxed about lower inflation and FX moves, and is firmly on hold.

Fxstreet

Fri, Feb 13

Boe’s Pill: Growth in the UK is positive, but it is not very dynamic

Bank of England (BoE) Chief Economist Huw Pill said on Friday he does not see a collapse in activity, citing forward-looking indicators at an event hosted by Santander, a bank, in London.

Fxstreet

Fri, Feb 13

USD: Fiscal path and tariffs shape outlook – NBC

National Bank Of Canada’s Ethan Currie and Taylor Schleich stress that the U.S. fiscal trajectory remains unsustainable despite additional tariff revenues.

Fxstreet

Fri, Feb 13

Fed: Warsh cuts and balance sheet reset – Rabobank

Rabobank’s Philip Marey argues that Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Fed Chair points to lower US policy rates in 2026, with three 25 bps cuts expected, slightly below the current neutral rate estimate.

Fxstreet

Fri, Feb 13

Poland: Disinflation supports further easing – ING

ING economists Rafal Benecki and Adam Antoniak note that Poland’s January CPI surprised on the upside due to technical factors and volatile components, but headline inflation remains below the National Bank of Poland target.

Fxstreet

Fri, Feb 13

United States Consumer Price Index Core s.a rose from previous 331.86 to 332.79 in January

United States Consumer Price Index Core s.a rose from previous 331.86 to 332.79 in January

Fxstreet

Fri, Feb 13

United States Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY) in line with forecasts (2.5%) in January

United States Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY) in line with forecasts (2.5%) in January

Fxstreet

Fri, Feb 13

United States Consumer Price Index (MoM) registered at 0.2%, below expectations (0.3%) in January

United States Consumer Price Index (MoM) registered at 0.2%, below expectations (0.3%) in January

Fxstreet

Fri, Feb 13

United States Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM) meets forecasts (0.3%) in January

United States Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM) meets forecasts (0.3%) in January

Fxstreet

Fri, Feb 13

United States Consumer Price Index n.s.a (MoM) registered at 325.25, below expectations (325.41) in January

United States Consumer Price Index n.s.a (MoM) registered at 325.25, below expectations (325.41) in January

Fxstreet

Fri, Feb 13

United States Consumer Price Index (YoY) below expectations (2.5%) in January: Actual (2.4%)

United States Consumer Price Index (YoY) below expectations (2.5%) in January: Actual (2.4%)

Fxstreet

Fri, Feb 13

Norway: Oil investment outlook beats Norges Bank projections – Danske Bank

Danske Research Team highlights Norway’s Q1 oil investment survey, which points to higher-than-expected nominal spending in 2026 and 2027. After adjusting for cost inflation, investment volumes appear stronger than Norges Bank’s December projections.

Fxstreet

Fri, Feb 13

Romania: Softer growth supports earlier NBR cuts – ING

ING’s Romania team highlights that weaker-than-expected GDP and a sharp 4Q25 contraction introduce downside risks to inflation and could prompt the National Bank of Romania to front-load its easing cycle.

Fxstreet

Fri, Feb 13

HUF: Sideways trading then gradual weakening – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose expects EUR/HUF to trade broadly sideways around 375 in coming months as the Euro appreciates, before the pair gradually rises toward 400 by end-2026, implying a weaker Forint.

Fxstreet

Fri, Feb 13

New Zealand: Inflation expectations edge higher – TD Securities

TD Securities’ Global Strategy Team reviews the RBNZ Survey of Expectations, noting that 2-year ahead inflation expectations rose to 2.37%, with 5-year and 10-year measures also ticking higher.

Fxstreet

Fri, Feb 13

NOK: Strong but vulnerable to softer CPI – ING

ING’s Francesco Pesole highlights that the Norwegian Krone has rallied on a sharp CPI surprise and markets pricing out Norges Bank cuts for 2026. He views this as premature, expecting a return of inflation towards 3.0% and renewed rate-cut expectations by summer.

Fxstreet

Fri, Feb 13

US CPI: Core strength and curve implications – TD Securities

TD Securities’ Global Strategy Team expects US core CPI to rise 0.42% month-on-month in January, above the 0.3% consensus, with headline CPI at 0.30%.

Fxstreet

Fri, Feb 13

CHF: Inflation outlook supports steady SNB stance – Nomura

Nomura analysts note that Swiss inflation stayed slightly positive in January, with foreign products still exerting downward pressure as a strong Swiss Franc makes imports cheaper.

Fxstreet

Fri, Feb 13

Eurozone GDP rises 0.3% QoQ in Q4 2025, second estimate confirms

The Eurozone economy expanded by 0.3% in the final quarter (Q4) of 2025, the second estimate released by Eurostat showed on Friday, confirming the preliminary reading,

Fxstreet

Fri, Feb 13

USD: Risk-off flows and CPI in focus – Danske Bank

Danske Research Team notes that the US Dollar is outperforming alongside the Japanese Yen and Swiss Franc in a classic risk-off session. Falling US yields accompany Dollar consolidation ahead of the US CPI release.

Fxstreet

Fri, Feb 13

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