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Indonesian Rupiah: Policy uncertainty weighs on IDR against US Dollar – ING
ING economists Deepali Bhargava and Lynn Song flag renewed policy uncertainty for the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) after the surprise resignation of Bank Indonesia’s (BI) governor, just as sentiment toward Indonesian assets was improving.
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 6
British Pound: Sentiment offsets softer spreads – Scotiabank
Scotiabank’s team notes the Pound is fractionally weaker versus the Dollar, with fundamentals less supportive as yield spreads soften. However, sentiment is improving as markets fade earlier political concerns following PM Burnham’s arrival and stronger-than-expected construction PMI.
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 6
Thai Baht: Supply risks and FX sensitivities – UOB
UOB’s economists highlight that Thailand’s inflation outlook is shaped by supply-side factors and external variables such as Oil and USD/THB.
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 6
Hormuz ship ban triggers a jump in US yields, fuels Fed hike bets
US Treasury yields climb along the curve as the Oman-Iran deal, which banned US and Israeli ships, whether military or civilian, from entering the Persian Gulf, drives crude prices higher, and as traders await the latest employment report.
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 6
China: Consumption risks under stable unemployment – Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered economists Hunter Chan and Shuang Ding highlight that China’s urban surveyed unemployment rate has remained in a 5.0-5.4% range over the past three years, yet broader labour underutilisation has risen.
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 6
United Kingdom: Confidence may unlock household spending – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Stefan Koopman analyses United Kingdom demand prospects under Prime Minister Burnham’s shift from “securonomics” to “vibonomics”. The report argues that elevated household saving and weak confidence leave scope for a temporary consumption boost if sentiment improves.
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 6
Australia's AAA credit was just reaffirmed: Why the Australian Dollar still faces growth headwinds
The Australian Dollar (AUD) is balancing solid long-term fiscal fundamentals against near-term growth headwinds and shifting central bank expectations.
AUD/USD
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 6
United Kingdom: Polling bounce faces October test – Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered’s Christopher Graham analyzes recent United Kingdom (UK) polling, noting Labour has regained a lead over Reform UK and Conservatives after Andy Burnham became prime minister.
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 6
United States: Core CPI momentum seen returning in July – TD Securities
TD Securities economists expect United States (US) July Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) to return to trend after June’s one-off weakness.
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 6
US Initial Jobless Claims increased to 199K last week
According to a report from the US Department of Labour (DOL) released on Thursday, the number of US citizens submitting new applications for unemployment insurance rose marginally to 199K for the week ending August 1.
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 6
Czech Koruna: Sideways against Euro as CNB holds rates – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose expects the Czech National Bank (CNB) to keep its policy rate at 3.75%, framing June’s hike as fine-tuning rather than a new cycle. With headline and core inflation still within target, CNB can wait but must avoid sounding dovish.
USD/CZK
EUR/CZK
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 6
Czech Koruna: Softer CNB guidance may weigh against euro – ING
ING strategist Frantisek Taborsky says July Czech inflation at 1.7% year-on-year should have limited impact on the Czech National Bank (CNB) meeting. He expects rates to stay at 3.75%, with guidance leaning more dovish than markets.
USD/CZK
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 6
Swedish Krona: Riksbank set to hold despite core pressure – Nomura
Nomura strategists highlight that Swedish CPIF ex-energy inflation surprised to the upside in July even as headline CPIF slowed, largely due to government fuel duty cuts and public transport subsidies.
EUR/SEK
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 6
Equities: Nvidia stands out as broader tech mood cools – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank strategists say the global equity rally lost momentum near record highs as technology shares weakened. The S&P 500 edged lower and the Nasdaq underperformed, with AMD and semiconductor stocks retreating after recent gains.
SPX500
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 6
Australian Dollar: RBA uneasy pause – Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered’s Nicholas Chia expects the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to keep the cash rate at 4.35% at its 11 August meeting, with no further hikes this year. Q2 core inflation and short-term expectations have eased, while the labour market has softened.
AUD/USD
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 6
Equities: Tech-led rally faces growing caution – Danske Bank
Danske Research Team highlights that global equities have gained about 5% over five sessions, with cyclicals and growth outperforming defensives and value, pointing to a tech-driven move.
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 6
Canadian Dollar flatlines as traders watch possible US-Iran deal
The USD/CAD pair USD/CAD holds steady around 1.4015 during the early European trading hours on Thursday. Traders await a possible US-Iran deal, which could give direction to the pair. The US Initial Jobless Claims report is due later on Thursday.
USD/CAD
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 6
3.1%: Germany Factory Orders climb in June, beating estimates
Germany's Factory Orders rose in June, suggesting that the country’s manufacturing sector activity gained momentum, according to the official data published by the Federal Statistics Office on Thursday.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 6
Indian Rupee trades flat, lower oil prices back upside
The Indian Rupee (INR) opens almost flat against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday. The USD/INR pair trades around 95.12 after rebounding from the fresh monthly low of 94.83 posted the previous day.
Brent
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 6
Indonesian Rupiah in focus as BI leadership race begins
USD/IDR inches higher after registering nearly 0.5% losses in the previous day, trading around 17,960 during the Asian hours on Thursday. Traders are keeping a close eye on the nomination process following the sudden resignation of Bank Indonesia (BI) Governor Perry Warjiyo late last month.
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 6
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