Overview
Canada lumber and bioenergy producer's Q4 revenue drops 16% yr/yr, with lumber revenue falling 25% amid lower shipment volumes
Q4 net loss widened as elevated duty and tariff rates weighed on operating results
Company secured C$19 mln term loan after year-end to address liquidity challenges
Outlook
Conifex expects medium-term lumber demand to benefit from favorable US housing fundamentals
Company says near-term uncertainty persists due to trade measures and housing affordability challenges
Conifex may adjust operating format in response to market and trade conditions
Result Drivers
CURTAILMENTS AND REDUCED OPERATING RATES - Co said lower shipment volumes and production were due to curtailments and reduced operating rates in response to unfavorable market conditions and elevated duty and tariff rates
HIGHER UNIT COSTS - Co said increased log and conversion costs, combined with lower production volumes, led to higher unit manufacturing costs
INVENTORY WRITE-DOWN - Co recorded a C$1.8 mln non-cash inventory write-down in Q4
Company press release: ID:nGNX1M8MK0
Key Details
Metric | Beat/Miss | Actual | Consensus Estimate |
Q4 Revenue |
| C$26.10 mln |
|
Q4 EPS |
| -C$0.28 |
|
Q4 Net Income |
| -C$11.40 mln |
|
Q4 Basic EPS |
| -C$0.28 |
|
Q4 EBITDA |
| -C$12.60 mln |
|
Q4 Operating Income |
| -C$15.90 mln |
|
Analyst Coverage
The one available analyst rating on the shares is "hold"
The average consensus recommendation for the forest & wood products peer group is "buy."
Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Conifex Timber Inc is C$0.40, about 185.7% above its March 20 closing price of C$0.14
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