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Spotify Technology SA

SPOT
576.795USD
-2.095-0.36%
Market hours ETQuotes delayed by 15 min
118.87BMarket Cap
84.60P/E TTM

Spotify Technology SA

576.795
-2.095-0.36%
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison

TradingKey Stock Score of Spotify Technology SA

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-01

Key Insights

The company's fundamentals are relatively very healthy. Its valuation is considered fairly valued,and institutional recognition is very high. Over the past 30 days, multiple analysts have rated the company as a Buy. Despite a weak stock market performance, the company shows strong fundamentals and technicals. The stock price is trading sideways between the support and resistance levels, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Spotify Technology SA's Score

Industry at a Glance

Industry Ranking
130 / 482
Overall Ranking
211 / 4583
Industry
Software & IT Services

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Score Analysis

Current score
Previous score

Analyst Rating

Based on 40 analysts
Buy
Current Rating
757.059
Target Price
+26.41%
Upside Space
Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Spotify Technology SA Highlights

StrengthsRisks
Spotify Technology SA a Luxembourg-based company, which offers digital music-streaming services. The Company enables users to discover new releases, which includes the latest singles and albums; playlists, which includes ready-made playlists put together by music fans and experts, and over millions of songs so that users can play their favorites, discover new tracks and build a personalized collection. Its users can either select Spotify Free, which includes only shuffle play or Spotify Premium, which encompasses a range of features, such as shuffle play, advertisement free, unlimited skips, listen offline, play any track and audio. The Company operates through a number of subsidiaries, including Spotify LTD and is present in over 20 countries. Its service offers a music listening experience without commercial breaks.
High Growth
The company's revenue has grown steadily over the past 3 years, averaging 39.90% year-on-year.
Turnaround to Profit
The company's performance has turned profitable, with the latest annual net income of USD .
Fairly Valued
The company’s latest PE is 98.86, at a medium 3-year percentile range.
Institutional Selling
The latest institutional holdings are 138.84M shares, decreasing 4.81% quarter-over-quarter.
Held by Brandes Investmen
Star Investor Brandes Investmen holds 36.00 shares of this stock.

Financial Health

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-01

The company's current financial score is 7.02, which is lower than the Software & IT Services industry's average of 7.26. Its financial status is robust, and its operating efficiency is high. Its latest quarterly revenue reached 3.72B, representing a year-over-year decrease of 1.45%, while its net profit experienced a year-over-year decrease of 175.68%.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
7.02
Change
0

Financials

10.00

Key Metrics

Cash and cash equivalents
Total assets
Total liabilities
Free cash flow
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Quality of Earnings

2.48

Operational Efficiency

8.40

Growth Potential

7.05

Shareholder Returns

7.17

Spotify Technology SA's Company Valuation

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-01

The company’s current valuation score is 4.75, which is lower than the Software & IT Services industry's average of 7.30. Its current P/E ratio is 98.86, which is 129.66% below the recent high of 227.03 and 720.59% above the recent low of -613.49.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
4.75
Change
0

Valuation Dimensions

P/E
P/B
P/S
P/CF
Industry Ranking 130/482
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Earnings Forecast

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-01

The company’s current earnings forecast score is 7.90, which is higher than the Software & IT Services industry's average of 7.58. The average price target for Spotify Technology SA is 750.00, with a high of 965.00 and a low of 503.12.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
7.80
Change
0.1

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Analyst Rating

Based on 40 analysts
Buy
Current Rating
757.059
Target Price
+30.78%
Upside Space
Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell

Peer Comparison

104
Total
7
Median
14
Average
Company name
Ratings
Analysts
Spotify Technology SA
SPOT
40
Meta Platforms Inc
META
68
Alphabet Inc
GOOGL
65
Uber Technologies Inc
UBER
56
Netflix Inc
NFLX
51
Shopify Inc
SHOP
49
1
2
3
...
21

Financial Forecasting

EPS
Revenue
Net Profit
EBIT
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Price Momentum

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-01

The company’s current price momentum score is 6.85, which is lower than the Software & IT Services industry's average of 7.06. Sideways: Currently, the stock price is trading between the resistance level at 642.41 and the support level at 541.45, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
7.23
Change
-0.38

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Indicators

The Indicators feature provides value and direction analysis for various instruments under a selection of technical indicators, together with a technical summary.

This feature includes nine of the commonly used technical indicators: MACD, RSI, KDJ, StochRSI, ATR, CCI, WR, TRIX and MA. You may also adjust the timeframe depending on your needs.

Please note that technical analysis is only part of investment reference, and there is no absolute standard for using numerical values to assess direction. The results are for reference only, and we are not responsible for the accuracy of the indicator calculations and summaries.

Indicators
Sell(3)
Neutral(3)
Buy(0)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MACD(12,26,9)
-4.538
Sell
RSI(14)
30.962
Neutral
STOCH(KDJ)(9,3,3)
23.431
Neutral
ATR(14)
20.774
Low Volatility
CCI(14)
-83.687
Neutral
Williams %R
88.749
Oversold
TRIX(12,20)
-0.457
Sell
StochRSI(14)
29.953
Sell
Moving Average
Sell(6)
Neutral(0)
Buy(0)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MA5
588.180
Sell
MA10
600.934
Sell
MA20
616.480
Sell
MA50
657.319
Sell
MA100
675.489
Sell
MA200
652.330
Sell

Institutional Confidence

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-01

The company’s current institutional recognition score is 5.00, which is lower than the Software & IT Services industry's average of 5.77. The latest institutional shareholding proportion is 67.43%, representing a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 27.72%. The largest institutional shareholder is Baillie Gifford, holding a total of 8.70M shares, representing 4.22% of shares outstanding, with 20.24% decrease in holdings.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
5.00
Change
0

Institutional Shareholding

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Shareholder Activity

Name
Shares Held
Chg %
Lorentzon (Martin)
20.01M
-6.84%
Tencent Holdings Ltd
16.63M
--
Ek (Daniel G)
12.47M
-7.08%
Baillie Gifford & Co.
Star Investors
9.63M
-11.16%
BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A.
6.54M
+2.39%
State Street Investment Management (US)
4.57M
+1.65%
Fidelity Management & Research Company LLC
5.38M
+21.28%
Morgan Stanley Investment Management Inc. (US)
4.01M
-1.42%
WCM Investment Management
3.35M
-0.77%
Jennison Associates LLC
3.91M
-7.94%
1
2

Risk Assessment

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-01

The company’s current risk assessment score is 8.34, which is higher than the Software & IT Services industry's average of 4.89. The company's beta value is 1.66. This indicates that the stock tends to outperform the index during upward trending markets but experiences larger declines during downward trending markets.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
8.34
Change
0
Beta vs S&P 500 index
1.66
VaR
+4.23%
240-Day Maximum Drawdown
+25.39%
240-Day Volatility
+47.32%

Return

Best Daily Return
60 days
+3.81%
120 days
+5.38%
5 years
+13.46%
Worst Daily Return
60 days
-4.74%
120 days
-11.55%
5 years
-16.76%
Sharpe Ratio
60 days
-2.77
120 days
-0.91
5 years
+0.44

Risk Assessment

Maximum Drawdown
240 days
+25.39%
3 years
+26.84%
5 years
+79.68%
Return-to-Drawdown Ratio
240 days
+0.78
3 years
+6.51
5 years
+0.16
Skewness
240 days
+0.04
3 years
+0.34
5 years
-0.08

Volatility

Realised Volatility
240 days
+47.32%
5 years
+49.70%
Standardised True Range
240 days
+4.23%
5 years
+1.94%
Downside Risk-Adjusted Return
120 days
-110.89%
240 days
-110.89%
Maximum Daily Upside Volatility
60 days
+19.79%
Maximum Daily Downside Volatility
60 days
+25.33%

Liquidity

Average Turnover Rate
60 days
+0.96%
120 days
+1.12%
5 years
--
Turnover Deviation
20 days
-17.28%
60 days
-6.88%
120 days
+8.20%

Peer Comparison

Software & IT Services
Spotify Technology SA
Spotify Technology SA
SPOT
6.75 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
QXO Inc
QXO Inc
QXO
8.67 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp
Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp
CTSH
8.52 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Akamai Technologies Inc
Akamai Technologies Inc
AKAM
8.49 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Amdocs Ltd
Amdocs Ltd
DOX
8.47 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
ePlus inc
ePlus inc
PLUS
8.47 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
View more

FAQs

How does TradingKey generate the Stock Score of Spotify Technology SA?

The TradingKey Stock Score provides a comprehensive assessment of Spotify Technology SA based on 34 indicators derived from over 100 underlying data points.
These indicators are categorised into six key dimensions: financial health, company profile, earnings forecasts, price momentum, institutional confidence, and risk assessment, collectively providing investors with a thorough analysis of Spotify Technology SA’s performance and outlook.

How do we generate the financial health score of Spotify Technology SA?

To generate the financial health score of Spotify Technology SA, we analyse various key financial indicators across several core dimensions, including financial fundamentals, earnings quality, operational efficiency, growth potential, and shareholder returns.
By integrating these comprehensive data, the financial health score not only reflects Spotify Technology SA's overall stability, operational efficiency, and growth potential but also captures the investment returns delivered to shareholders. This score aims to support rational decision-making for investors and other stakeholders. A higher score indicates a better financial health of Spotify Technology SA.

How do we generate the company valuation score of Spotify Technology SA?

To generate the company valuation score of Spotify Technology SA, we use several key financial ratios, including P/E, P/B, P/S, and P/CF. These metrics compare Spotify Technology SA’s market value to its earnings, assets, sales, and cash flow, serving as core indicators for assessing company value.
By analysing these ratios in an all-round manner, the valuation score reflects not only the market’s current perception of Spotify Technology SA’s value but also its future profitability and growth potential, thereby supporting more informed investment decisions. A higher score indicates a fairer valuation of Spotify Technology SA.

How do we generate the earnings forecast score of Spotify Technology SA?

To calculate the earnings forecast score of Spotify Technology SA, we consider various key indicators such as analyst ratings, financial forecasts, support and resistance levels, and peer comparisons:
Current ratings and price targets directly reflect analysts’ expectations, while the upside space indicates their views on the stock’s growth potential.
Financial metrics like earnings per share (EPS), revenue, net income, and earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) are core measures for assessing profitability.
By analysing the high, median, and low ranges of the target price, we can identify price trends and determine key support and resistance levels.
Comparing these indicators against peers provides context for the stock’s performance and helps anchor more realistic expectations.
These factors together form a comprehensive earnings forecast score that accurately reflects the stock’s expected financial performance and growth potential. A higher score suggests that analysts have a more optimistic outlook on Spotify Technology SA’s future.

How do we generate the price momentum score of Spotify Technology SA?

When generating the price momentum score for Spotify Technology SA, we examine momentum indicators including support and resistance levels as well as volume metrics.
Support levels represent price points where buying interest is strong enough to prevent further declines, while resistance levels indicate prices where selling pressure may hinder upward movement. By analysing typical price volume alongside total volume, we assess overall market activity and liquidity. These indicators help identify price trends and potential shifts, enabling more accurate predictions of future earnings.
This comprehensive approach can reflect market sentiment and enable rational forecasts of Spotify Technology SA’s prices. A higher score indicates a more stable short-term price trend for Spotify Technology SA.

How do we generate the institutional confidence score of Spotify Technology SA?

To generate the institutional confidence score of Spotify Technology SA, we analyse both the proportion of shares held by institutions and the number of shares they own. A higher institutional ownership percentage indicates strong confidence of professional investors, which is generally a positive signal about Spotify Technology SA’s potential. By examining the number of shares held, we gain deeper insight into institutions’ commitment and attitude toward the stock, as institutional investors typically conduct thorough analysis before making investment decisions. Understanding institutional confidence helps us refine earnings forecasts and provides a more reliable perspective on the company’s future performance and market stability. A higher score indicates greater institutional endorsement of Spotify Technology SA.

How do we generate the risk management score of Spotify Technology SA?

To assess the risk management score of Spotify Technology SA, we examine multiple key indicators related to returns, risk, volatility, and liquidity.
The highest and lowest daily returns reflect the potential size of gains and losses, while the Sharpe ratio measures risk-adjusted return performance. On the risk side, we analyse maximum drawdown and the return-to-drawdown ratio to identify extreme loss scenarios. Skewness helps assess the distribution of returns and whether performance may be biased. Volatility indicators—such as realised volatility and standardised true range—reveal price fluctuations. Downside risk-adjusted returns provide insight into potential losses and gains. Lastly, liquidity metrics like average turnover rate and turnover deviation indicate how actively the stock is traded.
These indicators together provide a multi-dimensional understanding of Spotify Technology SA’s risk-return profile, serving as core factors of the risk management score. A higher score indicates lower risk on the side of Spotify Technology SA.
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