Today
-1.89%
5 Days
-1.97%
1 Month
-3.03%
6 Months
+11.13%
Year to Date
+12.65%
1 Year
+22.74%
This is a long-only strategy where positions are determined entirely by the TK Alpha Gauge. The strategy scales long exposure proportionally based on positive gauge readings and maintains a flat position (zero lots) when the gauge is negative. Performance metrics are detailed below.
The TK Alpha Gauge is a proprietary, comprehensive daily updated indicator developed by Tradingkey that reflects our outlook on specific financial instruments. Utilizing a long-proven AI framework, the index analyzes hundreds of proprietary price-volume, fundamental, and alternative data predictors. Values range from -100 to 100. Negative values signify a bearish (pessimistic) outlook, while positive values indicate a bullish (optimistic) stance. The further the value from zero, the stronger the quantitative signal. It provides quantitative insight into directional forecasts.

TradingKey - From late March to early June this year, tech stocks became the favored choice for investors. During this period, the Nasdaq Composite Index rose by as much as 28%, while the Nasdaq 100 Index surged by 33%. From an asset allocation perspective, investing in the Nasdaq Composite Index encompasses nearly all stocks listed on the Nasdaq, covering all industry sectors such as technology, finance, healthcare, and consumer goods. It includes leading tech giants like Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia, as well as a large number of small and mid-cap emerging growth companies, offering a more balanced distribution across industries and market capitalizations. Therefore, investing in this index represents a bet on the long-term growth potential of the entire industrial chain of the U.S. new economy.

At the inaugural FOMC meeting chaired by the newly appointed Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh, the median dot plot shifted directly from rate-cut expectations to rate-hike expectations. Interest rate futures immediately priced in a roughly 70% probability of a rate hike in September, plunging the market into a rate-hike panic. This article argues that the market is highly likely overestimating the intensity of this rate-hike cycle. Even if rate hikes do resume in September, the move would fundamentally represent a robust tightening characterized by "withdrawing insurance rate cuts against the backdrop of a still-resilient economy," which is fundamentally different from the panic-driven tightening of 2022. For long-term investors in US equities, this shift presents opportunities that outweigh the risks. However, this assessment is conditional and must be dynamically adjusted using three indicators as anchors: core inflation, long-term inflation expectations, and the unemployment rate.

TradingKey - On June 10, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the CPI data for May, delivering results in line with market expectations. Specifically, the U.S. CPI rose 0.5% month-on-month, compared to the previous 0.6%, and increased 4.2% year-on-year, up from 3.8% in April. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.2% month-on-month, lower than the 0.4% recorded in April, while the annual core CPI edged up to 2.9% from the previous 2.8%. Following the data release, the Nasdaq 100 reversed earlier losses to lead the broader U.S. equity market, with the heavily weighted technology sector serving as the core driver of the index's upward momentum.

U.S. equities rallied, led by Dow up 2.3%. Modest job growth, falling unemployment, and strong wage growth supported sentiment. Energy, utilities, industrials, materials, and small-caps (Russell 2000 +4.6%) outperformed. Fed minutes showed differing views on rates. Investors eye CPI data for inflati

Can the tides of the past internet era offer practical insights into the current debates surrounding the AI industry bubble? Why does every wave of technological revolution give rise to large-scale asset bubbles? What role has the Federal Reserve’s policy regulation played in the formation and evolu

TradingKey - It should be emphasised that tariff policy is the core driver sustaining the current high level of inflation,...Under the combined influence of tariffs and inflation, the U.S. stock market will probably follow a down-then-up trend in 2026.

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