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Assurant (AIZ) 2026幎第3四半期決算説明䌚ラむフスタむル事業の成長加速で業瞟予想を匕き䞊げ

Nov 4, 2026 8:01 PM
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アシュラントの2026幎第3四半期決算は、党瀟的な利益成長を背景に通期芋通しの䞊方修正を発衚した。グロヌバル・ラむフスタむル郚門が成長を牜匕し、コネクテッド・リビングが倧幅な増益を蚘録したほか、グロヌバル・ハりゞング郚門も灜害費甚の枛少等により奜調を維持した。経営陣は2026幎の調敎埌EBITDA成長率を玄10%、同EPS成長率を10%台前半ぞず䞊方修正し、自瀟株買い目暙も3億5,000䞇ドルに匕き䞊げた。今埌は技術投資やAI掻甚による業務効率化を継続する方針である䞀方、再保険コストの動向やパヌトナヌ䌁業ずの取匕タむミングなどがリスク芁因ずしお挙げられおいる。

AI生成芁玄

アシュラントAIZは2026幎第3四半期の決算説明䌚にお、幅広い分野での利益成長を発衚し、通期の業瞟芋通しを䞊方修正した。グロヌバル・ラむフスタむル郚門が匕き続き䞻芁な成長゚ンゞンずなったほか、グロヌバル・ハりゞング郚門は自然灜害以倖の良奜な損害経隓ず再保険コストの枛少が寄䞎した。

芁点

  • 報告察象ずなる自然灜害を陀いた第3四半期の調敎埌EBITDAおよび調敎埌1株圓たり利益EPSは、ずもに前幎同期比で12%増加した。
  • グロヌバル・ラむフスタむル郚門の調敎埌EBITDAは、コネクテッド・リビングの23%成長が牜匕し、15%増加した。アシュラントは過去12か月間で370䞇台の保護察象デバむスを远加した。
  • グロヌバル・ハりゞング郚門は自然灜害を陀いた調敎埌EBITDAが2億8,800䞇ドルずなり、11%増加した。報告察象の自然灜害により、同郚門の報告ベヌス調敎埌EBITDAは2,000䞇ドル枛少した。
  • 経営陣は、いずれも自然灜害を陀いた2026幎の業瞟芋通しに぀いお、調敎埌EBITDA成長率を玄10%、調敎埌EPS成長率を10%台前半ぞず䞊方修正した。
  • アシュラントは2026幎の自瀟株買い目暙を3億5,000䞇ドルに匕き䞊げた。10月31日たでの幎初来の自瀟株買い実瞟は3億500䞇ドルに達した。
  • 経営陣は2027幎に぀いおもグロヌバル・ラむフスタむル郚門がアシュラントの成長を牜匕する䞻因であり続けるず芋蟌んでいるが、2027幎の詳现なガむダンスは埌日提瀺される予定である。

䞻芁財務デヌタ

指暙2026幎第3四半期実瞟たたは倉動解説・備考
調敎埌EBITDA前幎同期比+12%報告察象ずなる自然灜害を陀く
調敎埌EPS前幎同期比+12%報告察象ずなる自然灜害を陀く
グロヌバル・ラむフスタむル郚門 調敎埌EBITDA+15%3,000䞇ドル増コネクテッド・リビングが牜匕
コネクテッド・リビング 調敎埌EBITDA+23%3,000䞇ドル増デバむス保護およびサプラむチェヌンプログラムが寄䞎
グロヌバル・オヌトモヌティブ郚門 実質調敎埌EBITDA+9%700䞇ドル増2025幎第3四半期における600䞇ドルの䞀時的䞀益を陀く
グロヌバル・ハりゞング郚門 調敎埌EBITDA2億6,800䞇ドル報告察象の自然灜害2,000䞇ドルを含む
グロヌバル・ハりゞング郚門 調敎埌EBITDA自然灜害陀く2億8,800䞇ドル+11%前幎同期比2,900䞇ドル増
四半期末の手元流動性9億5,400䞇ドル投資および株䞻還元を埌抌し
第3四半期の株䞻還元額1億1,900䞇ドル自瀟株買い7,500䞇ドル、配圓金4,400䞇ドル

2026幎最初の9か月間第1〜第3四半期环蚈においお、報告察象ずなる自然灜害を陀いた調敎埌EBITDAは12%増、調敎埌EPSは13%増ずなった。グロヌバル・ラむフスタむル郚門の利益は18%増加し、そのうちコネクテッド・リビングが23%増、グロヌバル・オヌトモヌティブが10%増ずなった。グロヌバル・ハりゞング郚門の自然灜害を陀いた調敎埌EBITDAは8%増加した。

事業・業瞟動向

グロヌバル・ラむフスタむル郚門

コネクテッド・リビングは匕き続きアシュラントで最も匷力な成長事業ずなった。同瀟は䞖界党䜓で6,900䞇台以䞊のデバむスを保護しおおり、過去12か月間で370䞇台の保護察象デバむスを远加した。

アシュラントは圓四半期䞭、サプラむチェヌン゜リュヌションを通じお760䞇台のデバむスに察応し、前幎同期比で玄280䞇台増加した。最初の9か月間で、リバヌス・ロゞスティクスおよび䞋取りプログラムにより2,200䞇台以䞊のデバむスを凊理した。

経営陣はこの業瞟改善に぀いお、既存顧客ずの取匕拡倧、ポストペむドおよびプリペむドプログラムの成熟、ならびにリバヌス・ロゞスティクスの拡倧によるものずしおいる。US cellular、ベスト・バむBest Buy、チェヌスChaseが関䞎する最近のプログラムも2026幎の拡倧に貢献した。

デバむス保護は匕き続き利益ぞの貢献床がより倧きいものの、サプラむチェヌンサヌビスも利益増倧に寄䞎し、統合的な顧客関係の収益性を匷化しおいるず経営陣は述べおいる。TモバむルT-Mobile関連の取扱量は第2四半期たでに堅調なランレヌトに達しおおり、今埌数四半期にわたっお前幎同期比でのハヌドルが高くなるこずを意味しおいる。

グロヌバル・オヌトモヌティブ郚門

グロヌバル・オヌトモヌティブ郚門の第3四半期実質利益は、前幎同期の600䞇ドルの䞀時的䞀益を陀くず9%増加した。業瞟には、損害経隓の改善や、米囜内倖のパヌトナヌずの取匕拡倧が反映された。

正味受入保険料は25%増加したが、経営陣によるず増加分のおよそ半分は1瀟の顧客ずのタむミングによるものである。残りは、拡倧した米囜の䞻芁顧客2瀟ずの関係および成長を続けるグロヌバルパヌトナヌシップに裏打ちされた継続的な成長によるものである。

アシュラントは第䞉者管理者TPA2瀟ずの提携関係を曎新したほか、メキシコの倧型OEMおよび英囜の倧手䞭叀車販売事業者ずのパヌトナヌシップを远加した。たた、車䞡サヌビス契玄やGAP保蚌損害額補償保険の損害率パフォヌマンスが匕き続き改善しおおり、2027幎以降も䞀段の改善の可胜性があるず経営陣は語った。

グロヌバル・ハりゞング郚門

グロヌバル・ハりゞング郚門の自然灜害を陀いた調敎埌EBITDAが11%増加した背景には、自然灜害以倖の請求頻床の䜎䞋ず、4月1日の曎新時に良奜な䟡栌蚭定が埗られたこずによる自然灜害再保険コストの枛少がある。これらの増益芁因は、前幎床準備金繰戻・取厩の悪化分800䞇ドルによっお䞀郚盞殺された。

アシュラントはフリヌダム・モヌゲヌゞFreedom Mortgageずの提携を通じお玄260䞇件のロヌンを新芏に取り蟌み、远跡察象ロヌンの総数は3,400䞇件に達した。この提携による保険料収入ぞの貢献は、今埌数四半期にわたり本栌化する芋蟌みである。

賃貞人向け保険Renters分野では、『Cover360』が䞍動産管理チャネル党䜓で普及率の向䞊、良奜な補品ミックス、2桁台の保険料成長を支え続けた。過去5幎間においお、グロヌバル・ハりゞング郚門は平均コンバむンド・ラシオ83%、平均自己資本利益率ROE28%を達成した。

AIおよびテクノロゞヌ

アシュラントは、保険金請求、顧客゚ンゲヌゞメント、文曞凊理、業務自動化、デバむスの需絊管理に至るたでAIを掻甚しおいる。経営陣によるず、珟圚の導入効果ずしお、技術開発の迅速化に加えお、オペレヌション、コヌルセンタヌ、デバむスケアセンタヌにおける効率化が挙げられる。

同瀟は、こうした効率化による成果の䞀郚を新たな機胜開発や成長機䌚に再投資する方針である。経営陣は、AIの導入にあたっおガバナンス、セキュリティ、リスク管理を培底するこずを匷調した。

経営陣のガむダンス業瞟芋通し

アシュラントは2026幎通期の業瞟予想を以䞋の通り䞊方修正した。

2026幎の指暙修正埌の経営陣芋通し
調敎埌EBITDA成長率玄10%自然灜害を陀く
調敎埌EPS成長率10%台前半自然灜害を陀く
前幎床準備金倉動の圱響を陀いた調敎埌EBITDA成長率10%台前半から半ば自然灜害を陀く
前幎床準備金倉動の圱響を陀いた調敎埌EPS成長率10%台半ば自然灜害を陀く
グロヌバル・ラむフスタむル郚門の利益成長率10%台半ばから埌半
グロヌバル・ハりゞング郚門の利益成長率䞀桁台半ば自然灜害を陀く
前幎床準備金倉動の枛少を陀いたグロヌバル・ハりゞング郚門の実質成長率10%台前半
自瀟株買い3億5,000䞇ドル

この業瞟芋通しは、アシュラントがグロヌバル・ハりゞング郚門においお前幎床準備金の枛少分5,200䞇ドルを吞収するこずを前提ずしおいる。第4四半期における远加的な前幎床準備金取厩益は含たれおいない。

2027幎に぀いお、経営陣はコネクテッド・リビングずオヌトモヌティブの双方の貢献により、グロヌバル・ラむフスタむル郚門が匕き続き党瀟の成長を牜匕するず芋蟌んでいる。ハりゞング郚門では、珟圚の利益氎準の維持ず新芏事業案件の獲埗に泚力する。党瀟費甚およびその他費甚はおおむね安定しお掚移する芋通しであり、より詳现なガむダンスは2月に発衚される予定である。

リスクず泚芖すべき分野

  • グロヌバル・ハりゞング郚門の業瞟は、請求頻床の䜎䞋や奜条件での再保険䟡栌蚭定による恩恵を受けたが、これが同様の氎準で継続するずは限らない。次回の䞻芁な再保険曎新は2027幎4月に予定されおいる。
  • アシュラントは、2026幎に前幎床準備金戻入の枛少分5,200䞇ドルを克服する必芁がある。
  • グロヌバル・オヌトモヌティブ郚門における正味受入保険料の25%の䌞びの玄半分は、継続的な事業拡倧ではなく顧客の郜合タむミングによるものであった。
  • Tモバむルのリバヌス・ロゞスティクスの取扱量は珟圚ほが拡倧しきっおおり、プログラム立ち䞊げ期の䞀巡に䌎い、前幎同期比范が難しくなる。
  • AI゚ヌゞェントや䟡栌比范ツヌルは、顧客によるサヌビス契玄の評䟡方法に圱響を䞎える可胜性がある。経営陣はアシュラントの組蟌型B2B2C販売モデルが匷みになるず考えおいるが、継続的な補品むノベヌションず匷固なセキュリティ管理の必芁性も認識しおいる。
  • 折りたたみ匏スマヌトフォンは請求頻床が高くなるず予想される。経営陣は、リスクシェアリングや再保険契玄によっおアシュラントの損倱リスクは限定的であり、高䟡栌垯デバむス向けの補償需芁はプラスに寄䞎する可胜性があるず述べおいる。

アナリスト質疑応答のハむラむト

アナリストは、最近のプログラム拡倧埌もコネクテッド・リビングの成長が維持できるかどうかに泚目した。経営陣は、いく぀かの倧型プログラムはすでに拡倧期を終え぀぀あるものの、さらなる最適化ずサヌビス拡匵の䜙地はただ残されおいるず答えた。

スマヌトフォンの買い替えサむクルに぀いお、経営陣は所有期間の長期化がデバむス保護、認定䞭叀品、䞋取り、リファヌビッシュサヌビスの需芁を埌抌ししおいるず述べた。デバむス䟡栌の高隰も、補償や䞋取りプログラムの重芁性を高めおいる。

AIに関しお、経営陣は業務効率化、顧客䜓隓の向䞊、新たな収益機䌚が䞻な財務的メリットであるず特定した。ただし、アシュラントはすべおの効率化成果をそのたた利益率に反映させるのではなく、削枛費甚の䞀郚を再投資する蚈画である。

グロヌバル・ハりゞング郚門に぀いお、経営陣は損害率が幎初来ベヌスで数ポむント改善したず説明した。長期的な芖点では、同瀟は匕き続き80%台前半から半ばのコンバむンド・ラシオを正垞な氎準範囲ず芋なしおいる。

決算説明䌚文字起こし党文


決算説明䌚の完党なトランスクリプト

経営陣による説明

Operator

Welcome to Assurant's Third Quarter 2026 Conference Call and Webcast. [Operator Instructions]

It is now my pleasure to turn the floor over to Sean Moshier, Head of Investor Relations. You may begin.

Sean Moshier

Thank you, operator, and good morning, everyone. We look forward to discussing our third quarter results with you today. Joining me for Assurant's conference call are Keith Demmings, our President and Chief Executive Officer; and Keith Meier, our Chief Financial Officer. Yesterday, after the market closed, we issued an earnings release announcing our results for the third quarter 2026. The release and corresponding financial supplement are available on assurant.com. Also on our website is a slide presentation for our webcast participants.

Some of the statements made today are forward-looking. Forward-looking statements are based upon historical and current expectations and subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated by these statements. Additional information regarding these factors can be found in the earnings release, presentation and financial supplement on our website as well as in our SEC reports. During today's call, we will refer to non-GAAP financial measures, which we believe are important in analyzing the company's performance. For more details on these measures, the most comparable GAAP measures and a reconciliation of the 2, please refer to the earnings release, presentation and financial supplement on our website.

We'll start today's call with remarks before moving into Q&A. I will now turn the call over to Keith Demmings.

Keith Demmings

Good morning, and thank you for joining us. Our third quarter results reflect broad-based earnings growth across Assurant, supporting a record year in demonstrating the financial and operational momentum behind our strategy. Global Lifestyle and Global Housing both delivered double-digit earnings growth, driving a 12% increase in adjusted EBITDA and EPS, all excluding reportable catastrophes. These results reinforce the durability of our business model and our right to win in the lifestyle and housing markets we serve. 2026 has been an exceptional year of outperformance for Assurant. Through the first 9 months of the year, adjusted EBITDA increased 12% and adjusted EPS grew 13%, both excluding reportable cats.

These results extend our track record of profitable growth. Our performance reflects operational discipline, technology-driven efficiency and a diversified business mix that continues to generate earnings growth. Importantly, we've delivered these results while investing in future growth and returning capital to shareholders. I want to thank our global teams. Their execution turns our strategy into results for our clients, customers and shareholders. As we approach the end of 2026, we are well positioned to deliver our 10th consecutive year of profitable earnings growth.

Let's move on to our segment highlights. Global Lifestyle's performance this year reinforces this business as a major engine of innovation and growth, anchored by a large subscriber base and recurring fee-based revenue streams. Year-to-date, earnings increased 18%, driven by growth in both Connected Living and Global Automotive. Within Connected Living, earnings grew 23% year-to-date, reflecting expansion with existing clients and continued optimization of recently added programs. Our growth is built on deep embedded partnerships with the world's leading mobile carriers, retailers, cable operators and financial institutions.

In mobile, we now protect over 69 million devices globally, and our subscriber base continues to generate strong year-over-year growth. We continue to benefit from our alignment with the market leaders who are winning share as well as from new scaling postpaid and prepaid programs that are continuing to mature. Our supply chain capability also operates with significant scale. Through the first 9 months of the year, we processed more than 22 million devices through our reverse logistics and trade-in programs, leveraging powerful technology, advanced automation and operational expertise to support our partners.

Across the device life cycle, our end-to-end capabilities continue to be a key differentiator. We innovate alongside our global mobile partners while delivering exceptional customer experiences across their growing subscriber bases. In extended service contracts and financial services, expanding partnerships with some of the largest appliance and consumer electronics retailers and financial institutions position these businesses for continued growth.

Turning to Global Automotive. Year-to-date, adjusted EBITDA grew 10%, driven by continued improved loss experience and expansion of our global partnership base. We continue to strengthen relationships across our dealer, third-party administrator and OEM or manufacturer channels while adding new partners, both domestically and internationally. We recently renewed 2 important TPA relationships and signed new partnerships with a large OEM in Mexico and a major used vehicle retailer in the United Kingdom. We continue to see strong momentum across our growing commercial equipment and lease and finance business, expanding distribution through new OEM, dealer and lending partnerships. During the quarter, we added multiple new partnerships while expanding several existing programs, further strengthening the growth trajectory of these businesses.

Moving to Global Housing. Our differentiated business model continues to deliver with 8% growth in adjusted EBITDA, excluding cats, through the first 9 months of 2026. These results reflect the strength of our business and the value of the capabilities that we've built. At the center of housing is our lender-placed business. Lender-placed is more than an insurance product. It's a specialized coverage verification tracking business that helps ensure insurance continuity to protect lenders, servicers and homeowners while playing a critical role in safeguarding the U.S. housing market. The business is built on proprietary technology with deep client integration at scale, enabling us to navigate the highly complex nature of the business and demonstrating why it's so hard to replicate.

Our decades of investment in data-centric operational capabilities have strengthened Assurant's competitive position and benefited partners and consumers through scale, expense efficiencies and customer experience. The durability of our client relationships reflects the value we provide. On average, our largest lender-placed clients have partnered with Assurant for almost 20 years, representing more than 3/4 of our tracked loans.

With the onboarding of approximately 2.6 million loans through our Freedom Mortgage partnership, we now ensure insurance continuity on 34 million loans. We continue to see a clear runway to expand that base further through new partnerships. In Renters, we're expanding Cover360 through close integration with our property management company channel partners. Cover360 remains an important growth platform for our Renters business, driving improved penetration, a more favorable product mix and stronger customer engagement, all of which support double-digit premium growth across the channel.

In housing, our scale and operating efficiency translate into differentiated financial performance across our product lines. Over the last 5 years, Housing delivered an average combined ratio of 83% and an average return on equity of 28%. and our results in 2026 are extending our track record of attractive returns. The takeaway is simple: Housing operates a specialized advantaged business model that delivers attractive returns. Across all of Assurant, 2026 has truly been a remarkable year. As we execute on our 10th consecutive year of profitable growth, I'm incredibly proud of our performance so far in 2026, which comes on the heels of 3 consecutive years of double-digit adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS growth, excluding cats.

The broad-based success across our businesses this year is a direct reflection of our clear strategy and a business model built for durable growth. Our position as a trusted B2B2C provider across embedded services and protection programs that are less dependent on traditional insurance market cycles resonates with many of the world's leading brands. We leverage relationships built on transparency and shared outcomes, helping clients grow and strengthening customer loyalty. During the year, we've continued to build on that momentum. In mobile, within Connected Living, we launched several new programs, increasing our presence with major U.S. carriers, including long-standing partnerships and growing relationships that represent attractive long-term opportunities.

In auto, we've deepened relationships with existing U.S. partners while expanding our global footprint, increasing future opportunities for growth. And within our lender-placed business, we've expanded our market position through our new partnership as we continue to leverage our scale and technology to execute on a robust new client pipeline. As Keith Meier will discuss, a fundamental driver of our success is investments in technology and innovation. Integrated ecosystems of services, technology, data and AI are critical to creating value across the client and customer journey. These capabilities are hard to replicate and increasingly important as clients look for partners who can solve complex challenges at scale.

Our disciplined execution this year has demonstrated our meaningful competitive advantages positioning us well to extend our track record of delivering profitable growth and generating attractive returns for shareholders.

Now I'll turn it over to Keith Meier to discuss third quarter results and our increased outlook for 2026.

Keith Meier

Thanks, Keith, and good morning, everyone. We were very pleased with the strong performance in the quarter, driven by double-digit earnings growth in both Global Lifestyle and Global Housing, excluding cats. Third quarter growth was exceptional with adjusted EBITDA and adjusted earnings per share growth of 12%, both excluding cats. We're proud of our performance across Assurant as we continue to enable growth through our focus on leveraging technology, driving innovation and product differentiation. Given the outstanding performance so far this year, we are once again increasing our expectations for full year growth.

Before reviewing our increased outlook, let me start by highlighting our third quarter results, beginning with Global Lifestyle. Third quarter adjusted EBITDA increased 15% or $30 million compared to last year. Within Connected Living, adjusted EBITDA grew 23%, also up $30 million. Our mobile business continues to drive strong growth, building on our momentum with existing clients to expand products and capabilities through innovative programs. Across global supply chain and device protection programs, we continue to build scale and efficiencies as programs mature, improving underlying profitability as they've grown.

Within our fee-based global supply chain solutions, we serviced 7.6 million devices, an increase of approximately 2.8 million devices compared to last year, driven by our new reverse logistics programs. Within device protection, we added 3.7 million protected devices over the last 12 months, reflecting continued subscriber growth across our global partnerships.

Rising device costs and lengthening replacement cycles are increasing the need to protect existing devices for consumers and repurposing pre-owned devices, reinforcing the relevance of Assurance offerings. These trends are increasing demand for high-quality refurbished devices that are serviced at our 9 global device care centers. Within Connected Living, we also continue to see growth from optimizing programs through our expanding card benefits business within financial services.

Turning to Global Automotive. Adjusted EBITDA was slightly above the prior year as results were impacted by our previously disclosed $6 million nonrecurring benefit in the third quarter of 2025. Excluding that item, underlying earnings increased $7 million or 9%. Auto results continue to reflect improving loss experience and global partnerships expansion. We see additional opportunities to grow the business both in the U.S. and internationally as we deepen existing relationships and add new partners.

Moving to Global Housing. Third quarter adjusted EBITDA was $268 million, including $20 million of reportable catastrophes. Excluding cats, adjusted EBITDA was $288 million, an increase of $29 million or 11%. Results benefited from a favorable non-cat loss ratio, driven by lower claim frequencies during the quarter.

Lower cat reinsurance costs from favorable pricing following the April 1 placement of our 2026 program also contributed to growth. Third quarter results were partially offset by $8 million of lower favorable prior period reserve development. Within lender-placed, our placement rate increased modestly in the quarter. Growth from our Freedom Mortgage partnership more than offset the impact of a client who transferred a portion of their loan portfolio to another loan servicer. Policy placement of Freedom Mortgage is expected to ramp up over the next few quarters. More broadly, we believe there continues to be a meaningful opportunity to grow our 34 million tracked loans over the next several years.

Turning to capital. Our liquidity position at quarter end was $954 million, providing flexibility to continue to invest in growth and return excess capital to shareholders. This quarter, we returned $119 million to our shareholders, including $75 million of share repurchases and $44 million in dividends. Through October 31, we repurchased an additional $30 million, bringing our year-to-date total to $305 million. Before moving to our 2026 outlook, I want to spend a moment on AI and how it fits within Assurant's long-term strategy. Our technology-first approach has been a differentiator for many years and positions us well to capitalize on AI. We do not view AI as a stand-alone initiative or a onetime investment. We evaluate AI the same way we evaluate any strategic capability, investing where we see a clear path to improving customer experience, creating new sources of growth and strengthening profitability.

What makes Assurant's opportunity unique is the combination of our technology platforms, proprietary data, deep domain expertise and long-standing client relationships. Together, these assets enable us to deploy AI at scale across our businesses and create differentiated solutions for both clients and consumers. We are already seeing benefits across the enterprise. In Connected Living, AI is helping optimize device supply and demand, improve claims outcomes and enhance customer engagement. In auto, AI is supporting both revenue generation and claims decision-making, helping simplify increasingly complex vehicle repair processes. Across housing, AI is reducing friction through intelligent document processing, workflow automation and digital customer interactions.

Importantly, these investments are producing value today while creating opportunities for future growth. As we capture benefits through improved operating performance and customer experiences, we reinvest a portion of those gains into additional innovation and capabilities, further strengthening our competitive position. And as we expand these capabilities, we're doing so responsibly with appropriate oversight and controls. As these technologies continue to evolve, we believe our technology foundation and ability to scale solutions globally expand our right to win and support sustainable growth and shareholder value creation over the long term. So whenever there are new technologies, including AI in the market, you can think of that as an advantage for Assurant with our strong technology-first DNA.

Now let's move on to our increased outlook for 2026. We now expect full year adjusted EBITDA to grow approximately 10% and adjusted earnings per share to grow low double digits with both metrics excluding cats. Our expectation is to deliver strong growth while overcoming $52 million of lower favorable prior year reserve development in Global Housing. Excluding the impact of prior year reserve development, we expect low to mid-teens adjusted EBITDA growth and mid-teens adjusted earnings per share growth, excluding cats. Global Lifestyle is expected to lead the growth for Assurant. We're increasing our outlook for Lifestyle and now expect mid- to high teens growth, reflecting our strong year-to-date results in both Connected Living and Global Auto.

Turning to Global Housing. We also increased our outlook and now expect earnings to grow mid-single digits, excluding cats. Absent impacts from lower prior year reserve development, we expect low double-digit underlying growth for the full year. Consistent with our past approach, our 2026 outlook does not contemplate incremental prior year reserve development in the fourth quarter.

From a capital perspective, our strong cash generation creates flexibility, enabling us to reinvest for growth, including M&A and return excess capital to shareholders. For 2026, we are increasing our expectations for share repurchases to $350 million at the top of our $250 million to $350 million initial repurchase range. Our third quarter and year-to-date results underscore the momentum across Assurant. We are on track to deliver record performance in 2026, a milestone that reflects the strength of Global Lifestyle and Global Housing. As we close out the year, we will continue investing in the opportunities ahead and putting our strong capital position to work to create value for our shareholders.

With that, operator, please open the call for questions.

Operator

[Operator Instructions]

Our first question comes from Mark Hughes with Truist Securities.

質疑応答

Mark Hughes

In Global Auto, the net written premium up 25%, you talked about some new partnerships, et cetera. What are you seeing on an underlying basis just in terms of sales? And is this 25% is that kind of growth sustainable in the next few quarters as these partnerships continue to make a contribution?

Keith Demmings

Yes. So let me start just at the highest level, and then I'll have Keith provide comments directly. But I just want to reinforce how excited we are with the results we've delivered. I mean you obviously saw strong double-digit growth across all of our businesses in the third quarter and then really, really strong year-to-date performance. I think what's most encouraging is the strength across the board. So having Lifestyle lead the growth, but delivering double digit in both Connected Living and Auto and then Housing maintaining such strong momentum overcoming PYD, I think we feel incredibly good about how that sets us up. And then international has continued to perform well. Happy to have Keith provide some specific comments on the business itself.

Keith Meier

Yes. And so Mark, you asked about the increase in the written premium for auto. I would say that you can look at that and split it into 2 halves. So one half of it is really just timing with a particular client from this year versus last year. And then the other is more of the recurring growth that you can think of. And that relates to some expansion with 2 of our clients in the U.S. and also our global partnerships that continue to grow as well. So we are really pleased to see the results there in the quarter in terms of written premium for auto.

Mark Hughes

Yes, I appreciate that. And then -- it seems like there's been some news, Elon Musk talking about getting into the wireless space. What does that potentially mean for you? And then the other risk that's come up is the news and the potential search or comparison shopping that might lead consumers to be a little more sensitive to pricing on the service contracts. I wonder if you could just address those 2 issues.

Keith Demmings

Those are 2 big questions. Yes, maybe first, I'll start with Starlink. Obviously, the wireless market is very competitive to begin with, right? And there's a couple of major cable players in the space. There's the 3 big network operators. We saw a lot of balanced growth across the board, lots of competition. I think generally, that backdrop sets up well for us as clients are looking to innovate and then leverage the full scale of our capabilities. The second thing I'd say is we've had a long track record of helping clients drive change, disrupt the status quo, whether that's cable, Rakuten, T-Mobile when they kind of launched the Un-carrier. So I think we're well positioned as the market evolves, and I think it sets up well for our capability set.

And I do think we have the broadest and deepest set of capabilities in the marketplace. In terms of -- the question more broadly on AI and Muse. I think maybe I'll talk a little bit about AI disruption broadly, and then I'll speak about Muse agents. But I think the interesting thing for Assurant is our business model is incredibly unique, and I think that creates fundamental advantages. As you know, we're a B2B provider. We're naturally embedded in the transaction flows with our clients. We don't generally offer products direct to consumer. And I think as we work with clients, they want to control how the product is offered, but also influence the design of the product, the value prop, the service experience. My expectation is AI causes us and clients to continue to innovate to enhance coverages, evolve the experience for customers and then even more proactively communicate with customers and provide personalization.

So I do think there are some really good advantages that come through our model. In terms of Muse and AI agent adoption more broadly, I'd say a couple of things. First, really early in the development and the adoption cycle. It will evolve, no doubt significantly over time. I think from an Assurant perspective, we've always tried to embrace technology, particularly when it improves the customer experience. And then giving customers choice, different options to interact with us. We've done that over time, phone, web, mobile device, chat. This will continue to evolve, and we'll explore how best to support their desire to use an AI agent, but we also have to have the appropriate governance and risk management and balance security and decision-making control.

So how do we make it easier for customers but prevent fraud, protect policyholders and leverage technology. And I think as we think about customers shopping and looking at our products versus other options in the marketplace, first, our advantage that we're embedded with clients in their direct sales process, I think, is really important. And two, it will cause us all to raise the bar on delivering the utmost customer value proposition.

Keith Meier

Yes. And I think on top of that, our philosophy is to be very transparent in how we operate. And I think to the extent that this benefits companies that are transparent, I think that certainly is a positive for us. And like I mentioned earlier, we're leaning in heavily on a lot of our AI initiatives, and we're making a lot of progress, whether it be efficiencies or new capabilities. But overall, I think when you think about AI coming into our markets, we like how we're positioned to address it.

Operator

Our next question comes from Charlie Lederer with BMO.

Charles Lederer

You mentioned the new partnerships in auto. Wondering if you could talk about the pipeline for new partnerships in Connected Living and maybe Home too. And then just dovetailing to that on the Connected Living side, can you give us a sense of maybe what inning you feel like you're in, in terms of the ramp of the various mobile programs you've added in the last 12 to 18 months?

Keith Demmings

Sure. And obviously, we've had a fantastic year in Connected Living with 23% growth year-to-date. So we're incredibly proud of that. I definitely think we've seen significant ramping this year. We talked about a number of things that we were investing in, certainly last year that fed into this year's performance, clients like onboarding UScellular. We've obviously scaled really significantly around reverse logistics. We've launched and expanded Best Buy. We've grown and matured our Chase relationship. So I do think 2026 is benefiting from a lot of those big programs moving towards scale. There's still opportunity to further scale and optimize as we go forward.

But that's why you see such a big step-up in year-over-year performance. In terms of what inning we're in, it's an interesting question. We've got really lofty ambitions for how we think about Connected Living broadly. Certainly, mobile is the biggest driver, but we've got great momentum in extended service contracts with the retail space. We're doing a lot of good work in financial services as well. And then mobile, I think our broad set of capabilities is really resonating, and you see that showing up in our protected subs, in our devices serviced. And I think there's a lot of long-term opportunity to grow the business.

Keith Meier

Yes. When I think about housing as well, we recently mentioned the new win with Freedom, and we feel really good about our pipeline as well that we'll be able to talk about over the coming quarters. So overall, we like the position we're in, in terms of new opportunities coming over the next year.

Charles Lederer

And then as my follow-up, just looking at the strong results in housing, there's a few moving pieces. Maybe you can help unpack gross written premium growth bounced back nicely, but it sounds like you still have more premium to onboard from that Freedom Mortgage relationship being onboarded. Wondering if you can expand on the underlying volume and pricing trends in lender-placed. And then on the frequency benefit you're seeing, it would be great if you can -- if you could help quantify how much that impacted the ex cat loss ratio, ex PPD in the quarter too?

Keith Meier

All right. A lot to unpack there, Charlie. Let me start with your first point on Freedom. So we had one client that transferred some loans to another servicer last quarter. And then Freedom came on in terms of gross written premium this quarter. So that was what was contributing to us this quarter. And then you should see Freedom being able to ramp up over the next few quarters. So that's how I would characterize the trends in gross written premium. And then in general, I think our position for the Housing business is -- this year, we had favorable loss ratios. I'd say from a year-to-date perspective, you can think about it as a couple of percentage points. But overall, I think we're in a pretty stable position.

If you think about our long-term views, we typically have talked about combined ratios in the low to mid-80s. And this year, we're seeing those loss ratios be a little bit better. So I think that's helping us a little bit this year. But overall, we're really pleased with the performance of housing. And then we have lots of growth levers as we think about going into next year as well with new clients, our AIVs, and we also think there'll be favorable trends for our reinsurance, but we'll see how that plays out when we renew that reinsurance treaties in April of next year.

Operator

Our next question comes from Jeff Schmitt with William Blair.

Jeffrey Schmitt

On AI, where are you seeing the clearest financial benefits today, whether it's in claims, fraud or customer service? And could those benefits become kind of meaningful enough to impact margins over time?

Keith Meier

Yes. I think we're certainly seeing good efficiencies, Jeff, in terms of our operations, our call centers and our device care centers. A great example is we -- many of you were able to see our AI adoption in action at our investor event earlier this year in Nashville. So there's a lot of talk about it, but it was nice to be able to show that actually operating in our facility at scale. So I think there's good efficiencies. We also see technology opportunities where we can really accelerate our tech initiatives. So we feel good there. So I think we are getting some efficiencies, but we also want to reinvest a portion of that into additional growth opportunities.

We're always trying to drive innovation and new capabilities. So I think that's where we're really indexed pretty heavily. So if you think about our priorities, it's really improving the customer experience, driving new revenue streams and then certainly strengthening profitability as well.

Jeffrey Schmitt

And then a question on the smartphone upgrade cycle. I think that's extended to roughly 4 years now. And is that creating a larger opportunity for refurbishment services? Or does that -- does the slower replacement cycle kind of offset any benefits by lowering device volumes?

Keith Demmings

Yes. Certainly, it's an interesting dynamic and one that we've seen play out, as you say, over a few years and the ownership cycle certainly lengthened. And I think from our perspective, we're protecting 69-plus million subscribers today. That's very sticky. Obviously, they want to protect those devices regardless of the age. So I think we feel really good in terms of the base of the portfolio. I do think it creates opportunity with respect to certified pre-owned devices. Customers are more interested in upgrading to a CPO device than they've been historically in the past. I think that creates interesting dynamics and opportunities.

You've got broad affordability challenges with the cost of devices, certainly from memory and component costs. And I think, therefore, trade-in is really important to help the customer be able to afford the new device. So there's lots of different ways that we play across the ecosystem. And I think we're set up really well because we do play in the full ecosystem.

Operator

Our next question comes from Bob Huang with Morgan Stanley.

Jian Huang

So just given the strong commentaries you've had so far, right? And then as we think about maybe not even rest of 2026, as we think about 2027, can you maybe help us think about -- where is the momentum within your various segments going forward? Is Global Lifestyle or Connected Living related to the one that's going to be driving 2027. Can you maybe give us a little bit additional color on how you're thinking about next year?

Keith Demmings

Sure. And I'll try to drop a few breadcrumbs for you as best we can. I would say the first thing is certainly, we're going to close out '26, ultimately see where the performance lands and understand the latest trends. Having said that, I do think '26 is going to be an incredible year of record performance. So we're starting from a really strong position as we think about growth into 2027. As we look at '27, I would say -- we're certainly going to maintain momentum across the businesses, and that's from a really high watermark in terms of results. I think Lifestyle will continue to lead growth for the enterprise. We're going to expand services. We're going to continue to optimize performance, great opportunities to continue to drive underlying organic growth. And I expect that growth to be both in Connected Living and Automotive.

And then in Housing, I would say we're focused on sustaining the really high level of earnings we've achieved. And then a lot of focus, as Keith Meier mentioned, on continuing to convert our new business pipeline, which we're excited about. So those are probably a few messages I'd leave you with '27.

Jian Huang

Okay. I really appreciate that. We're all about breadcrumbs here. So in terms of Connect -- actually, maybe if we think about one piece of that, right? So can you -- on the corporate side and the other cost side, can you maybe help us think about, okay, if this is the case, then the full year corporate and other expense is now expected to be about $150 million. But if we were to think about going forward, is that $150 million, give or take, for full year the right run rate way of thinking about corporate and other costs going forward as well? Or are there any other strategic investments or payoffs that we should be incorporating as we think about just the overall corporate expense?

Keith Meier

Yes. I think as we look forward, this is the year that we really leaned in on the investments for home warranty in corporate. And that basically is playing out about what we expected. And I think as we go into next year, we'll see how that continues. But overall, I wouldn't say that we expect any big increases or anything like that in our corporate. So I think you could see that as pretty stable at this stage. And we'll provide more specifics on that certainly on our call in February as well.

Operator

[Operator Instructions]

Our next question comes from Tommy McJoynt with KBW.

Thomas Mcjoynt-Griffith

When we look at the Connected Living segment through the first 9 months of the year, the growth has been really strong in adjusted EBITDA growing 22% or 23%. Would you be able to roughly quantify the growth split between what we think of as the core device protection in-force growth versus the more volume-driven devices protected that's come from your reverse logistics new partners?

Keith Demmings

Yes, it's a great question. There's probably a couple of things to think about when you look at '26. The first thing I'd just say is we did call out a couple of one-timers earlier in the year, just to level set because obviously, 23% growth is incredible. When you look at that, we had a $3 million benefit in the first quarter in Connected Living from a real estate joint venture gain. We had $10 million in the second quarter. We called those out. So that's one thing I would say. The other thing is we've seen growth across all of the businesses. So our financial services business, our service contract business as well as mobile. And then when you look at mobile, a really strong balance between growing device protection, profitability in subs, but also growing around the supply chain and related services.

So a nice blend across both in terms of the growth within mobile, which is exactly what we want to see.

Keith Meier

Yes. And the only thing I would add is just always keep in mind that our device protection is the bigger driver of our economics and the supply chain side is a key capability that enables us to drive that growth in our mobile business as well.

Thomas Mcjoynt-Griffith

Okay. Got it. And when we see the metric that you report for devices serviced up about 40% year-to-date through the first 9 months. Is that margin accretive or margin dilutive? What's the margin profile like on the more supply chain reverse logistics side versus your core protection program.

Keith Meier

Yes. Like I say, the protection program is the one that drives our economics, but certainly, on a stand-alone basis, we're certainly very pleased with the supply chain side of the business as well. And then when you combine them, I think that's when the combination of those 2 -- of our protection program services and our supply chain services, I think that's where we get the best economics when you combine those 2.

Keith Demmings

But to be clear, it's accretive to performance.

Operator

Our next question comes from Mark Hughes with Truist Securities.

Mark Hughes

Just following up on that point, the T-Mobile, the co-located facility, the device service accelerated really strong in the third quarter. Is that still ramping? What's the kind of the cycle? When do you lap some of that, run into tougher comps? What's the -- as we think about the next few quarters with that T-Mobile, what's the growth profile look like?

Keith Demmings

Yes. I think in terms of volume, most of the integration and volume was sort of at a reasonable run rate in the second quarter. It's probably a good way to think about it. So there's a few quarters where we're lapping times where that wasn't the case. I would say there's still opportunity to continue to optimize to add additional services. But we're pretty scaled in what we're doing with T-Mobile. We're certainly excited about the overall performance and the strength of the relationship.

And like Keith said, I mean, us providing services across the spectrum is really important to helping partners drive value, optimize devices, put devices back into their ecosystem, and that's more important today than it's ever been. I'm so glad we invested so aggressively in this space the last few years because it's a more important factor for us going forward than it's been in the past.

Mark Hughes

On the Global Auto benefit costs, loss costs, repair costs, are you at an equilibrium at this point? Have you made the progress you're going to make and it should be more stable? Or is there still some more margin to be extracted there?

Keith Meier

Yes. So I think we had that inflection point in 2025 last year, and we've continued to see that play out this year. In the quarter, we have seen improved loss performance, both on our vehicle service contract and our GAAP side. And then as we look forward, there is still runway to continue to improve and grow into 2027 and beyond. So I think we're still working through that journey, but really pleased with how that's coming along.

Operator

Our last question comes from Charlie Lederer with BMO.

Charles Lederer

Just wanted to touch on the iPhone Duo and maybe some nuances with that rollout. Does that affect any of -- from a seasonality perspective, can you just talk about how things might be a little bit different, if at all, with that product? And then also from a loss cost product, there's been some commentary online that we've seen just on the dynamics being a little bit different. Wondering if that impacts the economic arrangements you have with your partners or how to think about that?

Keith Meier

Yes, sure. So the first part was on the seasonality. Right now, Charlie, the Duo is pretty immaterial to our volumes. So I wouldn't say there's going to be much impact in terms of seasonality there. I think it's going to have to grow a lot more to -- for us to see any of that. In terms of loss costs, we do have a lot of experience on foldables from the other manufacturers that have had them out for the last few years. And we don't expect the iPhone to be any different, and that is that it will certainly have more claims frequencies. So there'll be more failures typically with these foldables.

And then in terms of how it impacts us, not very much. In fact, I would say it's probably a net positive for us because people -- people are going to be wanting to have coverage on their higher-end phones like the Duo. And then also, a lot of our arrangements with our clients is risk sharing. And so an example would be we would have reinsurance with our clients. And so it really doesn't affect the losses for us. But I think overall, it's a positive because I think people are going to want to protect those devices even more in the future. So that's why I say, overall, I'd say it's a net positive, Charlie.

Keith Demmings

All right. Well, I think that was the last question. So thanks again for joining us. As we've said, super encouraged by our year-to-date performance. Pleased to raise the guide for the full year and look forward to updating everybody in February, and we'll get into more details on the '27 outlook. So thanks a lot. Have a great day.

Operator

Thank you. This does conclude today's teleconference. Please disconnect your lines at this time, and have a wonderful day.

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