アーバー・リアルティ・トラスト（ABR）2026年第3四半期決算説明会：流動性確保のため配当を停止

アーバー・リアルティ・トラスト（NYSE: ABR）は、金利上昇に伴い返済遅延が増加し、資産処理が遅れ、エージェンシー融資の実行活動が減少したため、2026年第3四半期決算の減益を発表しました。取締役会は、今後の債務償還に備えて流動性を確保するため、四半期普通株配当を停止しました。

主要なポイント

• 2026年第3四半期の分配可能利益は1,480万ドル（1株当たり0.08ドル）で、これには2,170万ドルの延滞債権および所有不動産（REO）資産の処分による実現損失は含まれていません。
• アーバーは四半期普通株配当を停止し、推計で四半期あたり3,100万ドル、年間で1億2,500万ドルを確保しました。
• 同社は約4億ドルの現金を保有しており、今後4〜5ヶ月でさらに3億ドルの流動性を生み出す見込みです。経営陣は2027年第1四半期末までに約7億ドルの現金確保を目指しています。
• 返済遅延の総額は約7億5,000万ドル、REO資産は約5億ドルとなり、不良資産は合計約12億5,000万ドルに達し、前四半期比で約2億ドルの増加となりました。
• アーバーは3,400万ドルのREO減損、2,700万ドルの個別引当金、および追加で2,700万ドルの一般CECL引当金を当四半期に計上しました。
• 経営陣は、既存ローンの処理と無収益資産の削減を進める中、業績は今後2四半期で底を打ち、その後回復に向かうと予想しています。

主要財務データ

延滞の増加により、四半期受取利息は約1,000万ドル減少しました。これには未収利息の戻入400万ドルおよび受取利息の減少600万ドルが含まれます。なお、以前の延滞債権約2億5,000万ドルの解消により、この影響は約200万ドル部分的に相殺されました。

アーバーはまた、約700万ドルの追加支払利息を発生させ、これは転換社債の発行および貸借対照表上のレバレッジ拡大を反映したものです。

事業および業績

レガシー・ポートフォリオおよび資産の処理

アーバーのレガシー・ポートフォリオは、45億ドルに減少しました（9月30日時点）。同社が過去3四半期で11億ドルのローンを処理した結果です。残りのポートフォリオのうち、12億ドルは当初の契約条件に従って正常に履行されていますが、13億ドルは延滞中またはREOとして保有されています。

経営陣は、約四半期あたり4億〜5億ドルのローンを処理する方針です。同社は、残りのレガシー・ポートフォリオがさらに削減されるまで、延滞総額は比較的安定して推移すると見込んでいます。

経営陣は、処理の遅れと担保価値の低下の要因として5年物および10年物国債利回りの急上昇を挙げました。集合住宅の価値については、5%〜15%下落したと試算しています。ポートフォリオ全体で低下が見られ、需要の弱い市場における一部のクラスA物件では、より大きな下落の可能性があります。

エージェンシーローン業務およびサービシング

エージェンシー事業の新規融資実行額は第3四半期に9億ドルに達し、これに7,500万ドルのCMBS仲介取引が加わり、四半期合計取扱高は9億7,500万ドルとなりました。年初来の累計取扱高は約28億ドルに達しました。

エージェンシーローンの売却マージンは1.12%へと、第2四半期の1.33%から低下しました。これは主に、Arborがより高品質な資産やトップクラスのスポンサーを伴う大型取引を優先したことによるものです。

同社は、8億ドルのコミット済みローンに対し1,100万ドルの住宅ローン・サービシング権収入を計上しました。手数料ベースのサービシング・ポートフォリオは368億ドルに達し、推定残存年数は5.6年となっています。経営陣は、同ポートフォリオにより年間約1億2,800万ドルの総サービシング収入が見込まれると述べています。

バランスシート融資およびキャピタル・マーケット

2026年最初の9か月間におけるバランスシート融資の実行額は合計6億ドルとなりました。Arborは引き続き非常に厳格な選別姿勢を維持し、主に既存の証券化ビークルのランオフ（回収資金）を補充する融資を実行する計画です。

当四半期中、Arborはベンチマーク比170ベーシスポイント、レバレッジ88%、再投資期間2.5年でプライシングされた8億2,500万ドルのCLOを完了しました。この取引により、約5,000万ドルの追加流動性が創出されました。

同社は30億ドルを超える新規CLOを発行し、リコース債への依存度を低減させました。

単世帯住宅賃貸向け融資

単世帯住宅賃貸向け融資の実行額は第3四半期に2億5,000万ドル、年初来累計で約7億ドルとなりました。建設ローン、ブリッジローン、長期ローンの機会に加え、効率的な資金調達手段へのアクセスがあることから、経営陣は今後も本事業を魅力的なビジネスと位置付けています。

経営陣の業績見通し

• Arborは、ローンの返済、ローン売却、REO（所有不動産）の処分、資金調達の効率化、証券化ビークル、および普通株配当の停止を通じて、4〜5か月間で約3億ドルの追加流動性を創出すると見込んでいます。
• 経営陣は2027年第1四半期末までに約7億ドルの現金の確保を目標としています。3月に満期を迎える2億7,500万ドルの無担保債務を返済した後、Arborは約4億2,500万ドルの流動性を維持する見込みです。
• 同社は、さらに1億5,000万〜2億ドルの資金を創出する3月の返済と10月に満期を迎える追加の2億5,000万ドルの期間において道筋を見出している。
• 経営陣は、3億5,000万〜4億5,000万ドルを元利金返済要件を除いた現在の環境における適切な営業キャッシュ範囲と考えている。
• アーバーは、今後2四半期で収益が底を打ち、延滞資産の処理に伴い順次改善すると見込んでいる。
• 経営陣は、不良資産の処理に関連する実現損失が今後4〜6四半期にわたり続くと予想している。引当金および減損損失は、今後数四半期にわたり第3四半期と同水準にとどまる可能性がある。
• 同社は、2026年通期の総融資組成額として35億〜40億ドルを目標としている（金利や完了スケジュールによる）。戸建て賃貸の組成額は約10億ドルに達する見込みである。
• 経営陣は、レガシーポートフォリオを2026年年末までに約27億ドル、そして2027年年末までに約10億ドルへと削減することを目指している。

リスクと注視すべきポイント

主なリスクは高金利環境の継続である。経営陣によると、直近の金利上昇により集合住宅の価値が低下し、取引活動が抑制され、延滞が増加するとともに、再生・回収までの期間が延長したという。

また、アーバーはジャクソンビル、オーランド、サンアントニオ、ヒューストン、アトランタにおける入居率の圧迫要因として、一部の市場で経営陣がICE（移民・税関捜査局）関連の影響と表現する要素などを挙げた。同社は、レガシー資産および引当金への長期的な影響を評価している。

その他のリスクとして、さらなるREOの減損、CECL引当金の高止まり、継続的な実現損失、エージェンシー融資組成額の減少、ならびにREO資産の維持や売却準備に必要な資金が挙げられる。アーバーは第3四半期中にREOの資本的支出に約800万〜900万ドルを費やした。

アナリスト質疑応答の要点

• REO売却：REO処分による3,500万ドルの流動性向上計画は、11月または12月に完了予定の1物件に関連している。経営陣は、約2億〜2億2,500万ドルの新たなREO流入と同規模の処分を見込んでおり、年末のREO残高は概ね横ばいで推移すると予想している。
• 金利感応度：経営陣によると、米10年債利回りが5%を下回れば取引の勢いが改善する可能性があるものの、金利が安定した範囲内にとどまるという投資家の安心感も重要であるという。
• 3月以降の流動性：アーバーは、3月の満期のみならず、約12ヶ月の実行期間を前提に計画を立てている。これは強制的な売却ではなく、秩序ある資産売却を可能にすることを目的としている。
• 代替資本の選択肢：経営陣は、プライベートキャピタル、資産売却、その他の資金調達手段の検討を継続していると述べた。GSEエージェンシー事業の持分売却は検討していないが、状況が悪化した場合、価値ある資産が選択肢となり得ることを認めた。
• 優先株配当：取締役会は直近の会議で優先株配当の変更について議論しなかった。経営陣は、これが今後の四半期で評価され得る潜在的な流動性調整ツールとして残っていると述べた。
• 新規融資組成：アーバーは、バランスシート融資を主にCLOの減少分を補充する厳選された資産に限定する計画である。経営陣は、収益性プロファイルと利用可能な融資構造を背景に、戸建て賃貸プラットフォームが引き続き活発であると述べた。

決算説明会文字起こし全文

決算説明会の完全なトランスクリプト

経営陣による説明

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the Third Quarter 2026 Arbor Realty Trust Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. [Operator Instructions]

I would now like to turn the call over to your speaker today, Mr. Paul Elenio, Chief Financial Officer. Please go ahead, sir.

Paul Elenio

Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the quarterly earnings call for Arbor Realty Trust. This morning, we'll discuss the results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. With me on the call today is Ivan Kaufman, our President and Chief Executive Officer.

Before we begin, I need to inform you that statements made in this earnings call may be deemed forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, including information about possible or assumed future results of our business, financial condition, liquidity, results of operations, plans and objectives. These statements are based on our beliefs, assumptions and expectations of our future performance, taking into account the information currently available to us. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from Arbor's expectations in these forward-looking statements are detailed in our SEC reports.

Listeners are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of today, Arbor undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after today or the occurrences of unanticipated events.

I'll now turn the call over to Arbor's President and CEO, Ivan Kaufman.

Ivan Kaufman

Thank you, Paul, and thanks to everyone for joining on today's call. On our last earnings call, we discussed the effect of the increase in interest rates is having on the timing and resolution of our nonperforming and self-performing loan book. Since that time, we've seen a tremendous increase in interest rates with the 5- and 10-year treasury indexes up another 75 to 85 basis points and 140 to 150 basis points in the last 9 months. This is a very material development, which has resulted in further reduction in values across the multifamily sector of between 5% to 15% and a significantly cocktail transaction volumes from the increased cost of debt and equity. This will result in a temporary increase in our delinquencies and a slightly longer time frame through resolving certain legacy assets as well as an increase in our loan loss reserves due to a change in values.

We have also seen a significant negative impact on some of our legacy assets from ice rates in certain areas of the country, including Jacksonville, Orlando, San Antonio, Houston and Atlanta. These rates have significantly reduced occupancy on some of our assets in these areas, which has contributed to an increase in our delinquencies. This was completely out of our control and not something we could have anticipated. We will continue to evaluate the long-term impact that this may have on our legacy assets and adjust our strategy and reserves accordingly.

As a result, one of our main objectives is to preserve capital to have the appropriate level of liquidity to pay off our upcoming debt maturities and operate our platform to resolve our legacy issues and preserve our book value. We are currently sitting on approximately $400 million of cash and believe we can organically create another $300 million of liquidity over the next 4 to 5 months through loan payoffs, loan sales, [Indiscernible] dispositions, increased efficiencies in our financing facilities and securitization vehicles and by reducing our dividend.

With that in mind, our Board has decided to spend the quarterly common dividend effective immediately, which will preserve $31 million a quarter or $125 million in annual cash flow. We anticipate that this will put our cash position at around $700 million by the end of the first quarter, which will allow us to repay the $275 million of unsecured debt that is maturing in March and still maintain $425 million of liquidity to work through this cycle and resolve our legacy loan book.

We will also continue to look for other areas to bolster our liquidity position further. As a largest shareholder with the highest inside ownership of any REIT, we are completely aligned with our shareholders and believe this strategy to be the most appropriate at this point in the cycle. Despite this extremely challenging environment, we continue to make progress in resolving our loan book and are working very aggressively to liquidate this collateral as quickly as possible. As a result of the material change in interest rates, delinquencies have increased and the [Indiscernible] dispositions have slowed, which is pushing out the timing and on resolutions another quarter or 2.

We are still dealing with the same universe of legacy loans that we have ring-fenced and remain confident in our ability to continue to make progress and reduces exposure significantly over the next 4 to 6 quarters. We ended the third quarter with approximately $750 million of delinquencies and around $500 million of [Indiscernible] assets for total nonperforming assets of roughly $1.25 billion, which is up around $200 million from last quarter's numbers as a result of the significant increase in rates, which again has accelerated delinquencies and delay the timing of the resolution of certain assets.

As we have discussed in detail on our last few calls, we continue to focus heavily on our legacy portfolio which is down to $4.5 billion at September 30 from successfully resolving $1.1 billion of these loans in the last 3 quarters. $1.2 billion of this of this book continues to perform in accordance with their original terms and $1.3 billion is either delinquent or an [Indiscernible] that we expect to be able to resolve over the next several quarters. We have a $2 billion of this book, we have been aggressively working through with the goal of restructuring and resolving approximately $400 million to $500 million of loans a quarter. This will reduce our legacy book, including our delinquent scenario assets down to around $2.7 billion by year-end at around $1 billion by the end of 2027.

As these legacy assets work through the system, we expect our total delinquencies to stay relatively flat until the remaining legacy book is reduced further, and then we should see a meaningful move down in total delinquencies as we continue on our pace of resolving approximately $400 million to $500 million a quarter. This will go a long way towards significantly reducing the drag on earnings and increase our run rate of income in the future. We also continue to have a tremendous success in capital markets issuing notes loan in the third quarter with exceptional terms. The new CLO was an $825 million vehicle with pricing of 170 over and 88% leverage with a 2.5-year replenishment period. This has allowed us to continue to drive higher returns on our capital and generate an additional $50 million of liquidity to enhance leverage.

We have now issued over $3 billion in new CLOs, which has reduced the position of our recourse debt outstanding and to driving higher returns on our capital. This success, combined with the unwind of approximately $8 billion of legacy CLOs and $1.3 billion of new unsecured debt issuance means we have successfully completed in excess of billion of capital market transactions over the last 36 months.

As Paul will discuss in more detail, we have produced distributable earnings of $0.08 a share in the third quarter. Clearly, our earnings are being greatly affected by the significant recent rise in rates, which has increased our delinquencies, extended at the timing of resolving our noninterest-earning assets and temporarily affected our agency volumes. We expect this trend to likely continue for a little longer, which could continue to affect our earnings in the short term. Our goals are always long term in nature with our sight set on capital preservation and working through our legacy book as quickly as possible which will reduce the earnings break and allow us to start to build back up our run rate of interest income and drive higher earnings in the future.

This, again, we estimate will take us 4 to 6 quarters from now to accomplish and we have taken a very methodical approach for resolving these loans each quarter and bringing down the remaining legacy book to a more normalized level relative to our total loan book. Turning now to our production numbers for the third quarter. In our agency business, we originated $900 million in volume. In addition to $75 million in CMBS brokerage transactions for third quarter volume of $975 million. This brings our year-to-date volume to around $2.8 billion.

Clearly, the elevated rate environment is greatly affecting our origination executions. We originated $450 million in August and had good momentum with a large pipeline until a significant rate spike, which curtail originations and pushed out our pipeline. We originated less than $200 million in September and around $300 million in October. As a result, we are targeting between $3.5 billion and $4 billion of total volume this year, which could obviously move up or down depending on rates and timing of closes, which is hard to predict in this environment.

In our balance sheet lending business, we originated $600 million of volume through the first 9 months of this year. We have been relatively inactive in screening new business given the current landscape, except for very selectively originating yields that fit into our current securitization vehicles to replenish runoff and reduce any inefficiencies. We expect this to be our ongoing strategy over the next few quarters. as again, we focused our attention on continuing to bolster our liquidity position to work through this cycle.

The one area we've remained active is in our single-family rental business. We believe this is a great business that offers us returns on our capital through construction. -- bridge and permanent lending opportunities and generate strong levered returns on our capital through very efficient financing vehicles. We had a solid third quarter, originating $250 million of new deals for total volume year-to-date of approximately $700 million. We continue to have an active pipeline and believe we will close out the year with approximately $1 billion of volume which is a strong year, especially considering the current interest rate environment and the fact that we had a very light first quarter from all the noise surrounding the housing bill that we resolved in the second quarter.

In summary, we continue to make significant progress in the capital markets and working through our legacy book despite the extremely challenging environment. We are optimistic that we can continue to reduce this book significantly over the next 4 to 6 quarters and then start to build back our earnings rate as we resolve our delinquency scenario assets. And again, our primary focus is to preserve and create the appropriate level of liquidity to repay our short-term debt maturities and execute our business plan. This will afford us the necessary time needed to work through the teeth of this downturn and realize the true value of our franchise for our shareholders.

I will now turn the call over to Paul to take you through the financial results.

Paul Elenio

Okay. Thank you, Ivan. In the third quarter, we produced distributable earnings of $14.8 million or $0.08 a share, excluding realized losses of $21.7 million from a resolution of certain delinquent and REO assets that we had previously reserved for. These realized losses were in the range that we guided to last quarter of $20 million to $30 million, and it's something we expect to continue for the next 4 to 6 quarters as we work through resolving our nonperforming loan book.

As Ivan touched on earlier, our third quarter numbers were significantly impacted by the rise in interest rates. This rate move was a very material change with accelerated delinquencies and slowed down the pace of resolutions during the quarter. We also experienced a decline in our agency business origination volumes as a result of the drastic rate move, which affected our gain on sale numbers as well this quarter. We had approximately $450 million of new delinquencies which resulted in around a $4 million of back accrued interest being reversed and a reduction of around $6 million in interest income for a $10 million impact to interest income this quarter from these assets.

This was slightly offset by around a $2 million increase in interest income from the resolution of roughly $250 million of prior delinquencies during the quarter. We also incurred approximately $7 million of additional interest expense from issuing our convertible debt offering and leveraging our balance sheet to create the appropriate level of liquidity to operate through this current environment. And given the drastic recent change in the interest rate environment, we anticipate our earnings to likely bottom out over the next 2 quarters and then start to build back up each quarter on a consistent basis as we continue to make more progress in resolving our delinquencies and working through our legacy book.

In the third quarter, we recorded an additional $34 million of impairment on our REO book to properly mark these assets to where we think we can effectually to sell in the current environment, which has clearly been affected by the recent rate hike. We also booked another $27 million of specific reserves in our balance sheet loan book. the total REO impairment and specific reserves of $61 million in the third quarter, which is up approximately $25 million from the second quarter. General CECL was also elevated this quarter from a change in the outlook for real estate values resulted in an additional $27 million in reserves in our balance sheet loan book, which is an increase of $11 million from the second quarter.

And given the current environment, we expect that we could experience similar levels of reserves and impairments over the next few quarters, which is up from our last quarter's guidance due to the significant change in interest rates that have occurred.

As Ivan mentioned, as we work through our remaining legacy book, we expect it will funnel through our delinquencies and REO assets, which will likely keep our total noninterest earning assets at a similar level until we reduce the remaining legacy book down to a relatively small number. Once this occurs, we will start to see our total delinquencies decline, which will greatly reduce the drag these assets are having on our core earnings. Our book value per share came in at $10.92 at September 30 as a result of the increased reserves and impairments we booked in the third quarter due to the change in values we are seeing from a rising rates.

And even if we continue to book similar levels of reserves over the next 4 to 6 quarters, we still have substantial embedded equity value above where the stock is trading in addition to the significant value of our origination platforms and our franchise. In our GSE agency business, we originated $900 million of volume and had $1 billion in loan sales in the third quarter. The margins on these loans came in at 1.12% this quarter compared to 1.33% last quarter, mainly due to our continued commitment to originate larger transactions on higher-quality assets to top-tier sponsors, which contain lower margins.

We also recorded $11 million of mortgage servicing rights income related to $800 million of committed loans in the third quarter, representing an average MSR rate of around 1.35% and compared to 1.1% last quarter due to a shift in product mix. Our fee-based servicing portfolio was $36.8 billion at September 30, with a weighted average servicing fee of 34.7 basis points at an estimated remaining life of 5.6 years and will continue to generate a predictable annuity of income going forward of around $128 million gross annually.

In our balance sheet lending operation, our investment portfolio was $12 billion at September 30, with an all-in yield in this portfolio of 6.97% compared to 6.95% at June 30. This was mainly due to an increase in sulfur for the quarter, which was offset by the effect of increased delinquencies in the third quarter. The average balance in our core investments was $12.1 billion for both the second and third quarters. The average yield on these assets decreased to 6.84% from 7.21% last quarter, mainly due to the impact from our third quarter defaults, which was slightly offset by a nominal increase in SOFR on our performing loan book.

Total debt on our core assets was approximately $10.8 billion at September 30 compared to $10.5 billion at June 30. This increase was mainly due to the issuance of our convertible debt offering in July, as well as from additional leverage on existing collateral and from our new CLO execution. The all-in cost of debt was approximately 6.69% at 9/30 and versus 6.38% at 6/30, mainly due to an increase in SOFR. The average balance in our debt facilities was approximately $10.7 billion for the third quarter compared to $10.5 billion in the second quarter again, mainly due to the convertible debt issuance and enhanced leverage on our loan book. The average cost of funds in our debt facilities was 6.49% in the third quarter compared to 6.4% for the second quarter, excluding interest expense from leveraging our REO assets the debt balance of which is separately stated on our balance sheet and therefore, not included in our total debt on core assets.

This increase is mostly due to an increase in SOFR and additional leverage on certain assets during the quarter. That completes our prepared remarks for this morning, and I'll now turn it back to the operator to take any questions you may have at this time. Operator?

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We'll go first this morning to Chris Muller with Citizens Capital Markets.

質疑応答

Christopher Muller

I guess looking at Slide 13 in the deck on the liquidity bridge, repaying the March maturity. The $35 million of REO disposition stands out a little bit given $500 million or so of REO. So I guess the question is, is that $35 million on that slide, just kind of a plug for the remaining shortfall there? And is there additional REO that you guys could sell if you guys needed the capital?

Paul Elenio

Sure, Chris, it's Paul. Thanks for the question. So it's related to one specific asset. There will be other REO dispositions during the fourth quarter. But this one is in our sights and likely to be disposed of. We have a contract signed, had money up -- they were waiting for approval from the city on a permit. They've gotten that approval. So it should close, we hope, in November or December, and where our leverage point is on our asset in our bank lines, we'd be taking up $35 million of recovered equity that we have tied up with that asset, specifically related to one asset.

The bigger question you asked, I think the way you look at the math is we're sitting with around $500 million of REOs on our books as of 9/30. We are expecting to take some more back obviously as our delinquencies work through the system. I think actually, in October, we took a loan back already at $70 million. I think I'm targeting to take back about $200 million to $225 million of new REOs that are built in our delinquencies today and probably dispose of including that asset another 2 to 2.25. So I think where we're at and maybe we can do better than this. We think our REOs will probably remain flat by year-end in total, new REOs coming in, older ones being disposed of. And yes, we'll pick up some equity on the other ones we'll dispose of. We lose a little equity on the new ones that are coming on. But that $35 million is specifically related to one asset that we have in our sites to close over the next 30 days.

Christopher Muller

Got it. That makes a lot of sense. And that's a good dovetail and then my follow-up here. I guess just given the focus on liquidity, should we expect foreclosure activity to slow? And it sounds like based on what you just said, maybe not a ton. Maybe we'll see kind of turnaround on the other side of flipping the REO accelerate. Just curious how that all plays into the liquidity focus here.

Ivan Kaufman

So it's Ian speaking. So there's no question about the fact that with that jump in interest rates a little last 60 days. A lot of the REOs that we were in contract under terms or not come under terms when employs market got adjusted, and it's for process in my estimation between 30 and 90 days. which is causing us to reevaluate what we're doing. What we're seeing it start to reach another level and get back on track. So you'll see levels come in a little bit lower. As I indicated in my comments, you'll see a type of drop in potential valuation because that's where the market dropped, but the rise in interest rates.

But I think people are now settling in where we are. So we think we'll get back on track. We think guidance will be affected a little bit, but we're still very ambitious to stick to that plan and resolving these all those over the next 4 to 6 quarters.

Christopher Muller

Got it. And if I could just squeeze one last quick one in, 10 years down back below 5% now. I'm looking at 493 on my screen right now. I guess kind of what level on the 10-year do you guys think would kind of unlock activity and accelerate things versus slowing things down when we were at 5.4 type percent rates?

Paul Elenio

So let me do it in reverse when we spoke a few quarters ago, the tenure was around 4% in the 5 years, around 350. Those are very, very attractive levels, that's when we geared our plan to when the 10-year jumped to 450 very quickly, it definitely had an impact, so things down going from 4.5 to 5.30 was [Indiscernible], but I call material adverse change, clearly go to 5. 30 now below 5%, you'll start to see momentum come back, and as moment comes back, if people feel we're not at risk, I think you'll see a lot of people step back and be a little bit more aggressive.

So I think it happens in increments, and I think it also happens whether people feel that things are going to pop that up or not. So it has to do with investor sentiment, whether they feel this is the appropriate rate range. that we're going to be in. But if there's concerns or rate is going to jump up a little bit. I think you'll see a little bit of a slowdown.

Operator

We'll go next now to Rick Shane with JPMorgan.

Richard Shane

This morning. One of your relative peer companies reported earlier this week, and they talked about pricing in multifamily down 5% to 10% based on elevated cap rates, but they also indicated that, that was sort of Class A and their perception was that Class B C was down more sharply. I am curious what your thoughts on that are as we think about resolutions of these -- of the portfolio as well.

Paul Elenio

First, I'll say I disagree with their [Indiscernible] but Class A maybe down 5% to 10% in good markets, but in weaker markets, I think it's down substantially more. And that's something that we have been very concerned about in terms of originations.

Class A, you're seeing in markets like FedEx or is like Dallas and Austin, Charlotte, in other markets, you're looking at 3 to 4 of concessions. And I would say values are down more than price and on Class A, I would say, could be 15% to 25%. So having a discrete that proposition.

With respect to loans, be it less P&C, we're seeing certain markets firm, but the big issues that I said on my comments were dealing with the impact of the ice rates and a change in occupancy overnight and also a change with the population that's going out that is going in. So I can't answer that yet in some of those markets where [Indiscernible] to be a very negative factor in those markets. But I will tell you that there are certain markets that we're starting to see for our model. And in my comments, I said 5% to 15% in range in terms of how we think this affected our portfolio. Some are a little deeper, we saw a little bit less, but that's definitely been a change that we've seen with the recent change in rates.

Richard Shane

Got it. Okay. And then, look, you guys cite about $400 million in available liquidity post sort of net of the maturity in March. I believe you have another $250 million in maturities in the second half of the year. And I realize that some of the sources of liquidity that are available to you before March in terms of repayments will be there the benefit of the impact, I should say, is calling the dividend as well. But I am curious, as you look forward, what is the sort of working cash that you need? And then what is the ability to sort of continue to move forward to that second half maturity as well.

Paul Elenio

Sure. So Rick, it's Paul. Let me answer a little bit [Indiscernible] chime in. I think a couple of things you mentioned are exactly right, suspending the dividend not only pass up $62 million, $31 million a quarter in total March distribute the March payoff, but when you go to October, we picked up another [Indiscernible]. So that's 62% right there that we're picking up between March and October. To address what you were talking about prior to the $250 million maturity.

In addition, we have on the dock at certain loans that we think will repay in certain loans, we think will sell some of those loans have forward funding commitments associated with them, and we think we could pick up some capital there by now and having to continue to fund forward commitments on those laws. And then lastly, as Ivan said, we continue to look to other sources to pick up liquidity, obviously, continuing to look at what assets we can dispose of, what assets we can push for and look at our leverage and see where our capital is tied up in those loans, which could accelerate. I think we see a path that if it's early, but we see a path that after the March payoff, that we can generate $150 million to $200 million of additional capital before October. And to your last point is what is the optimum cash level we'd like to operate. I think we would probably say it's between 350 and 450 we'd like to have right, to be able to operate through this environment, absent those debt and serve.

Ivan Kaufman

That's correct. I think that we have also the comment that any originations that we do will be the service to replenishment in our CLOs. And I think you'll see the non-CLO side of our book, come down and maintain the CLO side of the book at a very maximum level and that should also generate a considerable amount of cash equity as well.

Operator

We'll go next now to Jade Rahmani with KBW.

Jade Rahmani

I wanted to ask about the single-family rental strategy. That business did show a notable increase in special mention loans, what drove that? And what do you expect to happen to those loans?

Paul Elenio

I think we saw a little bit of a jump as maybe you put out in your morning note today, Jade, in substandard and doubtful and that was obviously driven by the elevated delinquencies we had this quarter. Now special mention is a bucket that we look at like we've always said, when we originate loans from the get-go, how they can be passed [Indiscernible] special mention just because of the nature of the transitional nature of those loans and avoidance, but special mention is probably up a little bit because of the values are down.

We're looking at where these loans are maturing. But we don't look at special mention. It's a category that is fully concerning. We look at obviously substandard doubtful as a category that is a prelude to filing to sees foreclosure and potential deterioration.

Jade Rahmani

Okay. Yes, because it did increase quite a bit and comp my attention, although I realize special mention is less worrisome than substandard and doubtful. During the financial crisis, companies like Arbor and other commercial mortgage REITs issued warrants in connection with standstill agreements with retail lenders to buy themselves flexibility to work through issues, and even in recent periods, others have issued -- raised capital from private credit as well as to optimize asset workouts deal confidently with upcoming maturities and also have more capital available to repurchase some of their own debt securities and even stock. So what are your thoughts around that, if the company would look to doing such actions.

Paul Elenio

So we'll evaluate all options [Indiscernible]. It's certainly everything you mentioned is something that we're consistently discussing. I think there are a lot of arbitrage opportunities in the market. and we have taken advantage of them in the past. I did it in the GFC, and we did it very well. So we have a lot of tools that we can utilize and a lot has to do with which direction rates go in and whether the market recover or the market is under distress. But we are constantly evaluating that internally and with our bankers.

Jade Rahmani

Okay. And on a related note, the interest in the GSE agency business, you saw a few -- you noted the strong cash flows, it was generating as well as the very high MSR gain in the quarter, 135 basis points. So that business generates resilient cash flows and has about a 5-, 6-year remaining duration. Would you consider selling an interest in that business to free up capital?

Ivan Kaufman

We haven't considered selling interest, but we definitely have a very, very valuable franchise. We produce a lot of cash flow. It's really been [Indiscernible] of our business. And we're very pleased with it. Is that part of the potential capital solution 1 day down the road, if things got worse, there's always options when you have good assets.

Jade Rahmani

Great. And then lastly, on the REO balance. So just round numbers, close to $500 million. How much CapEx do you expect to spend on those assets in order to get them positioned to be able to monetize?

Paul Elenio

It's different for each asset. Obviously, we have a group of assets that we're pretty far along with agreements to be signed and moving off our balance sheet. We have others that are in the pre-marketing stage of marketing those assets for sale. And there have others that we're looking to hold a little bit longer until we can season them more. I think during the quarter, we maybe put $8 million, $9 million of CapEx in some of those assets. I think that number probably comes down on the older assets as we move them off and maybe some newer assets come on.

It's a hard thing to answer, but it will just be based on where we think the exit value is whether it's long term or short term. And I don't think it's a big number over a yearly basis, but we just have to see how quickly we can disclose some and then which ones we want to hold on to for values outside of where this stressed market is.

Operator

Next now to Gabe Poggi with Raymond James.

Unknown Analyst

Kind of piggybacks on what Jay was just asking. Obviously, the world's changed a whole heck of a lot in the last 60 days and the world could change a whole heck of a lot in either direction in the next 60 or 90 days. But if we stay around this today, kind of benchmark rate environment in and around 5%, high 4s, et cetera. How are you guys thinking about liquidity, obviously, you've put a road map out for March, but beyond March for later liquidity needs and really kind of what is the clearing price for existing REO NPLs today? If you just have to go put those in the market, take what you can get so that you can maximize liquidity. Any color there would be helpful.

Ivan Kaufman

I think we're just not looking towards March, that's short term in nature, and we believe that we have a strategies in place to get through March, and that's kind of what we've guided to. We're really looking for a 12-month execution, which gives us time to do an orderly disposition of our REOs without having to fly or scale in and try and get a maximum return.

And it also gives us the opportunity to ourselves and models and we prove some equity and do it on an orderly basis. We can do that as well. So 12 months is a way to do it in a very quarterly way. If rates come down, you got wind at your back, it gets done a little easier if rates go up more meaningfully than what we've seen over the last 60 days, and it becomes much tougher. But the guidance we're giving you is what we think we can accomplish quarterly between now and March, and then between March and our next short-term piece of [Indiscernible] working on it.

Unknown Analyst

I've got one more quick follow-up. Can you guys provide an average occupancy number for REO, what you're holding on real with the occupancies of those assets?

Paul Elenio

We do actually -- it's in our filings, and I don't have an upfront on the [Indiscernible].

Unknown Analyst

I just didn't see it yet. I'll try to [Indiscernible].

Ivan Kaufman

[Indiscernible] list out the occupancy. Some of those assets may be making, right? Obviously taking them offline, but we give you what's vein, give you what the occupancy is.

Operator

We'll go next now to Chris Love with Piper Sandler.

Crispin Love

Looking at your origination activity in the structured business in the quarter, you did nearly $370 million in the FFR business. Just given the liquidity constraints today, why does it make sense to do origination at that type of level rather than kind of cutting that down and preserving liquidity further?

Paul Elenio

I think I'll let [Indiscernible] answer the question on the business strategy, but I think is what I'll point out is of that $360 million, $194 million or almost $200 million was fundings of prior committed loans. So you've originated those loans. There's a construction element to it as you fund up, and that's what those were. The rest were new originations, which was really that $250 million number we gave you, but I think Ivan could do a better job of talking about our strategy on that platform.

Ivan Kaufman

First of all, it's the most attractive part of our business and we have a CLO that we have in existence, and we do that to anticipate what the payoff is on those loans versus what we originate to file. So we'll always be the pipeline business that we have to fill that COO. And those, we think, are most high-quality loans. We can also stick some of those loans to our existing CLOs as well. So it's an attractive part of the asset class on like. The construction gets funded up over time. It turns into the bridge loan, and we put in our CLOs and very quickly, we get those at take out as they've stabilized. But we'll be very selective in terms of what we're putting on our balance sheet using our cash versus, as I said earlier in my comments, first using something that we could just fill any pay also anticipate anticipated payoffs in our sales.

Crispin Love

That makes sense. I appreciate the color there. And then I definitely understand the suspension of the common event reserve and build liquidity for the upcoming debt maturities. But do you aboard have any update or plan for the preferred dividend and could actions be necessary there over time?

Ivan Kaufman

Yes. We evaluate everything relative to liquidity. It's not something we discussed at this Board meeting. But clearly, that's always a tool that's out there that we'll have the opportunity to evaluate as we go deeper into the next couple of quarters.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, it appears we have no further questions today. Mr. Kaufman, I'd like to turn things back to you, sir, for any closing comments.

Ivan Kaufman

I appreciate everybody's time. I know these are difficult times with a significant material adverse change in the market. The company has adopted its operating policies and the way it's going to be business to adjust to [Indiscernible]. Thank you for your participation. Have a great day.

Operator

Thank you very much, sir. Again, ladies and gentlemen, this will conclude today's conference call. We'd like to thank you all so much for joining us and wish you all a great day. Goodbye.