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【US Pre-Market】Microsoft, Meta Earnings in Focus as Fed Decision Looms; Oil Surges Nearly 5%

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AuthorAlan Long
Jul 29, 2026 12:00 PM

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On Wednesday Eastern Time, U.S. stock index futures remain mixed as investors weigh geopolitical tensions against key corporate earnings. Escalating conflict in the Middle East has driven oil prices over 3% higher, prompting a cautious market stance ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision. While rates are expected to remain steady, focus is on potential hawkish signals regarding inflation. Corporate results remain a primary catalyst: Seagate, Ford, and Teradyne surpassed earnings expectations, bolstered by resilient AI-related demand. Investors are now awaiting after-hours reports from Microsoft and Meta to gauge the sustainability of recent AI-driven market growth.

AI-generated summary

TradingKey - On Wednesday Eastern Time, U.S. stock index futures were mixed in pre-market trading. Market focus is centered on the Federal Reserve's July interest rate decision as well as after-hours earnings from Microsoft and Meta; meanwhile, escalating tensions in the Middle East have pushed up oil prices, and U.S. Treasury yields ticked up, keeping risk appetite cautious.

As of press time, Dow futures fell 0.32%, S&P 500 futures rose 0.2%, and Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.22%.

index-b78c2cfaaeda472aabfe914c4c2ceef5

Performance of the three major U.S. stock index futures, Source: Investing

In commodities, gold ( XAUUSD) weakened slightly to around $4,030, while international oil prices rebounded sharply, with WTI ( USOIL) crude rising nearly 5% to return to around $83; Brent crude rose over 3%, climbing above $85. The U.S. and Saudi Arabia launched joint strikes against pro-Iranian militants in Iraq, after Iranian missiles targeting U.S. forces in Jordan were intercepted, leading the market to price back in the risks of supply disruptions in the Middle East.

Market Movers

Seagate Technology ( STX) rose nearly 6% premarket. The company's adjusted earnings per share for the fourth fiscal quarter were $5.71, beating the market estimate of $5.10; revenue was $3.6 billion, also exceeding the market expectation of $3.5 billion. Seagate expects its next fiscal quarter revenue to reach $4.1 billion, stronger than market expectations, with AI data center storage demand serving as the primary driver of growth. Western Digital ( WDC) rose over 3% premarket.

Ford Motor ( F) rose nearly 5% premarket. The company's second-quarter adjusted earnings per share were $0.42, beating the market estimate of $0.36; second-quarter revenue was $48.3 billion. Although the company recorded a GAAP net loss, primarily dragged down by EV-related expenses, Ford raised its full-year 2026 adjusted EBIT guidance to $10 billion to $11 billion, up from the previous forecast of $8.5 billion to $10.5 billion.

Teradyne ( TER) rose over 7% premarket. The company's second-quarter revenue rose to $1.33 billion, exceeding the market expectation of $1.22 billion; adjusted earnings per share were $2.47, higher than the market consensus of $2.09. The company expects third-quarter revenue to be $1.2 billion to $1.3 billion, with adjusted earnings per share of $1.85 to $2.15, both indicating that demand for AI-related semiconductor test equipment remains resilient.

Semiconductor stocks showed mixed performance premarket. Nvidia ( NVDA) was flat, AMD ( AMD) rose slightly, Intel ( INTC) rose over 1%; however, Skyworks ( SWKS) fell nearly 10% premarket, and Applied Materials ( AMAT) fell over 3%. The market continues to digest Chinese semiconductor competition, AI funding models, and valuation pressure on memory chips.

Market News

The Federal Reserve is set to announce its July interest rate decision. While the market widely expects the target range for the federal funds rate to remain unchanged at 3.50% to 3.75%, CME FedWatch shows there is still a nearly 30% probability betting on a 25-basis-point rate hike at this meeting. Investors are focused on whether Chair Kevin Warsh will signal a more hawkish stance in response to rebounding oil prices, the AI investment boom, and inflation risks.

Middle East tensions flared up again, driving oil prices sharply higher. The U.S. and Saudi Arabia conducted joint strikes against pro-Iranian militants in Iraq, following an intercepted ballistic missile attack by Iran on U.S. troops stationed in Jordan. Meanwhile, Iran rejected a proposal by Oman to control the Strait of Hormuz, reigniting market concerns over shipping and energy supply risks.

The U.S. government will provide GlobalFoundries ( GFS) with $300 million in funding. The funds will support research and development in silicon photonics and co-packaged optics to enhance chip-to-chip data transfer speeds and energy efficiency in AI data centers. GlobalFoundries stated that the related R&D will be conducted at its facilities in Malta, New York, and Burlington, Vermont.

Microsoft ( MSFT) and Meta ( META) are scheduled to report earnings after the close. Wall Street is highly focused on the growth rate of Microsoft's Azure cloud business, AI capital expenditure plans, and whether Meta's advertising business can continue to demonstrate commercial returns on its AI investments.

Key Data and Events Preview

At 10:30 AM ET on July 29, the US will release the EIA crude oil inventories, with market expectations of a 700,000-barrel increase, compared to a previous increase of 2.01 million barrels.

At 2:00 PM ET on July 29, the Federal Reserve will announce its July interest rate decision and the FOMC statement.

At 2:30 PM ET on July 29, Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh will hold a press conference.

This content was translated using AI and reviewed for clarity. It is for informational purposes only.

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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely represents the author's personal opinions and does not reflect the official stance of Tradingkey. It should not be considered as investment advice. The article is intended for reference purposes only, and readers should not base any investment decisions solely on its content. Tradingkey bears no responsibility for any trading outcomes resulting from reliance on this article. Furthermore, Tradingkey cannot guarantee the accuracy of the article's content. Before making any investment decisions, it is advisable to consult an independent financial advisor to fully understand the associated risks.

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