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Amazon vs. Microsoft: Which Stock Is a Better Buy for 2026 and Beyond?

TradingKey
AuthorAndy Chen
May 1, 2026 2:00 PM

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Both Amazon and Microsoft are dominant players in the AI and cloud infrastructure boom. Amazon's Q3 2025 saw 13% total sales growth to $180.2 billion, with AWS revenue up 20%. Advertising revenue also grew 24%. Microsoft reported an 18% revenue increase to $77.7 billion, with total cloud revenues up 26%, and Azure growth at 40%. While both are strong, Amazon's slightly lower forward P/E ratio of 28 offers a marginal valuation advantage. However, potential AI-related write-downs due to economic slowdown pose a risk for both tech giants.

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TradingKey - With global enterprises reconstructing their technology stack around cloud computing and generative AI, Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) and Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) have emerged as the two dominant cloud giants investing heavily in AI infrastructure to capitalize on the opportunities created in the AI boom. While both are strong long-term ideas, in-depth analysis of their business results and growth drivers, plus valuation reveals which stock holds a minimal advantage for investors in 2026 and beyond.

Amazon’s Growth Engines Beyond E-Commerce

More than just selling things online like other companies, Amazon has many businesses and positions it has taken outside of traditional eCommerce that are now becoming important for their bottom line as well. In Q3 2025, the company's total sales were $180.2 billion which was up 13% from Q3 last year; operating profit was $17.4b, and of that total, $11.4b came from AWS alone. In terms of revenue, AWS's revenue growth continues to accelerate as it increased by 20% over the previous year in Q3 to $33.0 billion (compared with only 17.5% from Q2). 

Amazon’s ad division has gained considerable momentum recently as well, with Q3 advertising revenues growing 24% year-on-year and providing yet another strong source of profits as Amazon has been able to generate a significant amount of growth from its ad business over the previous year. In terms of cash flow from operations, Amazon’s most recent 12 months of operating cash flow has increased to $130.7 billion; however, free cash flow over the same period has declined from $47.7 billion to $14.8 billion. Amazon has experienced above-average growth this year due to the heavy investments that it has made in building its artificial intelligence infrastructure. 

Microsoft’s AI-Powered Cloud and Overall Business Momentum

Microsoft is ahead of Amazon regarding overall growth from their company operations based on how much software and cloud they have sold to clients. For the most recent quarter, Microsoft reported an 18 percent rise in revenue ($77.7 billion) compared to the same quarter last year and a 24 percent increase in operating income ($38.0 billion) compared to last year during the same period. The largest amount of growth for Microsoft still remains from their cloud business, with total cloud revenues increasing by 26 percent from the prior year to $49.1 billion for all cloud services including Microsoft 365, Commercial Cloud Services, Azure, Dynamics 365, and LinkedIn.

The core cloud platform for Microsoft is the Azure platform which showed 40 percent year-over-year growth for Q1 FY2026 and that is due to customers' growing use of artificial intelligence applications and other products that rely on using the Microsoft Azure cloud. There are many products that use ai and need to increase their use of AI; therefore, the company has committed to significantly increasing the capital amount used to invest in developing AI as well as people to be able to use AI within every aspect of its business, supported by CEO Satya Nadella who sees the potential long-term benefits of building a global ecosystem for cloud and artificial intelligence within his company.  

Valuation and Risk: The Decisive Factor for Investors

In terms of investment risk, both companies have the advantage of having investment capital available from their diversified business model(s) and the strength of their respective balance sheets that enhances their ability to grow and invest in AI. In addition, AWS's position as the leader in the global cloud infrastructure market lowers Amazon's overall risk of making a series of aggressive investments into AI on behalf of its shareholders.

The other major differentiator between these two companies in their comparison is the valuation of their shares. Currently, Amazon trades at a price-to-earnings ratio (forward P/E) of about 28 (slightly below Microsoft) based on the future earnings needed to cover the company's share price. Therefore, Amazon's share price has a slightly better valuation than Microsoft because the company's P/E (forward P/E) is lower than that of Microsoft.

Investors will face a through-the-cycle consideration in determining the proper risk-to-reward of investing in these two companies, given that both companies have already made a significant investment into building a large AI infrastructure. Consequently, the uncertainty of whether AI will generate expected future cash flows means that an economic slowdown could result in a major write-down of the companies' respective share prices at some future point.

The technology sector is very dynamic; therefore, investors may want to gradually establish positions in both companies due to the volatility associated with both companies' premium valuations due to their growth potential. 

To sum up, Amazon and Microsoft are both great companies that will be the main players in the future of the AI and Cloud markets for years to come. Because of the higher appeal of their valuation and the leading position of AWS, investors looking to take advantage of the trends in AI and Cloud by 2026 may find Amazon to be the better stock option. 

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely represents the author's personal opinions and does not reflect the official stance of Tradingkey. It should not be considered as investment advice. The article is intended for reference purposes only, and readers should not base any investment decisions solely on its content. Tradingkey bears no responsibility for any trading outcomes resulting from reliance on this article. Furthermore, Tradingkey cannot guarantee the accuracy of the article's content. Before making any investment decisions, it is advisable to consult an independent financial advisor to fully understand the associated risks.

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