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South African rand flat as markets monitor Middle East conflict, await US rate decision

ReutersMar 17, 2026 2:39 PM

- The South African rand was flat on Tuesday as market participants monitored the intensifying conflict in the Middle East and awaited the U.S. Federal Reserve's upcoming policy decision.

  • At 1420 GMT the rand traded at 16.66 against the dollar ZAR=D3, little moved from its previous close.

  • Israel's Defence Minister Israel Katz said on Tuesday the Israeli military had killed Iran's security chief, while Tehran kept up attacks against Gulf neighbours.

  • International oil prices rose more than 2% for the day.

  • Analysts expect continued pressure on the rand after it shed over 2% last week, extending losses of almost 4% the week before, amid concerns that rising oil prices will lift inflation in net energy‑importer South Africa.

  • The dollar =USD was down 0.2% against a basket of currencies as investors looked to the Federal Reserve's two-day policy meeting that begins later on Tuesday.

  • The Fed is widely expected to hold rates for a second straight meeting when it announces its policy decision on Wednesday.

  • Like other risk-sensitive currencies, the rand often takes cues from global drivers like U.S. policy, in addition to domestic economic data.

  • Domestically-focussed investors will also be on the lookout for February inflation data ZACPIY=ECI and January retail sales numbers ZARET=ECI on Wednesday.

  • On the Johannesburg Stock Exchange, the Top-40 index .JTOPI was last up 0.6%.

  • South Africa's benchmark 2035 government bond ZAR2035= was also stronger, with the yield falling 11.5 basis points to 8.815%.

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