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TD Cowen sees upside for US refiners post Ukraine's attacks on Russian refineries

ReutersSep 19, 2025 12:36 PM

TD Cowen says U.S. refiners have regained footing after a tepid start to Q3, with Ukraine's recent attacks on Russian refineries supporting the margin environment, and setting up a bullish 6 to 12 months for the group

"The attacks could bridge an otherwise weaker period, support refining equities" - brokerage

TD Cowen says for Q3 earnings, it sees most upside for Marathon Petroleum MPC.N and Par Pacific Holdings PARR.N

It sees in line upside for Valero Energy VLO.N and HF Sinclair DINO.N, less upside for Phillips 66 PSX.N and Delek US Holdings DK.N, and downside for PBF Energy PBF.N

Brokerage changes price target on the following companies:

Company

New PT

Old PT

% Upside/Downside to stock's last close

HF Sinclair DINO.N

$50

$46

~6% downside

Marathon Petroleum MPC.N

$195

$182

5.4% upside

Par Pacific Holdings PARR.N

$39

$33

9.5% upside

PBF Energy PBF.N

$22

$19

28.2% downside

Phillips 66 PSX.N

$133

$134

1.3% upside

Valero Energy VLO.N

$162

$140

1.1% downside

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