By Chibuike Oguh and Amanda Cooper
NEW YORK/LONDON, Sept 15 (Reuters) - Global shares hit a fresh record high on Monday as markets positioned for the U.S. Federal Reserve to begin its monetary policy easing cycle this week. Gold prices were also hovering near a record as the U.S. dollar weakened.
Traders widely expect the Fed to deliver a 25 basis-point cut at the end of its policy meeting on Wednesday, with the probability of such a move near 100%, according to CME's FedWatch tool.
MSCI's All-country index .MIWD00000PUS rose to 976.86, up 0.47%, topping last week's record high. On Wall Street, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit fresh intraday record highs while the Dow was flat.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI rose 0.01% to 45,839.54, the S&P 500 .SPX rose 0.47% to 6,615.31 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC rose 0.82% to 22,323.25.
Stocks in Europe .STOXX rose 0.40% on the day. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares .MIAPJ0000PUS closed higher by 0.10%.
"Today it looks like we're still in a wait-and-see mode for the Fed meeting and announcement," said Wasif Latif, chief investment officer at Sarmaya Partners in New Jersey. "We've had a big run up in the market that continues to see new highs in anticipation of the Fed and today seems to be moving in the same direction."
Key too will be Fed members' "dot plot" projections for rates and guidance from Fed Chair Jerome Powell on the extent and pace of any further easing. The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes US10YT=RR fell 2.4 basis points to 4.036%.
Futures already have 125 basis points of cuts priced in by late 2026, so anything less than dovish will likely disappoint investors.
"What's interesting is that we've already seen prices move significantly in anticipation of the cut, so the question is will the rate announcement itself turn into a sell-on-the-news today or not," Latif added.
U.S. President Donald Trump continued his attacks on the central bank on Sunday, saying Powell was incompetent and hurting the housing market.
The Bank of Canada is also expected to cut rates by a quarter point this week, while the Bank of Japan and the Bank of England are both seen holding rates steady.
In currencies, the U.S. dollar dropped against its peers ahead of the Fed's expected rate cut. It was down 0.23% to 147.315 against the Japanese yen JPY=EBS and was down 0.27% to 0.79420 against the Swiss franc CHF=EBS.
The euro shrugged off Fitch's downgrade of France late last week, rising 0.27% to $1.1767. It was a touch weaker against sterling, trading at 86.5 pence, down 0.1% on the day EURGBP=D3.
The euro has been underpinned by a steady outlook for EU rates, with the European Central Bank signaling last week it was in a "good place" on policy. A host of ECB officials are due to speak this week, including President Christine Lagarde.
The United States and China reached a framework agreement to switch short-video app TikTok to U.S.-controlled ownership, an arrangement that will be confirmed in a call between Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping on Friday, U.S. officials said.
Nvidia's NVDA.O shares were down 0.47% after China's market regulator said on Monday that a preliminary investigation had found that the company had violated the country's anti-monopoly law, marking the latest hit for the U.S. chip giant.
Oil prices rose as investors assessed the impact of Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian refineries.
Brent crude futures LCOc1 rose 0.61%, to $67.39 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude CLc1 was at $63.23 a barrel, up 0.85%.
Gold prices rose to hover near record highs, underpinned by a softer dollar and lower Treasury yields. Spot gold XAU= rose 0.66% to $3,666.52 an ounce.