tradingkey.logo

EMERGING MARKETS-Latam FX, stocks dip as markets weigh Trump's tariffs; Brazil's real recovers

ReutersJul 10, 2025 3:09 PM
  • Brazil's real rebounds day after Trump slaps tariffs
  • Peru's interest rate decision awaited
  • Brazil's annual inflation ticks up in June
  • MSCI Latam FX down 1%, stocks slip 1.7%

By Ragini Mathur and Purvi Agarwal

- Most Latin American currencies and stocks slipped on Thursday, but the Brazilian real bounced back as markets assessed the impact of U.S. President Donald Trump's latest tariff salvo.

Late on Wednesday, Trump targeted Latin America's biggest economy with threats of 50% tariffs on exports to the U.S. while simultaneously issuing tariff notices to seven smaller trading partners.

Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva vowed retaliation against unilateral tariff hikes, and called a meeting with ministers on the day.

The Brazilian real volatility gauges BRLSWO=FN surged to their highest levels since late April on Wednesday, and the real BRL= had fallen as much as 2.3%.

It rebounded on the day, up 0.6%, the most among peers.

"The market has to wait and see, because we have had such speculative behavior before... it is like making strategies in order to start negotiating and focus on the higher interests that the United States has," said Julian Pineda, market analyst at StoneX.

"They are targeting some key political interests rather than economic interests so this may cause a temporary weakening (in the real)."

The Brazilian real has been among the best performing Latam currencies this year as high interest rates in the economy make it a valuable carry trade currency.

Data also showed that Brazil's annual inflation rate ticked up and remained well above the official goal, casting doubts over the end of the monetary policy tightening cycle in the country.

The Colombian peso COP= was down 0.4%, tracking prices of oil.

Mexico's peso MXN= fell 0.3%, the most among peers ahead of the central bank's release of its June meeting minutes.

Chile's peso CLP= was down 0.2%. A central bank poll of analysts showed that it is expected to cut its benchmark rate by 25 basis points at its July 28 meeting.

Chile came under the spotlight after Trump slapped 50% tariffs on copper imports to the U.S. earlier this week, and set a hard deadline of August 1.

Peru's sol PEN= fell 0.1% in low volumes ahead of a local monetary policy decision.

MSCI's Latin American currency index .MILA00000CUS declined 1%, set for its steepest one-day fall in more than a month, pressured by a high U.S. dollar =USD.

The region's stocks gauge .MILA00000PUS was down 1.7%, set to extend declines to a fourth straight session. Heavyweight Brazilian stocks .BVSP down 0.8%, and Mexican stocks .MXX slipping 0.4%.

Argentina's Merval index .MERV slumped 2.8% as investors returned from a market holiday.

Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies around 1440 GMT:

Latin American market prices from Reuters

Equities

Latest

Daily % change

MSCI Emerging Markets .MSCIEF

1230.31

0.2

MSCI LatAm .MILA00000PUS

2285.16

-1.69

Brazil Bovespa .BVSP

136428.94

-0.77

Mexico IPC .MXX

56466.86

-0.39

Chile IPSA .SPIPSA

8341.83

0.15

Argentina Merval .MERV

2069659.2

-2.82

Colombia COLCAP .COLCAP

1680.34

0.31

Currencies

Latest

Daily % change

Brazil real BRL=

5.5435

0.58

Mexico peso MXN=

18.6872

-0.32

Chile peso CLP=

950.69

-0.14

Colombia peso COP=

4033.08

-0.39

Peru sol PEN=

3.554

-0.14

Argentina peso (interbank) ARS=RASL

1253

0.16

Argentina peso (parallel) ARSB=

1260

1.59

Disclaimer: The information provided on this website is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice.

Related Articles

KeyAI