
Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of markets brought to you by Reuters reporters. You can share your thoughts with us at markets.research@thomsonreuters.com
IS NOW FINALLY THE TIME FOR TELECOMS?
Telecoms have been historical laggards and every now and then, hopes of a comeback resurface.
Only in April, the sector was at record lows relative to the broader European market .STOXX. But this time around Swiss bank UBS is sensing a potential narrative shift.
"The sector is evolving into a total return trade, where yield is complemented by valuation catalysts and structural improvements in industry fundamentals," say UBS analysts.
For too long, the sector has been stereotyped as a high-yield and low-growth industry, plagued by capital intensity, pricing pressure and regulatory constraints.
In more detail, UBS's argument is based on four points.
Yield trade: "With ECB rate cuts ongoing, telecoms' stable, high dividends are becoming increasingly attractive versus bonds"
CapEx rolling over: "The long, expensive 5G and fibre buildout cycles are peaking"
M&A: "European regulators have pivoted from aggressive price controls to encouraging consolidation.. deals like Vodafone-Three mark a turning point in market structure"
Valuation: "European telecoms trade at a discount to US and Asian peers, but multiples haven't fully re-rated despite spread tightening"
So far this year, European telecoms .SXKP have risen by 8.1% while the STOXX 600 .STOXX is up 9%.
(Danilo Masoni)
EARLIER ON LIVE MARKETS:
NEW RECORD HIGHS, WITH A BIT OF RED CLICK HERE
BEFORE THE BELL: EUROPE NEAR PEAKS, DEFENCE IN DEMAND CLICK HERE
ARMS STOCKS SOAR AHEAD OF UKRAINE PEACE TALKS CLICK HERE