Warren Buffett made some big moves last year. The portfolio of his holding company, Berkshire Hathaway, saw some massive shifts in position sizes, including some huge selling of its biggest position. Moving into the new year, two Berkshire positions in particular look compelling right now.
Fintech stocks are growth machines, at least in theory. A company that offers financial services directly through a smartphone can, theoretically, scale much faster and more economically than a competitor relying on physical branches.
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The issue, however, is that asset-light businesses are often easy to start up. We've seen that in the U.S., where fintech businesses abound. Watch television or listen to the radio, and seemingly within minutes, you'll hear multiple ads for digital banks vying for your patronage. So while the category in general is growing and can be quite profitable, rampant competition has suppressed growth rates for individual companies and stymied their ability to scale profitability.
The exception to the rule has been Nu Holdings (NYSE: NU). While Berkshire Hathaway did trim its position last year, it still retains a $1.2 billion position in what I believe to be the best fintech stock on the market today.
Nu's secret isn't necessarily in its business model, but in its geographies of focus. The company is focused on just three markets: Mexico, Brazil, and Colombia. In the long term, it intends on expanding into much of Latin America, targeting the region's 650 million residents. The financial services industry of these markets varies greatly from more mature markets like the U.S. In less than 10 years, for instance, Nu has been able to go from nearly zero customers to commanding a 56% market share among Brazilian adults. Imagine more than half of Americans using a single bank. That's how much market power Nu commands.
Compared to a U.S. competitor like SoFi Technologies, Nu has been able to maintain higher growth rates with superior profitability. Its growth journey has slowed due to market penetration, but shares now trade at just 33 times trailing earnings and 20 times forward earnings. That's a steal for a business expected to grow revenue by double digits for many years to come.
NU Revenue (TTM) data by YCharts. PE = price-to-earnings.
Warren Buffett cut his teeth as a value investor. Over the years, he has strayed further into other categories like growth investing. But when it comes to Berkshire's $2.4 billion stake in Sirius XM Holdings (NASDAQ: SIRI), this looks like a pure value play.
Sirius has dealt with stagnating revenues for many years now. It's generating the same revenue today that it did in 2022. But for the most part, the company has been profitable, with ample amounts of free cash flow over that time period. It has used the excess cash to aggressively buy back stock and support a growing dividend. After a 50% decline in share price over the last 12 months, that dividend now yields nearly 5%. On a forward earnings basis, the stock now trades at just 6.8 times next year's expected profits.
There's no doubt that Sirius XM shares are cheap. The high dividend yield, ample cash generation, and minuscule forward valuation should perk up the ears of nearly every value investor. Some stocks, however, are cheap for a reason. Streaming services continue to provide heavy competition to Sirius XM's satellite radio offerings. Management recently lowered its guidance for the coming years, predicting additional subscriber losses and lower-than-expected revenues. Free cash flow fell to $93 million last quarter from $291 million the same quarter a year ago, with full-year free cash flow guidance falling to just $1 billion.
Sirius XM's market cap is now just $7.4 billion, providing an exceptional free cash flow yield. While the business is struggling to grow, its strong financial situation -- even though slightly weakened -- should give it the firepower to either reinvent itself or sustain itself until subscriber growth reemerges. There's risk here, especially if guidance moves lower again this year. But the price seems right for risk-tolerant value investors like Buffett.
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Ryan Vanzo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Berkshire Hathaway. The Motley Fool recommends Nu Holdings. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.