
Overview
Tobacco company's Q4 revenue slightly missed analyst expectations
Adjusted EPS for Q4 met analyst expectations
Company's smoke-free business net revenue grew 12% in Q4
Outlook
Philip Morris forecasts 2026 reported diluted EPS of $7.87 to $8.02
Company expects 2026 adjusted diluted EPS growth of 11.1% to 13.1%
Philip Morris targets 6% to 8% organic net revenue growth for 2026-2028
Result Drivers
SMOKE-FREE BUSINESS - Full-year shipment volumes up 12.8%, net revenues growing by 15.0%, contributing 41.5% of total net revenues
IQOS MARKET SHARE - IQOS holds 76% volume share in heat-not-burn category, with notable growth in Japan and Europe
NICOTINE POUCHES - U.S. nicotine pouches grew nearly 37%, leading the category with ZYN holding around two-thirds value share
Key Details
Metric | Beat/Miss | Actual | Consensus Estimate |
Q4 Revenue | Slight Miss* | $10.36 bln | $10.44 bln (12 Analysts) |
Q4 Adjusted EPS | Meet | $1.70 | $1.70 (13 Analysts) |
Q4 Dividend |
| $1.47 |
|
*Applies to a deviation of less than 1%; not applicable for per-share numbers.
Analyst Coverage
The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 12 "strong buy" or "buy", 7 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"
The average consensus recommendation for the tobacco peer group is "buy"
Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Philip Morris International Inc is $180.00, about 1.1% below its February 5 closing price of $182.00
The stock recently traded at 22 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 18 three months ago
Press Release: ID:nBw7kq7Xca
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