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Merck Q4 revenue misses estimates on lower Gardasil demand

ReutersFeb 3, 2026 11:39 AM


Overview

  • Pharmaceutical firm's Q4 revenue grew 5% but missed analyst expectations

  • Adjusted EPS for Q4 beat analyst expectations

  • Company highlighted progress in pipeline and acquisitions


Outlook

  • Merck anticipates 2026 sales between $65.5 bln and $67.0 bln

  • Company expects 2026 non-GAAP EPS between $5.00 and $5.15

  • Merck anticipates a one-time charge of $3.65 per share for Cidara acquisition


Result Drivers

  • ONCOLOGY SALES - Growth in oncology, especially KEYTRUDA, driven by uptake in early-stage and metastatic cancer indications

  • NEW PRODUCT LAUNCHES - Significant contributions from WINREVAIR and CAPVAXIVE due to strong uptake

  • GARDASIL DECLINE - Sales decline due to lower demand in China and Japan


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q4 Revenue

Miss

$8.37 bln

$16.19 bln (17 Analysts)

Q4 Adjusted EPS

Beat

$2.04

$2.009 (17 Analysts)

Q4 EPS

$1.19

Q4 Net Income

$2.96 bln


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 18 "strong buy" or "buy", 12 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the pharmaceuticals peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Merck & Co Inc is $119.50, about 5.4% above its February 2 closing price of $113.37

  • The stock recently traded at 21 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 9 three months ago

Press Release: ID:nBwHwfXsa

For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.

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