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Canada's Imperial Q4 revenue misses on weather impact at Kearl operations

ReutersJan 30, 2026 1:05 PM


Overview

  • Canada oil producer's Q4 revenue missed analyst expectations

  • Adjusted EPS for Q4 beat analyst expectations

  • Company returned C$2,072 mln to shareholders via dividends and share repurchases


Outlook

  • Imperial plans to cease production at Norman Wells by Q3 2026

  • Company aims to grow volumes and lower unit cash costs

  • Imperial expects Leming SAGD project to reach peak production of 9,000 barrels per day


Result Drivers

  • UPSTREAM PRODUCTION - Wet weather at Kearl reduced production volumes, impacting quarterly upstream output

  • DOWNSTREAM MAINTENANCE - Planned maintenance in eastern manufacturing hub reduced refinery throughput

  • LOWER REALIZATIONS - Decreased crude oil prices led to lower upstream realizations, affecting net income


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q4 Revenue

Miss

C$11.28 bln

C$12.29 bln (3 Analysts)

Q4 Adjusted EPS

Beat

C$1.97

C$1.91 (7 Analysts)

Q4 EPS

C$1

Q4 Net Income

C$492 mln


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "hold" and the breakdown of recommendations is 1 "strong buy" or "buy", 8 "hold" and 8 "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the oil & gas refining and marketing peer group is "buy."

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Imperial Oil Ltd is C$112.50, about 21.1% below its January 29 closing price of C$142.64

  • The stock recently traded at 22 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 17 three months ago

Press Release: ID:nBw3wf46Fa

For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.

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