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PennyMac Financial Services misses Q4 revenue estimates

ReutersJan 29, 2026 9:25 PM


Overview

  • U.S. mortgage lender's Q4 revenue missed analyst expectations

  • Adjusted pretax profit for Q4 missed analyst estimates

  • Company's loan production and servicing portfolio grew significantly year-over-year


Outlook

  • PennyMac expects PMT to acquire 15-25% of conventional conforming correspondent production in Q1 2026

  • Company remains focused on strategies to drive sustained long-term value for stockholders

  • PennyMac sees its balanced business model as a foundation for continued growth in 2026


Result Drivers

  • PRODUCTION VOLUMES - Higher volumes in consumer direct lending channel drove production segment pretax income increase

  • PREPAYMENT ACTIVITY - Increased prepayment activity due to lower mortgage rates impacted servicing segment's cash flows

  • MSR PORTFOLIO SALE - Sale of MSR portfolio affected servicing segment revenue


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q4 Revenue

Miss

$538 mln

$642.53 mln (7 Analysts)

Q4 Net Income

$106.80 mln

Q4 Adjusted Pretax Profit

Miss

$47.80 mln

$236.63 mln (7 Analysts)

Q4 Dividend

$0.30

Q4 Pretax Profit

$134.40 mln


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 6 "strong buy" or "buy", 3 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the banks peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for PennyMac Financial Services Inc is $154.00, about 4.8% above its January 28 closing price of $146.98

  • The stock recently traded at 10 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 9 three months ago

Press Release: ID:nBw7yyfhKa

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