Olin Q4 Adjusted EBITDA misses estimates

Overview

• Chemical and ammunition maker's Q4 revenue beat analyst expectations

• Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 missed analyst expectations

• Company reported Q4 net loss of $85.7 mln due to market headwinds and disruptions

Outlook

• Olin expects Q1 2026 adjusted EBITDA to be lower than Q4 2025

• Winchester segment Q1 2026 results expected to modestly increase from Q4 2025

• Epoxy business anticipated to return to profitability in 2026

Result Drivers

• MARKET HEADWINDS - Olin faced continued market headwinds, including customer destocking and operational challenges, impacting its Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls segment

• EPOXY SALES INCREASE - Higher volumes and a favorable product mix led to increased sales in the Epoxy segment

• RAW MATERIAL COSTS - Rising raw material costs impacted Winchester's earnings

Key Details

Analyst Coverage

• The current average analyst rating on the shares is "hold" and the breakdown of recommendations is 3 "strong buy" or "buy", 13 "hold" and 1 "sell" or "strong sell"

• The average consensus recommendation for the commodity chemicals peer group is "buy."

• Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Olin Corp is $23.00, about 1.1% above its January 28 closing price of $22.74

• The stock recently traded at 55 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 26 three months ago

Press Release: ID:nPn2Zprqwa

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