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Brazil's Lula leads right-wing rivals ahead of 2026 election, poll shows

ReutersJan 14, 2026 1:36 PM

- Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva is leading Senator Flavio Bolsonaro and Sao Paulo Governor Tarcisio de Freitas in voting intentions for this year's election, a Quaest poll commissioned by brokerage Genial showed on Wednesday.

  • In a first round scenario, Lula would have 36% of the vote, against Flavio Bolsonaro's 23% and Freitas's 9%.

  • Lula would beat Flavio Bolsonaro 45%-38% in a run-off, compared with 46%-36% in a December poll.

  • The president would defeat Freitas 44%-39% in a potential second round, compared with 45%-35% in the previous poll.

  • Quaest surveyed 2,004 people between January 8-11. The poll has a margin of error of 2 percentage points in either direction.

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