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First Watch Q2 revenue rises 19.1%, beats expectations

ReutersAug 5, 2025 11:27 AM


Overview

  • First Watch Q2 revenue rises 19.1% to $307.9 mln, beating expectations

  • Adjusted EBITDA decreases to $30.4 mln but beats analyst estimates

  • Company opens 17 new restaurants, raises 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance


Outlook

  • Company raises 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance to $119 mln-$123 mln

  • First Watch expects 2025 revenue growth of ~20%

  • Company plans 59-64 new restaurants in 2025, net of closures

  • First Watch sees positive low-single digit same-restaurant sales growth


Result Drivers

  • RESTAURANT OPENINGS - 17 new system-wide restaurants opened in 8 states contributed to revenue growth

  • SAME-RESTAURANT SALES - Positive same-restaurant sales growth of 3.5% helped drive overall revenue increase

  • TRAFFIC GROWTH - Same-restaurant traffic growth of 2.0% supported revenue performance


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q2 Revenue

Beat

$307.89 mln

$306.60 mln (10 Analysts)

Q2 EPS

$0.03

Q2 Net Income

$2.11 mln

Q2 Adjusted EBITDA

Beat

$30.38 mln

$30.30 mln (10 Analysts)

Q2 Adjusted EBITDA Margin

9.9%

Q2 EBITDA

$25.72 mln

Q2 Income from Operations

$7.31 mln


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 10 "strong buy" or "buy", 1 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the restaurants & bars peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for First Watch Restaurant Group Inc is $22.00, about 21.6% above its August 4 closing price of $17.24

  • The stock recently traded at 67 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 46 three months ago

Press Release: ID:nGNX6Hgh66

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