CSU forecasts an "above average" Atlantic hurricane season
By Isha Marathe
April 3 - (The Insurer) - Colorado State University has forecast 17 named storms, nine hurricanes, and four major hurricanes for the 2025 season, which starts on June 1 and continues through November 30.
A typical hurricane season, based on data from 1991 to 2020, has 14 named storms.
“The tropical Atlantic is warmer than normal, although thankfully not as warm as last year at this time,” said Phil Klotzbach, CSU senior research scientist and a non-resident scholar at the Insurance Information Institute.
“At this point, we anticipate either neutral El Niño - Southern Oscillation (ENSO) or perhaps weak La Niña this summer and fall. The combination of a warm Atlantic and either neutral ENSO or weak La Niña typically yields an above-average Atlantic hurricane season.”
The year's first forecast from CSU's Department of Atmospheric Science said the probability of U.S. and Caribbean major hurricane landfall is estimated to be above its long-period average, with Atlantic basin Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) and Net Tropical Cyclone (NTC) activity in 2025 to be approximately 125 percent of their long-term averages.
The 2024 season produced 18 named storms and 11 hurricanes, with five reaching major hurricane intensity, including Hurricanes Debby, Helene, Perry, Milton, Beryl, and Francine - the first three making landfall in Florida.
Tropical Storm Risk anticipates issuing its forecast update for the 2025 North Atlantic hurricane season on Monday, 7th April 2025.
On Wednesday, Florida-based nonprofit the Climate Adaptation Center released an early forecast of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, predicting 10 hurricanes and five major hurricanes. CAC also predicted 17 named storms and 10 hurricanes for the 2025 season, compared to the 18 named storms and 11 hurricanes that occurred last year.
"We are predicting another active year, with only a slight decrease in the number of named storms and hurricanes compared to 2024 - and the same number of major hurricanes," CAC said.
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