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Analysts trim Mexico growth forecast for 2026

ReutersDec 15, 2025 3:29 PM

- Private sector analysts polled by Mexico's central bank lowered their forecast for economic growth next year to 1.15%, down from their previous estimate of 1.37%.

Analysts also expect Mexico's peso currency to close the year at 18.50 pesos per dollar, stronger than their previous estimate of 18.70.

November

December

Inflation, end year pct

2025

3.74

3.75

2026

3.90

3.88

2027

3.70

3.70

Core inflation, end year

2025

4.25

4.24

2026

3.90

3.90

2027

3.65

3.75

Economic growth, annual pct

2025

0.40

0.39

2026

1.37

1.15

2027

1.80

1.85

Peso-dollar rate, end yr

2025

18.70

18.50

2026

19.26

19.23

2027

19.67

19.45

Interbank lending rate

2025

7.00

7.00

2026

6.50

6.50

2027

6.50

6.50

The survey of 41 analysts was taken between December 3-8. The values shown are medians.

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