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CEE MARKETS-Zloty eases as investors position ahead of long weekend

ReutersAug 14, 2025 11:01 AM

- The Polish zloty eased on Thursday as investors positioned before the long weekend in Poland ahead of key U.S. data and Friday's meeting in Alaska between U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin.

Traders increased Fed rate cut bets on Thursday, pinning the dollar near multi-week lows, while a global stock rally paused as investors awaited data on U.S. producer prices later in the day that may show how tariffs are impacting inflation trends.

Most emerging market currencies held to a tight range on Thursday as investors kept bets light ahead of the closely watched Alaska summit.

In Poland, where markets are closed on Friday, the zloty EURPLN= eased 0.2% to 4.2590 at 1028 GMT.

A Warsaw-based trader attributed the softening to positioning head of the U.S. PPI data later today, but also the Alaska summit on Friday.

"This is a major event, and it can't be ignored while we relax tomorrow. That's why this short-term community is closing in a bit here."

"In fact, perhaps we should look at the outcome of these negotiations differently than the Americans, because we're essentially in two different camps on this matter. While this might be good news for them in the long run, it's not necessarily good news for us," the trader said, adding that the summit's outcome could bring challenges to Central Eastern Europe's security.

"If Ukraine were to be a bargaining chip and the United States were to achieve other goals somewhere in the world, they would pay with certain concessions in the Ukrainian field," the trader added.

Elsewhere the Czech crown EURCZK= edged 0.1% lower to 24.4810, easing from the around 19-month highs it jumped to last week, when the central bank said inflation pressures in the domestic economy prevented a further interest rate cut for now.

The Hungarian forint EURHUF= was unchanged at 395.35.

CEE MARKETS SNAPSHOT AT 1228 CET

CURRENCIES

Latest trade

Previous close

Daily change

Change in 2025

Czech crown

EURCZK=

24.4810

24.4570

-0.10%

+2.97%

Hungary forint

EURHUF=

395.3500

395.3500

+0.00%

+4.07%

Polish zloty

EURPLN=

4.2590

4.2510

-0.19%

+0.42%

Romanian leu

EURRON=

5.0630

5.0613

-0.03%

-1.71%

Serbian dinar

EURRSD=

117.0800

117.1800

+0.09%

-0.11%

Note: daily change calculated from 1800 CET

STOCKS

Latest

Previous close

Daily change

Change in 2025

Prague

.PX

2303.16

2299.0000

+0.18%

+30.85%

Budapest

.BUX

104516.42

104739.96

-0.21%

+31.75%

Warsaw

.WIG20

2960.19

2997.03

-1.23%

+35.04%

Bucharest

.BETI

20879.10

21176.99

-1.41%

+24.87%

BONDS

Yield (bid)

Yield change

Spread vs Bund

Daily change in spread

Czech Rep 2-year

CZ2YT=RR

3.4870

-0.0180

+156bps

-1bps

Czech Rep 5-year

CZ5YT=RR

3.8220

-0.0330

+158bps

-2bps

Czech Rep 10-year

CZ10YT=RR

4.2880

-0.0170

+162bps

+0bps

Poland 2-year

PL2YT=RR

4.2470

-0.0720

+232bps

-6bps

Poland 5-year

PL5YT=RR

4.7530

-0.0070

+251bps

+1bps

Poland 10-year

PL10YT=RR

5.3520

-0.0340

+269bps

-2bps

FORWARD RATE AGREEMENTS

3x6

6x9

9x12

3M interbank

Czech Rep

CZKFRA, PRIBOR=

3.54

3.47

3.43

3.51

Poland

PLNFRA, WIBOR=

4.37

4.00

3.67

4.88

Note: FRA quotes are for ask prices

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