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CANADA FX DEBT-Canadian dollar steadies as trade data meets expectations

ReutersAug 5, 2025 6:15 PM
  • Loonie trades in a range of 1.3764 to 1.3810
  • Trade deficit widens to C$5.9 billion in June
  • Price of oil decreases 1.4%
  • Ten-year yield rebounds from earlier four-week low

By Fergal Smith

- The Canadian dollar was barely changed against its U.S. counterpart on Tuesday as oil prices fell and data showed a widening of the Canadian trade deficit that was close to expectations.

The loonie CAD= was trading nearly unchanged at 1.3775 per U.S. dollar, or 72.60 U.S. cents, after moving in a range of 1.3764 to 1.3810.

Canada's merchandise trade deficit widened in June to C$5.9 billion ($4.24 billion) as imports grew faster than exports due to a one-time high-value oil equipment import. Analysts had predicted the deficit would increase to C$6.3 billion from a downwardly revised C$5.5 billion in May.

"Despite the usual volatility, Canada's trade figures came in line with expectations for June," Shelly Kaushik, a senior economist at BMO Capital Markets, said in a note.

"While trade flows have recovered a touch from the spring, normalization is unlikely until the Canada-U.S. relationship stabilizes."

The U.S. has increased tariffs on Canadian goods to 35% from 25%, but products covered by the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement are exempt from duties. About 90% of Canadian exports to the U.S. in May were exempt under that trade deal.

The price of oil, one of Canada's major exports, fell 1.4% to $65.35 a barrel on rising OPEC+ supply and worries of weaker global demand, while the U.S. dollar steadied against a basket of major currencies.

Canada's employment report for July, due on Friday, could offer further clues on the state of the domestic economy. A Reuters poll of economists expects a gain of 13,500 jobs.

The Canadian 10-year yield CA10YT=RR was little changed at 3.382% after earlier touching its lowest level since July 7 at 3.360%.

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