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FOREX-Dollar recoups losses on renewed tariff worries

ReutersFeb 25, 2025 6:43 AM
  • Dollar edges away from over two-month low
  • Euro on the defensive as markets eye Germany coalition talks
  • Trump's tariff deadline nears, stokes nerves

Updates to Asia afternoon

By Rae Wee

- The dollar edged up slightly on Tuesday after falling to its lowest in more than two months at the start of the week, buoyed by safe-haven flows after U.S. President Donald Trump said tariffs on Mexico and Canada would proceed as planned.

The firmer dollar in turn left the euro EUR=EBS off a one-month high at $1.0476, with future gains in the single currency likely to hinge on how soon a coalition government can be formed in Germany following the election victory of the country's conservatives.

Trump on Monday said that tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports are "on time and on schedule" despite efforts by the countries to beef up border security and halt the flow of fentanyl into the U.S. ahead of a March 4 deadline.

Many had hoped the top two U.S. trading partners could persuade Trump's administration to further delay tariffs that would apply to over $918 billion worth of U.S. imports from the two countries, from autos to energy.

His comments spurred a rush to safety assets like gold and U.S. Treasuries, with the dollar also a beneficiary of some of those risk-off moves.

Sterling GBP=D3 drifted from Monday's two-month high and last fetched $1.26385. The Aussie AUD=D3 ticked up 0.07% to $0.6354, but was some distance away from a 2-1/2-month high hit last week.

The dollar index =USD steadied at 106.59, rebounding from a more than two-month trough of 106.12 hit in the previous session.

While the dollar has fallen some 3% from its January peak following a raft of weaker-than-expected U.S. economic data that stoked worries over its growth outlook, sustained losses have been short lived due to lingering concerns over tariffs.

"Since the last week or two, the incoming economic news from the U.S. is really playing to this narrative that the U.S. is kind of losing its economic exceptionalism. But whenever we see a reasonable risk-off tone in equity markets ... the dollar gets its sort of traditional safe-haven support," said Ray Attrill, head of FX strategy at National Australia Bank.

"So I think you're seeing a little bit of interplay between those forces ... Heading towards these key tariff deadlines, it's hard to see a significant recovery in risk sentiment ... and that's going to keep defensive support for the U.S. dollar in place," Attrill added.

Elsewhere, the dollar rose 0.05% against the yen JPY=EBS to 149.75, recovering from a fall to its weakest level since early December against the Japanese currency on Monday.

The recent fall in U.S. Treasury yields, particularly in real terms, has weighed on the dollar against the yen as Japanese yields rise on speculation of another rate hike from the Bank of Japan (BOJ).

The New Zealand dollar NZD=D3 gained 0.08% to $0.5737, reversing some of its declines from earlier in the session.

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