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Aluminium: Deficit persists despite higher output – ING
ING strategists Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey say global Aluminium output is rising, including in China, Europe and Asia ex-China, but the market remains in deficit. They estimate around 3mt of capacity has been lost to Middle East disruptions and is unlikely to return quickly.
Fxstreet
Tue, Jun 23
Hungarian Forint: HUF strength supports easing path – Societe Generale
Societe Generale analysts expect the Hungarian central bank Magyar Nemzeti Bank (MNB) to cut rates by 25 bps to 6.0%, citing improved sentiment after Peter Magyar’s election victory and an EU-friendly policy stance.
EUR/HUF
USD/CZK
Fxstreet
Tue, Jun 23
Canadian Dollar: BoC patience persists with firmer CPI – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists note that Canadian headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May surprised to the upside, driven by energy and seasonal factors, while core measures remained stable near 2%.
USD/CAD
Fxstreet
Tue, Jun 23
Iran signals no early nuclear talks as it rules out missile negotiations
Iran reaffirmed its red line on military issues on Tuesday, as markets continue to monitor geopolitical developments in the Middle East.
US Dollar Index
WTI
Fxstreet
Tue, Jun 23
Fed: Warsh era brings quieter guidance – BNY
BNY’s John Velis and David Tam argue that Chair Kevin Warsh is steering Federal Reserve communications toward less forward guidance and a stronger emphasis on price stability.
Fxstreet
Tue, Jun 23
Indian Rupee: Support from flows and policy backdrop – DBS
DBS Group Research economist Radhika Rao notes that India’s 10Y government bond yield has remained confined between 6.90% and 7.05% as domestic and global drivers offset each other.
Fxstreet
Tue, Jun 23
WTI rebounds toward $73.50 as Iran's nuclear program uncertainty prevails
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price extends losses for the second consecutive day, trading around $73.40 per barrel during the European hours on Tuesday. However, Crude oil prices pare its daily losses over persisting uncertainty surrounding Iran's nuclear program.
WTI
Brent
Fxstreet
Tue, Jun 23
US S&P Global PMI expected to show steady business growth in June
S&P Global will release the June flash Purchasing Managers' Indices (PMIs) for most major economies, with the United States (US) data scheduled on Tuesday. These surveys of top private-sector executives are seen as an early indicator of the country’s economic health.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Tue, Jun 23
Brent: Hormuz risk premium fades, forecast steady – OCBC
OCBC’s Christopher Wong notes that easing US–Iran tensions have pushed Brent below USD80 as markets price a high probability of normalised Strait of Hormuz flows.
Brent
Fxstreet
Tue, Jun 23
United Kingdom flash S&P Global Services PMI unexpectedly arrives lower at 48.7 in June vs. 50.0 estimates
Preliminary United Kingdom flash S&P Global Services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) declines at a faster pace to 48.7 in June from 49.3 in May. The Services PMI was expected to arrive higher at 50.0, a figure that separates expansion from contraction.
Fxstreet
Tue, Jun 23
United Kingdom S&P Global Manufacturing PMI came in at 53.1, below expectations (53.6) in June
United Kingdom S&P Global Manufacturing PMI came in at 53.1, below expectations (53.6) in June
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Tue, Jun 23
United Kingdom S&P Global Composite PMI came in at 49.4 below forecasts (50.6) in June
United Kingdom S&P Global Composite PMI came in at 49.4 below forecasts (50.6) in June
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Tue, Jun 23
United Kingdom S&P Global Services PMI below forecasts (50) in June: Actual (48.7)
United Kingdom S&P Global Services PMI below forecasts (50) in June: Actual (48.7)
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Tue, Jun 23
Hungarian Forint: Rate-cut cycle seen restarting – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister expects the Hungarian central bank to resume interest rate cuts, with consensus looking for a 25 basis point move. A strong Hungarian Forint and lower-than-expected inflation provide room for easing, leaving real rates high.
EUR/HUF
Fxstreet
Tue, Jun 23
Euro declines against Japanese Yen as German Manufacturing PMI flatlines in June
EUR/JPY extends its losses for the second successive day, trading around 184.30 during the European hours on Tuesday. The currency cross depreciates following the release of HCOB Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data from Germany. Attention is shifted toward Eurozone PMI data due later in the day.
EUR/JPY
Fxstreet
Tue, Jun 23
Equities: Tech-led rotation and volatility in focus – Danske Bank
Danske Research Team reports that global equities advanced, but underlying performance was highly dispersed, with US consumer and communication services names under pressure while most S&P 500 sectors and small caps gained.
SPX500
Fxstreet
Tue, Jun 23
Germany’s flash Manufacturing PMI drops to 50.0 in June as expected
German preliminary HCOB Manufacturing PMI arrives lower at 50.0 in June, as expected, from 50.1 in May. The 50.0 figure is a boundary line that separates expansion from contraction.
Fxstreet
Tue, Jun 23
France Business Climate in Manufacturing below expectations (101) in June: Actual (100)
France Business Climate in Manufacturing below expectations (101) in June: Actual (100)
Fxstreet
Tue, Jun 23
Japan’s core CPI, excluding special factors, climbs 2.7% in May vs. 2.8% rise in April
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) said on Tuesday that Japan's core consumer inflation rate excluding one-off factors, as measured by the Japanese central bank's new gauge, climbed 2.7% in May. This figure exceeded the BoJ’s 2% target and eased from 2.8% in April.
USD/JPY
Fxstreet
Tue, Jun 23
India HSBC Services PMI down to 57.3 in June from previous 59.8
India HSBC Services PMI down to 57.3 in June from previous 59.8
Fxstreet
Tue, Jun 23
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