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USD: Energy shock supports strength as Fed stays cautious – MUFG
MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Lee Hardman notes the US Dollar is trading at its strongest levels since May last year as the Middle East conflict fuels concerns over a prolonged energy price shock that could hit global growth outside the US harder.
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 31
ECB’s Müller: Can't rule out rate hike in April
European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Madis Müller said in an interview with in an interview in Tallinn, reported by Bloomberg during European trading hours on Tuesday, that there could be an interest rate hike by the central bank in the April policy meeting.
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 31
BoJ: Data signal case for more tightening – Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered analysts Nicholas Chia and Chong Hoon Park highlight that new Bank of Japan (BoJ) indicators show underlying inflation near or above the 2% target and a positive output gap since Q1 2022, suggesting growth above potential.Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 31
AUD: RBA keeps May hike option open on Iran risk – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur highlights that RBA minutes show March’s back‑to‑back rate hike was a closer call than markets assumed. Board members agreed more tightening is needed but differed on timing, with the March move mainly aimed at preserving flexibility.
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 31
ECB: War-driven energy shock shapes rate path – Nomura
Nomura analyst Andrzej Szczepaniak argues that March Euro area inflation will not significantly alter the ECB’s near-term policy stance. They expect policy rates to stay unchanged through Q4 2027, with the Iran war and its impact on Brent crude and energy prices now the key driver of ECB decisions.Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 31
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