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Fed’s Goolsbee: We will get inflation to 2%

Austan Goolsbee, President of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Chicago, told AP at the Semafor World Economy conference on Tuesday that the longer the Middle East concerns go, the cut could be pushed out of 2026.

US Dollar Index

Fxstreet

Tue, Apr 14

China: Trade surplus slide raises growth risks – ING

ING’s Chief Economist for Greater China, Lynn Song, notes that China’s March trade surplus dropped to a 13‑month low as exports slowed and imports surged, especially in tech-related categories.

Fxstreet

Tue, Apr 14

Asian FX: MAS tightening and strategic chokepoints – Rabobank

Rabobank strategists underline that the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) has tightened policy via the exchange rate despite weak GDP, reacting to potential core inflation from the energy shock.

Fxstreet

Tue, Apr 14

CEE FX: Hungary favoured, Romania and Czech on hold – ING

ING’s Frantisek Taborsky expects March inflation in Romania to stay above 10% in coming months, peaking near 11%, keeping the National Bank of Romania on hold with no rate cuts in 2026.

Fxstreet

Tue, Apr 14

Gulf region: Shock resilience and investment outlook – BNP Paribas

BNP Paribas’ Stéphane ALBY assesses how Gulf economies are absorbing the conflict-related shock. He notes that Oil exports via the Strait of Hormuz have been severely disrupted, with Bahrain, Kuwait, and Qatar hit hardest, while Saudi Arabia and the UAE partially benefit from higher Oil prices.

Fxstreet

Tue, Apr 14

United States Redbook Index (YoY) declined to 7% in April 10 from previous 7.6%

United States Redbook Index (YoY) declined to 7% in April 10 from previous 7.6%

Fxstreet

Tue, Apr 14

Germany: Limited fiscal cushion for energy shock – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank’s Sebastian Becker assesses Germany’s new fiscal relief package to counter higher energy prices from the conflict in Iran, judging it small relative to 2026 GDP and earlier 2022–23 measures.

Fxstreet

Tue, Apr 14

US annual PPI inflation rises to 4% in March vs. 4.6% expected

Producer inflation in the United States, as measured by the change in the Producer Price Index (PPI), rose to 4% on a yearly basis in March from 3.4% in February, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported on Tuesday. This reading came in below the market expectation of 4.6%.

Fxstreet

Tue, Apr 14

Banxico: Early May cut and cautious path – Rabobank

Rabobank strategists Molly Schwartz and Christian Lawrence expect Banxico to deliver one more 25bp rate cut in May 2026, bringing the policy rate to 6.50% by year-end.

Fxstreet

Tue, Apr 14

United States Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM) registered at 0.1%, below expectations (0.6%) in March

United States Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM) registered at 0.1%, below expectations (0.6%) in March

Fxstreet

Tue, Apr 14

United States Producer Price Index (MoM) came in at 0.5%, below expectations (1.2%) in March

United States Producer Price Index (MoM) came in at 0.5%, below expectations (1.2%) in March

Fxstreet

Tue, Apr 14

United States Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY) registered at 3.8%, below expectations (4.2%) in March

United States Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY) registered at 3.8%, below expectations (4.2%) in March

Fxstreet

Tue, Apr 14

United States Producer Price Index (YoY) below forecasts (4.6%) in March: Actual (4%)

United States Producer Price Index (YoY) below forecasts (4.6%) in March: Actual (4%)

Fxstreet

Tue, Apr 14

ADP Employment Change 4-week average increases to 39K

Private-sector hiring in the US has added extra momentum in late March. According to the NER Pulse, the weekly companion to the ADP National Employment Report, companies added an average of 39K jobs per week in the four weeks ending March 28.

Fxstreet

Tue, Apr 14

United States ADP Employment Change 4-week average up to 39K in March 21 from previous 26K

United States ADP Employment Change 4-week average up to 39K in March 21 from previous 26K

Fxstreet

Tue, Apr 14

EUR/USD: Pair seen returning to 1.20 – Societe Generale

Societe Generale’s Kit Juckes notes that EUR/USD had previously rallied faster than relative rates implied on expectations of a weaker Dollar under President Trump, but now lags rate differentials as the US economy outperforms the Eurozone and retains safe-haven appeal.

Fxstreet

Tue, Apr 14

RBA: Higher rates risk with inflation pressures – TD Securities

TD Securities analysts highlight a hawkish shift from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) after Deputy Governor Hauser signaled limited confidence that current policy is sufficient to return inflation to target.

Fxstreet

Tue, Apr 14

ECB: Hawkish arguments build on new analysis – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Christoph Rieger flags that European Central Bank (ECB) communication and research around the IMF Spring meetings could support a more forceful policy stance.

Fxstreet

Tue, Apr 14

When is the US PPI data for March and how could it affect EUR/USD?

The United States (US) Producer Price Index (PPI) data for March is scheduled to be published today at 12:30 GMT.

Fxstreet

Tue, Apr 14

United States NFIB Business Optimism Index came in at 95.8, below expectations (98.6) in March

United States NFIB Business Optimism Index came in at 95.8, below expectations (98.6) in March

Fxstreet

Tue, Apr 14

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