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European Central Bank: October skip and limited hikes – BNY
Geoff Yu at BNY Mellon expects the ECB to skip an October rate hike and possibly be done for the year, citing clear guidance on second‑round effects, emerging sovereign risks and French budget uncertainty. He argues that any balance‑sheet response, such as ending quantitative tightening or using the Transmission Protection Instrument, would effectively mark the end of rate‑based tightening as policy tools must not work at cross‑purposes.Fxstreet
Wed, Oct 14
Hungary: Euro adoption plans hinge on fiscal path – Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered’s Saabir Salad analyzes Hungary’s fiscal outlook and its implications for Euro adoption and the Forint. The Tisza government’s 2027 budget and new medium-term fiscal plan, due this month, are seen as key tests of credibility. The bank now forecasts Hungary’s deficit at 7.5% of GDP in 2026, narrowing to about 5% in 2027 and below 3% by 2029–2030.Fxstreet
Wed, Oct 14
United Kingdom: Price pressures seen rising – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank economists Sanjay Raja and Maui Brennan expect UK headline CPI to rise to 3.49% year-on-year in September, with core CPI at 2.74% and Services CPI at 3.71%. They project 2027 CPI to average 3.7% versus 3.2% in 2026, and see headline RPI jumping to 3.93% year-on-year near term and 5.2% longer term.Fxstreet
Wed, Oct 14
Swiss Franc: Range trading persists against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank (UOB) strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that USD/CHF remains locked in a tight range, with intraday expectations between 0.8315 and 0.8350. For the 1–3 weeks horizon, they see the Dollar trading within 0.8295/0.8365, citing tentative momentum. Over 1–3 months, they expect further rebound but not enough strength to revisit the July peak.
Fxstreet
Wed, Oct 14
India M3 Money Supply above forecasts (0%) in September 28: Actual (16.9%)
Fxstreet
Wed, Oct 14
United States MBA Mortgage Applications: -2.7% (October 9) vs -4.2%
Fxstreet
Wed, Oct 14
Fed's Bowman signals cautious, data-dependent pause after latest rate hike
Federal Reserve (Fed) Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman said the central bank needs time to assess how financial markets and the US economy evolve following the latest interest rate hike before considering further policy action, according to Reuters.
Fxstreet
Wed, Oct 14
CEE FX: Rally may fade as price pressures build - ING
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky argues recent Central and Eastern European (CEE) FX and rates gains may not last. Czech inflation data show core rising to 3.1%, reinforcing expectations for a Czech National Bank (CNB) rate hike in November unless geopolitics improve.
Singapore Dollar: MAS pause keeps policy band unchanged – DBS
DBS Group Research economists, led by Chua Han Teng, say the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) left its Singapore Dollar (SGD) Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) policy band unchanged at the October 2026 review after two earlier tightening moves.Fxstreet
Wed, Oct 14
Yemen's Houthis confirm targeting various Aramco refineries
According to the military spokesperson, Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis targeted Aramco in Dahran, King Khalid Airport and Aramco refinery in Riyadh. The military spokesperson added, “Our operations targeting airports and oil facilities will continue in following days.”Fxstreet
Wed, Oct 14
US CPI data expected to rise in September as markets reassess Fed rate outlook
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will publish the September Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Wednesday. The report is expected to show a further increase in headline prices and a small uptick in annual core inflation.
Fxstreet
Wed, Oct 14
Equities: Chip-led drag as semiconductors slide – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank strategists highlight that the S&P 500 was marginally lower as semiconductor weakness weighed on equities. Chip and data‑center names extended their recent declines, with the Philly semiconductor index posting a fifth consecutive drop.Fxstreet
Wed, Oct 14
Indian Rupee: RBI FX steps support INR but raise hedging costs – MUFG
MUFG’s Michael Wan explains that recent RBI FX measures have supported spot Indian Rupee, while temporarily disrupting derivatives liquidity. Offshore INR forward premiums fell sharply after restrictions on non-resident NDF access and higher hedge costs. These actions reduced speculative Dollar demand and helped INR rally, though at the expense of wider bid-ask spreads and less liquid onshore forwards.
Fxstreet
Wed, Oct 14
Spain Consumer Price Index (MoM) in line with forecasts (0.3%) in September
Fxstreet
Wed, Oct 14
Spain Consumer Price Index (YoY) meets forecasts (4.9%) in September
Fxstreet
Wed, Oct 14
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