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Euro: CPI path cushions downside against dollar – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects Eurozone May Consumer Price Index (CPI) to remain close to the European Central Bank's (ECB) baseline projections, with risks skewed slightly lower after softer German data. Markets have nearly fully priced a 25 bps hike to 2.25% on June 11.
Fxstreet
Mon, Jun 1
Polish Zloty: Pressured by politics and energy shock – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose highlights that the Polish Zloty has underperformed CE3 - Polish Złoty (PLN), Czech Koruna (CZK), and Hungarian Forint (HUF) - peers in 2026, with political risk overshadowing macro fundamentals.
Fxstreet
Mon, Jun 1
Swedish Krona: Riksbank path a headwind for Swedish Krona – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad argues that Sweden’s benign inflation and spare capacity support an extended Riksbank hold. While the central bank projects its policy rate at 1.75% until late 2026, swaps price a more aggressive tightening path.
Iran’s Araghchi: Warns US and Israel against potential attacks across all fronts, including Lebanon
Iranian Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi warns of serious consequences, in a post on X, formerly known as Twitter, that the United States (US) and Israel would face serious consequences if there any military action across all fronts, including Lebanon.Fxstreet
Mon, Jun 1
Indian Rupee: RBI dilemma on rates and FX – Societe Generale
Societe Generale analysts note recent relief for the Indian Rupee after aggressive RBI intervention to keep it below 95.00. Focus is on Friday’s policy decision, with a 25 bp hike seen as possible given regional tightening.Fxstreet
Mon, Jun 1
Brent: Volatile swings on Iran headlines – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank analysts highlight that Brent Oil has seen sharp moves as markets react to prospects for a US-Iran deal. Brent crude fell 19.3% in May, its biggest drop since March 2020, and declined 11.1% last week as ceasefire hopes grew.
Fxstreet
Mon, Jun 1
Czech Koruna: Polish CPI surprise complicates CNB path – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose highlights that a downside surprise in Poland’s May flash Consumer Price Index (CPI) contrasts with earlier Czech inflation acceleration that had pointed to Czech National Bank (CNB) tightening on 18 June.Fxstreet
Mon, Jun 1
Iran’s Ghalibaf: US naval blockade and attacks on Lebanon are violation to ceasefire
Iran’s Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf has stated through a post on X, formerly known as Twitter, that the United States (US) naval blockade on Iranian sea ports and Israeli attacks on Lebanon could have severe consequences.Fxstreet
Mon, Jun 1
British Pound: UK faces tighter policy and sticky inflation – BNP Paribas
BNP Paribas expects UK economic growth to slow to 0.7% in 2026 from 1.4% in 2025, with quarterly momentum dropping to about 0.1%. Inflation is projected to rise to 3.4% before easing only gradually, keeping it above the BoE target.
Fxstreet
Mon, Jun 1
Euro strengthens against Canadian Dollar following German Retail Sales
EUR/CAD extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around 1.6110 during the European hours on Monday. The currency cross remains stronger following the release of German Retail Sales data, which fell 0.3% month-on-month (MoM), while it was expected to have declined 0.4%.Fxstreet
Mon, Jun 1
Iran’s Baghaei: Constant change of US positions and Iran-Lebanon conflicts cade delay in deal
Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmail Baghaei said in the European session on Monday that ‘aggressive action' by the United States (US) is a ceasefire violation, and it led Iranian armed forces to target positions from which US attacks originated.Fxstreet
Mon, Jun 1
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