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NOK: Oil and rates keep krone supported – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Antje Praefcke notes that the Norwegian Krone has been one of the best performers, helped by a hawkish shift in Norges Bank expectations after stronger January inflation and higher Oil prices.
USD/NOK
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 4
Canada: Growth gap versus United States seen widening – NBC
National Bank of Canada (NBC) economist Taylor Schleich highlights that since 2022, U.S. real GDP growth have outpaced Canada.
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 4
Fed’s Miran: Evidence that oil prices feed into core inflation is quite limited
Stephen Miran, Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor, said that it’s too early to have firm views about the impact the conflict in Iran will have onto the economy in an interview with Bloomberg TV on Wednesday.
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 4
UK: Energy shock risks complicating BoE cuts – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s Sanjay Raja and Shreyas Gopal warn that renewed energy price shocks are clouding the UK inflation outlook. They note that Oil and gas prices have surged, and that around half of the UK CPI basket is now highly energy‑intensive, especially services.
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 4
Canada Labor Productivity (QoQ) in line with expectations (-0.1%) in 4Q
Canada Labor Productivity (QoQ) in line with expectations (-0.1%) in 4Q
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 4
United States ADP Employment Change registered at 63K above expectations (50K) in February
United States ADP Employment Change registered at 63K above expectations (50K) in February
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 4
USD: Energy shock drives brief rebound – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes that the Dollar has rebounded sharply as Operation “Epic Fury” triggers a fresh energy price shock, pushing the Dollar index back toward the 96.000–100.00 range.
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 4
US Treasury Sec Bessent signals confidence in US jobs outlook
Comments from US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Wednesday offered a broad snapshot of the US administration’s thinking on the labour market, trade policy and energy security, as markets continue to navigate heightened geopolitical tensions and renewed volatility in oil prices.
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 4
Iran intelligence signals openness to talks with CIA - The New York Times
Iran may have quietly explored the possibility of opening communication channels with the United States (US) despite the ongoing conflict, according to a report from the New York Times cited by Reuters on Wednesday.
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 4
United States MBA Mortgage Applications increased to 11% in February 27 from previous 0.4%
United States MBA Mortgage Applications increased to 11% in February 27 from previous 0.4%
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 4
UK: Fiscal update supports modest growth – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Global Strategy Team notes that UK Chancellor Reeves delivered a cautious Spring Statement with no major new policies. Updated OBR projections show slightly slower UK growth in 2026 but stronger growth thereafter, alongside lower inflation forecasts.
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 4
Italy Gross Domestic Product (YoY) meets forecasts (0.8%) in 4Q
Italy Gross Domestic Product (YoY) meets forecasts (0.8%) in 4Q
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 4
Italy Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) in line with expectations (0.3%) in 4Q
Italy Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) in line with expectations (0.3%) in 4Q
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 4
PLN: Dovish NBP path to weigh on zloty – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose expects Poland’s NBP to deliver a 25 bps rate cut today, with slower-than-anticipated inflation justifying easing.
EUR/PLN
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 4
United Kingdom S&P Global Composite PMI came in at 53.7, below expectations (53.9) in February
United Kingdom S&P Global Composite PMI came in at 53.7, below expectations (53.9) in February
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 4
United Kingdom S&P Global Services PMI meets forecasts (53.9) in February
United Kingdom S&P Global Services PMI meets forecasts (53.9) in February
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 4
Eurozone: Energy shock risks keep ECB on guard – Rabobank
Rabobank's Senior Macro Strategist Bas van Geffen notes that markets are treating the Middle East conflict as an inflation risk for the Eurozone. He highlights that EUR money markets now partly price an ECB rate hike this year.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 4
Italy Unemployment below forecasts (5.6%) in January: Actual (5.1%)
Italy Unemployment below forecasts (5.6%) in January: Actual (5.1%)
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 4
ADP Employment Report set to show an improving job market in February
The Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Research Institute will release its monthly report on private-sector job creation for February on Wednesday.
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 4
Forex Today: US Dollar rally pauses ahead of key US data
Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, March 4:
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 4
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