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Chinese Yuan: Rangebound trade against US Dollar guided by PBoC fix – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong expect USD/CNH to stay broadly rangebound near term, with the daily People's Bank of China (PBoC) fix clustered around 6.79 and acting as an anchor rather than a directional signal.
USD/CNH
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 27
Singapore Dollar: Hawkish MAS supports SGD against US Dollar – MUFG
MUFG’s Lloyd Chan notes that the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) delivered a second consecutive tightening by slightly increasing the Singapore Dollar (SGD) Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) slope, reinforcing SGD resilience.
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 27
Indonesian Rupiah: Political risks temper valuation case – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports that the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) and Jakarta equities underperformed after Bank Indonesia Governor Perry Warjiyo unexpectedly resigned two years before his term ends, raising concerns about political interference.
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 27
Singapore Dollar: MAS signals inflation concern – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Charlie Lay notes Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) unexpectedly tightened policy for a second meeting, slightly increasing the Singapore Dollar (SGD) Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) slope and stressing the move was smaller than April’s.
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 27
Singapore Dollar: MAS signals inflation concern – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Charlie Lay notes Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) unexpectedly tightened policy for a second meeting, slightly increasing the Singapore Dollar (SGD) Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) slope and stressing the move was smaller than April’s.
USD/SGD
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 27
Bank of England: Higher bar seen for rate hikes - ING
ING’s James Smith expects the Bank of England to keep rates on hold on 30 July and sees a prolonged pause extending through 2026. New forecasts are likely to show UK inflation peaking near 3%, below the 4% level seen as risky.
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 27
British Pound: Growth slowdown and higher rates – BNP Paribas
BNP Paribas strategists expect United Kingdom (UK) growth to slow to 1% in 2026 from 1.3% in 2025, with renewed inflation pressures from the war in Iran pushing inflation to 3.2%.
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 27
European Central Bank: Rate path and yields after sharp rise – Societe Generale
Societe Generale strategists argue July’s global fixed income selloff looks stretched, especially in Western Europe where 2-year and 10-year yields have risen about 30bp in four weeks.
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 27
Federal Reserve: Mixed signals keep rates on hold – DBS
DBS Group Research economists Taimur Baig and Chang Wei Liang argue that sticky United States (US) inflation keeps pressure on the Federal Reserve (Fed), but soft consumption, weak investment and fading labour market resilience justify a pause in Fed Funds rate hikes.
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 27
United States Durable Goods Orders rise 0.3% in June vs. 1.6% expected
New orders for manufactured Durable Goods in the United States (US) rose by $1.1 billion, or 0.3%, to $334.8 billion in June, the US Census Bureau announced on Monday. This reading followed a 4% decline recorded in May and fell short of the market expectation for an increase of 1.6%.
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 27
CEE FX: Softer geopolitics aids high beta – ING
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky expects upcoming Czech and Hungarian Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data to confirm improving growth momentum, while Polish inflation should re-accelerate on higher fuel prices.
EUR/HUF
USD/CZK
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 27
United States Durable Goods Orders ex Defense increased to 0.3% in June from previous -4.6%
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 27
United States Durable Goods Orders below forecasts (1.6%) in June: Actual (0.3%)
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 27
Russian Ruble: CBR credibility risks after cut – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose reports the Russian central bank cut its key rate to 14.0% despite raising its 2026 inflation forecast and projecting stagflationary macro conditions.
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 27
Federal Reserve: Extended pause but hike risk rising – UOB
UOB strategists expect the Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep the Fed Funds Target Rate at 3.50%–3.75% at the July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and maintain a base case of an extended pause through 2026, with easing only in 2Q and 4Q 2027 once transitory inflation fades.
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 27
British Pound: BoE pause risks dovish repricing – ING
ING’s Francesco Pesole expects the Bank of England (BoE) to leave rates unchanged this week, with a 7–2 vote remaining the base case, although Catherine Mann could join Huw Pill and Megan Greene in supporting a rate hike.
EUR/GBP
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 27
Japan PM Takaichi: We must exit from excessively tight fiscal policy
Japan Prime Minister (PM) Sanae Takaichi said during the European trading session on Monday that the economy needs to exit from fiscal tightness.
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 27
Brent: Market weighs de-escalation signals – ING
ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note that Brent has retreated sharply, briefly dropping below US$90/bbl as the US and Iran paused further strikes.
Brent
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 27
US Dollar: Fed communication key for path – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that markets have repriced the risk of a July Fed hike higher after Oil-driven inflation worries, but still expect no move.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 27
Iran’s Baghaei: Iran has not asked for resumption of talks with the US
Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmail Baghaei said during the European trading session on Monday that mediation efforts by Gulf countries towards the United States (US)-Iran diplomatic solution remain active, but Tehran is not having direct talks with Washington.
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 27
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