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Asia FX: Defensive Dollar bias with KRW and INR vulnerable – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Alex Loo and Jayati Bharadwaj argue that Asia faces a dual shock from higher Oil prices and rapidly depleting inventories, hitting growth and lifting inflation. They see Asian central banks prioritizing growth, limiting rate hikes.
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
LatAm: Diverging Brazil and Peru flow story – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights Latin America as the most resilient region across assets, with regional currencies overheld and equities attracting net inflows despite broader risk-off conditions.
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
US 10-year yield steadies as strong data backs steady Fed rate outlook
US Treasury yields recover across the curve, with the 10-year Treasury note erasing earlier losses after strong US economic data increased the odds of keeping interest rates unchanged throughout the year.
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
BoK: Higher inflation path points to July hike – ING
ING’s Min Joo Kang expects the Bank of Korea (BoK) to stay focused on inflation stabilisation and financial stability as resilient growth combines with rising price pressures.
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
Malaysia: BNM growth upgrade and stable OPR support MYR – Commerzbank
Commerzbank notes Bank Negara Malaysia raised its 2026 growth forecast to 4.0–5.0% on resilient domestic demand, with consumption and investment underpinned by wages, labour market strength and government support.
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
China: Growth outlook stays resilient – Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered economists Hunter Chan and Shuang Ding expect China’s Q1 2026 GDP growth to have accelerated to 4.8% year-on-year, supported by robust exports and recovering investment.
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
Asia FX: Cautious risk tone with peace doubts – MUFG
MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Michael Wan notes that Asian currencies recovered as risk sentiment improved following comments from US President Trump on ending the Iran war, even as Oil prices stayed elevated.
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
India: Fuel duty cuts strain budget outlook – DBS
DBS Group Research’s Radhika Rao highlights India’s fiscal response to elevated global energy prices and Rupee weakness.
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
Eurozone: Gradual inflation rise seen through mid-year – ABN AMRO
ABN AMRO's Senior Economist Bill Diviney notes Eurozone inflation rose to 2.5% year-on-year in March, driven mainly by higher petrol and energy prices, while core inflation eased to 2.3%.
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
Norges Bank: Market repricing and inflation risks – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley notes that Norges Bank has shifted to a more hawkish stance as Norwegian inflation proves sticky. January and February CPI data surprised on the upside, prompting markets to move from expecting rate cuts to pricing in further tightening.
USD/NOK
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
UK: Rising fuel costs threaten consumer confidence – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank analysts Shreyas Gopal and Sanjay Raja note that UK consumer confidence in March 2026 was surprisingly resilient, sitting between levels seen at the onset of Covid and the 2022 energy shock.
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
USD: NFP normalization and Fed hold expectations – TD Securities
TD Securities analysts expect the March US labor report to show a normalization in Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), with headline gains of 30k, private NFP at 40k and a -10k drag from government jobs.
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
Oil: Price shock impact on US growth – Commerzbank
Commerzbank economists Bernd Weidensteiner and Christoph Balz assess how the recent surge in Brent and WTI prices affects the US economy. They stress that the United States is structurally less vulnerable than in the 1970s thanks to lower oil intensity and higher domestic production.
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
US: Earnings resilience and AI investment support outlook – HSBC
HSBC’s Willem Sels and Lucia Ku maintain a positive six‑month view on US equities and USD investment grade credit. They highlight the United States’ status as an energy exporter, robust projected earnings growth, and strong technology and AI‑related investment.
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
ECB: Pre-emptive hikes flagged on inflation risks – ABN AMRO
ABN AMRO's Senior Economist Bill Diviney argues the ECB is likely to raise rates at its April and June meetings, taking the deposit rate to 2.50% to prevent de-anchoring of inflation expectations.
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
United States Business Inventories came in at -0.1%, below expectations (0.1%) in January
United States Business Inventories came in at -0.1%, below expectations (0.1%) in January
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
United States ISM Manufacturing PMI registered at 52.7 above expectations (52.5) in March
United States ISM Manufacturing PMI registered at 52.7 above expectations (52.5) in March
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
United States ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index: 53.5 (March) vs previous 55.8
United States ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index: 53.5 (March) vs previous 55.8
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
United States ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid registered at 78.3 above expectations (73) in March
United States ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid registered at 78.3 above expectations (73) in March
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
United States ISM Manufacturing Employment Index: 48.7 (March) vs previous 48.8
United States ISM Manufacturing Employment Index: 48.7 (March) vs previous 48.8
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
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